Chatham Lodging Trust (CLDT) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $656M
Chatham Lodging Trust
CLDT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price +1.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.80 – $13.78 · fair‑value band $4.14 – $7.22 · the $12.59 price screens above the $6.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
Chatham Lodging Trust (CLDT) currently trades at $12.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.16, implying the stock looks roughly 51.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Chatham Lodging Trust generated revenue of $293M at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue declined 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. Net debt stands at $326M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $4.14 (bear case) to $7.22 (bull case); at $12.59, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 113% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -51%, CLDT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($10.63) versus Growth DCF ($3.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chatham Lodging Trust is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust. The firm focused primarily on investing in premium-branded extended-stay and select-service hotels. The company owns 33 hotels totaling 5,021 rooms/suites in 15 states and the District of Columbia.
Full company description
Chatham Lodging Trust is a self-advised, publicly traded real estate investment trust. The firm focused primarily on investing in premium-branded extended-stay and select-service hotels. The company owns 33 hotels totaling 5,021 rooms/suites in 15 states and the District of Columbia. Chatham Lodging Trust was established on 26th October 2009 and is based in West Palm Beach, United States.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Chatham Lodging Trust reported revenue of $295M in FY2025 versus $204M in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was $15.1M in FY2025.
CLDT screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc →
Peer Group
REIT - Hotel & Motel · 35 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Hotel & Motel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc HST | $24.50 | $16.49 | -33% |
| Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc RHP | $133.09 | $48.74 | -63% |
| COVH COVH | €21.80 | €21.79 | -0% |
| Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc APLE | $16.61 | $12.63 | -24% |
| Park Hotels & Resorts inc. PK | $14.74 | $20.58 | +40% |
| DiamondRock Hospitality Company DRH | $12.85 | $8.43 | -34% |
| Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc SHO | $11.74 | $2.52 | -79% |
| Pebblebrook Hotel Trust PEB | $19.09 | $25.37 | +33% |
| Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc XHR | $21.49 | $11.63 | -46% |
| RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) RLJ | $12.34 | $8.28 | -33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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