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Cellebrite DI (CLBT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Cellebrite DI $10.90, price $11.50, upside -5.2%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · US · Home Israel · ISIN IL0011794802

CD Cellebrite DI logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Cellebrite DI

CLBT · US

NeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $10.90 · Fairly valued (−5%)
!Quality 57/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +19.5 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 14.5% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Moderate moat 54/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 26 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$26.00 $3.92 Fair Value $10.90 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.92 – $26.00 · fair‑value band $7.63 – $14.17 · the $11.50 price screens above the $10.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Cellebrite DI Ltd. develops software and services for legally sanctioned investigations in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific.

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Cellebrite DI Ltd. develops software and services for legally sanctioned investigations in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company provides a platform of software solutions used to access, collect, review, extract, decode, decrypt, analyze, share and manage digital evidence across the investigative lifecycle for a range of investigations, such as child exploitation, homicide, anti-terror, border control, sexual crimes, organized crime, human trafficking, corporate security, and intellectual property theft, as well as financial crimes, including those involving cryptocurrency. It also offers Inseyets, digital forensics software that collects and reviews digital evidence from various digital sources when conducting legally sanctioned investigations; Guardian Forensics, an evidence management solution which enables customers to manage their digital forensics workflows, and to store, share and review digital evidence; Guardian Collaborate, a digital evidence sharing tool; and Guardian Investigate, a case management and AI-powered analytics solution. In addition, it provides Cellebrite Pathfinder, which reduces the time spent manually reviewing digital evidence and enables actionable insights into a range of crime types; Corellium Falcon for conducting mobile vulnerability research, exploit introspection, and malware analysis; and Corellium Viper for mobile application penetration testing capabilities. Further, the company offers professional services, such as training and certification services, and advanced services. It serves federal, state, and local agencies, as well as corporations and service providers. The company is headquartered in Petah Tikva, Israel.

Stock analysis

Cellebrite DI (CLBT) currently trades at $11.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.90, implying the stock looks roughly 5.5% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $10.46 per share, and 6 of the 24 models we run sit above the $11.50 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.30, and 18 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $7.63 (bear) to $14.17 (bull), the price of $11.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Cellebrite DI reported revenue of $476M in FY2025 versus $246M in FY2021, a compound +17.9%/yr. Reported net income was $78.3M in FY2025, compounding +2.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $3.9B · P/E ratio 41.1 · P/S ratio 6.76 · EPS (TTM) $0.2800 · Net margin 16.5% · Return on equity 16.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2% · Operating margin 7.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −5%, CLBT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $7.63 Fair Value $10.90 Bull $14.17
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2048 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $9.69 $15.83 $32.58 74
Growth DCF $9.27 $17.31 $31.91 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.12 $10.18 $17.10 70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.69 $15.83 $32.58 74
Owner Earnings $5.05 $10.46 $21.27 69
5Y Revenue Exit $5.00 $7.73 $12.59 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.12 $10.18 $17.10 70
5Y P/E Exit $7.73 $14.60 $23.26 66
10Y Revenue Exit $6.32 $10.19 $14.51 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $7.19 $12.23 $20.77 64
10Y P/E Exit $8.29 $15.16 $26.52 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.14 $14.60 $20.47 63
Lynch FV $4.29 $6.13 $7.97 61
PEG = 1.0 $4.29 $6.13 $7.97 57
EPV $2.47 $2.78 $3.05 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple $6.59 $8.79 $10.99 63
P/S Multiple $4.00 $5.34 $6.67 58
P/B Multiple $4.00 $5.34 $6.67 55
EV/EBIT $5.30 $6.90 $8.49 63
EV/EBITDA $4.74 $6.15 $7.57 64
EV/Revenue $2.92 $3.96 $5.00 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9700 $1.30 $1.94 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $9.27 $17.31 $31.91 72
Rev-Margin DCF $5.00 $8.12 $12.70 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.00 $2.65 $7.74 60
ROIC Compounder $2.82 $3.91 $4.75 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $6.77 $9.67 $12.57 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 99
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 24
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+5.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 14%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+15.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.6% a year for the price and +12.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+19.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+17.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+15.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+13.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+11.7%

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Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (80 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 377 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 19% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 41.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 8.07× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 7.87× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 25.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 47.6× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)26 · sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)97 · sector 49
PAST (return on equity)66 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Synopsys, Inc SNPS $409.24 $250.04 −39%
Block, Inc XYZ $77.53 $101.29 +31%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $86.76 $71.79 −17%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $192.91 $157.18 −19%

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Cellebrite DI · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cellebrite DI Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CLBT

Frequently asked questions

Is Cellebrite DI (CLBT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.90 versus a price of $11.50, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CLBT?
Our model-based fair value for Cellebrite DI is $10.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.50.
What is the quality score of CLBT?
Cellebrite DI has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cellebrite DI (CLBT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.63, optimistic scenario $14.17. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cellebrite DI stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.90, about −5% upside versus a price of $11.50 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $7.63, optimistic scenario $14.17. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cellebrite DI (CLBT)?
Cellebrite DI reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $496M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Cellebrite DI (CLBT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cellebrite DI would have to grow free cash flow by +6.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +19.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CLBT use?
Our models discount Cellebrite DI at 10.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.17, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cellebrite DI that is +6.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cellebrite DI (CLBT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Cellebrite DI grew +19.5 % a year. The price currently implies +6.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cellebrite DI (CLBT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cellebrite DI (+6.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cellebrite DI (CLBT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.42 %: that much free cash flow Cellebrite DI produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cellebrite DI (CLBT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cellebrite DI it is $10.90 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $11.50. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cellebrite DI stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CLBT trades above its calculated fair value: price $11.50, fair value $10.90, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CLBT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.90). For Cellebrite DI the two are $0.5980 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cellebrite DI worth?
The market values Cellebrite DI at about $3.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $11.50; our models calculate a fair value of $10.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CLBT?
Our models span a range for Cellebrite DI: cautious scenario $7.63, base $10.90, optimistic $14.17 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $11.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CLBT?
Cellebrite DI trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 41.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $10.90 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 8.1, P/S 7.9, EV/EBITDA 47.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cellebrite DI (CLBT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cellebrite DI (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 16.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CLBT from its 52-week high?
Cellebrite DI trades at $11.50, about 41% below its 52-week high of $19.56 and 10% above the low of $10.44 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cellebrite DI?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cellebrite DI stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $11.50, calculated fair value $10.90 (−5%), Quality Score 57/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CLBT calculated?
We run Cellebrite DI through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Cellebrite DI itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cellebrite DI (CLBT)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $11.50. Our model-based fair value is $10.90, about −5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cellebrite DI right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($7.63 to $14.17) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Cellebrite DI

How large is the market capitalisation of Cellebrite DI (CLBT)?
The market capitalisation of Cellebrite DI is $3.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cellebrite DI (CLBT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cellebrite DI is 6.76 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cellebrite DI (CLBT)?
Earnings per share at Cellebrite DI are $0.2800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 41.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Cellebrite DI (CLBT)?
The net margin of Cellebrite DI is 16.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cellebrite DI (CLBT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cellebrite DI is 16.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cellebrite DI (CLBT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cellebrite DI is 5.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cellebrite DI (CLBT)?
The operating margin of Cellebrite DI is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cellebrite DI (CLBT)?
Revenue at Cellebrite DI is growing +19.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cellebrite DI (CLBT)?
Earnings per share at Cellebrite DI are growing −42.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Cellebrite DI (CLBT) hold?
Cellebrite DI holds more cash than debt, $102M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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