Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT $8.99, price $13.08, upside -31.3%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.80 – $13.79 · fair‑value band $4.07 – $15.74 · the $13.08 price screens above the $8.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Chatham Lodging Trust is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust. The firm focused primarily on investing in premium-branded extended-stay and select-service hotels. The company owns 33 hotels totaling 5,021 rooms/suites in 15 states and the District of Columbia.
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Chatham Lodging Trust is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust. The firm focused primarily on investing in premium-branded extended-stay and select-service hotels. The company owns 33 hotels totaling 5,021 rooms/suites in 15 states and the District of Columbia. Chatham Lodging Trust was established on 26th October 2009 and is based in West Palm Beach, United States.
Stock analysis
Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT) currently trades at $13.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.99, implying the stock looks roughly 45.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $10.78 per share, and 3 of the 16 models we run sit above the $13.08 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $4.48, and 13 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $4.07 (bear) to $15.74 (bull), the price of $13.08 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Chatham Lodging Trust REIT reported revenue of $295M in FY2025 versus $204M in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was $15.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $654M · P/E ratio 668.0 · P/S ratio 34.1 · EPS (TTM) $0.0200 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 5.1% · Return on equity 1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 115% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −31%, CLDT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $4.07Fair Value $8.99Bull $15.74
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.6% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−15.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5% vs −10%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−31% → 9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.2% a year for the price and +0.9% for the forecasts.
Compare Chatham Lodging Trust REIT with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Hotel & Motel · 35 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−31% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.46× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Hotel & Motel median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)668.0× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF16.5× · Priciest 25%
PEG2.28× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 51
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 2
PAST (return on equity)5· sector 6
HEALTH (low debt)77· sector 74
DIVIDEND (yield)57· sector 100
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.99 versus a price of $13.08, about −31% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CLDT?
Our model-based fair value for Chatham Lodging Trust REIT is $8.99 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $13.08.
What is the quality score of CLDT?
Chatham Lodging Trust REIT has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.99 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.07, optimistic scenario $15.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chatham Lodging Trust REIT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.99, about −31% upside versus a price of $13.08 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $4.07, optimistic scenario $15.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
Chatham Lodging Trust REIT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $293M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Chatham Lodging Trust REIT pay a dividend?
Chatham Lodging Trust REIT currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.83% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Chatham Lodging Trust REIT would have to grow free cash flow by +20.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CLDT use?
Our models discount Chatham Lodging Trust REIT at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.13, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Chatham Lodging Trust REIT that is +20.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Chatham Lodging Trust REIT grew +17.4 % a year. The price currently implies +20.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (+20.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.05 %: that much free cash flow Chatham Lodging Trust REIT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chatham Lodging Trust REIT it is $8.99 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $13.08. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chatham Lodging Trust REIT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CLDT trades above its calculated fair value: price $13.08, fair value $8.99, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CLDT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($13.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.99). For Chatham Lodging Trust REIT the two are $4.09 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chatham Lodging Trust REIT worth?
The market values Chatham Lodging Trust REIT at about $654M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $13.08; our models calculate a fair value of $8.99 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CLDT?
Our models span a range for Chatham Lodging Trust REIT: cautious scenario $4.07, base $8.99, optimistic $15.74 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $13.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CLDT?
The PEG ratio of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT is 2.28 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 1.2%, debt of 0.46 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CLDT from its 52-week high?
Chatham Lodging Trust REIT trades at $13.08, about 5% below its 52-week high of $13.79 and 115% above the low of $6.07 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.99 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chatham Lodging Trust REIT?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc, COVH, Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chatham Lodging Trust REIT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $13.08, calculated fair value $8.99 (−31%), Quality Score 51/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CLDT calculated?
We run Chatham Lodging Trust REIT through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.99, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Chatham Lodging Trust REIT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $13.08. Our model-based fair value is $8.99, about −31% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chatham Lodging Trust REIT right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($4.07 to $15.74). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT) come from?
Earnings per share at Chatham Lodging Trust REIT grew −21.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.7 %, EBIT margin −7.0 %, tax rate −7.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −6.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT
How large is the market capitalisation of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
The market capitalisation of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT is $654M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT is 668.0 (as of Jun 19, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT is 34.1 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
Earnings per share at Chatham Lodging Trust REIT are $0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 668.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
The dividend yield of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT is 2.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
The net margin of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT is 5.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT is 1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
The operating margin of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
Revenue at Chatham Lodging Trust REIT is growing −1.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT)?
Earnings per share at Chatham Lodging Trust REIT are growing −34.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Chatham Lodging Trust REIT (CLDT) carry?
The net debt of Chatham Lodging Trust REIT is $326M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 23, 2026