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China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of China Oil And Gas Group $0.02, price $0.01, upside +109.4%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
China Oil And Gas Group
CLSZF · USCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
✓Fair value $0.0222 · Strongly undervalued (+109.4%)
!Quality 45/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +11.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0009 – $0.1000 · fair‑value band $0.0190 – $0.0264 · the $0.0106 price screens below the $0.0222 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
China Oil And Gas Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the natural gas and energy-related businesses in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and Canada.
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China Oil And Gas Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the natural gas and energy-related businesses in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and Canada. It operates in four segments: Sales and Distribution of Natural Gas and Other Related Products; Gas Pipeline Construction and Connection; Exploitation and Production of Crude Oil and Natural Gas; and Production and Sales of Coal-Derived Clean Energy and Other Related Products. The company engages in the piped city gas business, pipeline design and construction; transportation, distribution, and sale of compressed natural gas and liquefied natural gas; and development, production, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and other upstream energy resources. It is also involved in natural gas transmission through pipelines; coal processing and the sales of coal-derived energy and related products; trading of natural gas; and provision of transportation and finance services. The company serves residential, industrial, and commercial users. China Oil And Gas Group Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF) currently trades at $0.0106, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0222, implying the stock looks roughly 52.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $0.0600 per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the $0.0106 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0200, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.0190 (bear) to $0.0264 (bull), the price of $0.0106 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
China Oil And Gas Group reported revenue of HK$15.2B in FY2025 versus HK$14.3B in FY2021, a compound +1.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$80.7M in FY2025, compounding −45.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $169M · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 0.5% · Return on equity 8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0% · Operating margin 8.6% · Revenue (TTM) HK$15.2B · Revenue growth (YoY) −13.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 80% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −66% fair-value upside, at 109%, CLSZF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0190
Fair Value $0.0222
Bull $0.0264
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.1600
$0.3200
$0.5500
75
EPV
$0.0900
$0.1100
$0.1200
74
Growth DCF
$0.1600
$0.2900
$0.4600
74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.1600
$0.3200
$0.5500
75
Owner Earnings
$0.0100
$0.0600
$0.1400
65
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.1900
$0.4000
$0.6800
67
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.1400
$0.2900
$0.4700
70
5Y P/E Exit
$0.0300
$0.0700
$0.1000
67
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.1700
$0.3400
$0.6200
61
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.1500
$0.2700
$0.4600
64
10Y P/E Exit
$0.0900
$0.1300
$0.1900
62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.0100
$0.0600
$0.0900
61
Lynch FV
$0.0200
$0.0200
$0.0300
60
PEG = 1.0
$0.0200
$0.0200
$0.0300
56
EPV
$0.0900
$0.1100
$0.1200
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.0200
$0.0300
$0.0300
63
P/S Multiple
$0.0200
$0.0300
$0.0400
57
P/B Multiple
$0.0200
$0.0300
$0.0400
54
EV/EBIT
$0.1700
$0.2500
$0.3200
65
EV/EBITDA
$0.1400
$0.2100
$0.2800
66
EV/Revenue
$0.2200
$0.3400
$0.4600
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.0500
$0.0600
$0.0900
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.1600
$0.2900
$0.4600
74
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.1900
$0.3900
$0.6600
68
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.0600
$0.0500
$0.0500
68
ROIC Compounder
$0.0900
$0.1200
$0.1700
69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.0200
$0.0300
$0.0400
65
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
45/100
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Profitability
24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
72
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.5%
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.8%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+5.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−25.2% vs −12.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 107 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Oil & gas
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10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,168 | ₹865.31 | −26% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $389.57 | $131.30 | −66% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $389.44 | $109.88 | −72% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $253.55 | $86.65 | −66% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.47 | €5.85 | −81% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 87.20 TWD | 20.61 TWD | −76% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹135.70 | ₹417.35 | +208% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $106.19 | $52.92 | −50% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 149,200 KRW | 50,661 KRW | −66% |
| Sunoco LP, SUN | $74.76 | $53.89 | −28% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0222 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0106, about +109% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CLSZF?
Our model-based fair value for China Oil And Gas Group is $0.0222 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.0106.
What is the quality score of CLSZF?
China Oil And Gas Group has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0222 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0190, optimistic scenario $0.0264. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Oil And Gas Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0222, about +109% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.0106 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.0190, optimistic scenario $0.0264. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF)?
China Oil And Gas Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$15.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does China Oil And Gas Group pay a dividend?
China Oil And Gas Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.54% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Oil And Gas Group it is $0.0222 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0106. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Oil And Gas Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CLSZF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0106, fair value $0.0222, a gap of about +109% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CLSZF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0106); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0222). For China Oil And Gas Group the two are $0.0116 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Oil And Gas Group worth?
The market values China Oil And Gas Group at about $169M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0106; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0222 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CLSZF?
Our models span a range for China Oil And Gas Group: cautious scenario $0.0190, base $0.0222, optimistic $0.0264 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0106). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Oil And Gas Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.3%, debt of 1.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CLSZF from its 52-week high?
China Oil And Gas Group trades at $0.0106, about 80% below its 52-week high of $0.0528 and at the low of $0.0106 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0222 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Oil And Gas Group?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Reliance Industries Limited, Valero Energy Corporation, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, Phillips 66, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Oil And Gas Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0106, calculated fair value $0.0222 (+109%), Quality Score 45/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CLSZF calculated?
We run China Oil And Gas Group through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0222, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. China Oil And Gas Group currently trades 52 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.0106. Our model-based fair value is $0.0222, about +109% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Oil And Gas Group right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0190). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of China Oil And Gas Group
How large is the market capitalisation of China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF)?
The market capitalisation of China Oil And Gas Group is $169M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the dividend yield of China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF)?
The dividend yield of China Oil And Gas Group is 1.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF)?
The net margin of China Oil And Gas Group is 0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Oil And Gas Group is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Oil And Gas Group is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF)?
The operating margin of China Oil And Gas Group is 8.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF)?
Revenue at China Oil And Gas Group is growing −13.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF)?
Earnings per share at China Oil And Gas Group are growing −12.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF) generate?
The free cash flow of China Oil And Gas Group is HK$764M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Oil And Gas Group (CLSZF) carry?
The net debt of China Oil And Gas Group is HK$7.2B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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