Calloway's Nursery Inc (CLWY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $15.6M · ISIN US1312551013
Calloway's Nursery Inc
CLWY · US
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 17, 2026, revised from $1.84 to $11.43 (+520.5%) since Aug 13, 2026.
Below-average quality, trading 52% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($6.98). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($6.98 to $17.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.05 – $18.81 · fair‑value band $6.98 – $17.08 · the $5.51 price screens below the $11.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.
Analysis
Calloway's Nursery Inc (CLWY) currently trades at $5.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.43, implying the stock looks roughly 107.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Calloway's Nursery Inc generated revenue of $50.0M at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue declined 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.6%. Net debt stands at $32.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.98 (bear case) to $17.08 (bull case); at $5.51, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 107%, CLWY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($14.16) versus Asset-Based ($2.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Calloway's Nursery, Inc. operates garden centers in the United States. The company offers birding, fertilizers, garden tools,insect and pest control; mosquito control solutions, pottery, soils and mulches; weed control and fungicide to gardeners. It also provides cornelius home decor and lawn décor products.
Full company description
Calloway's Nursery, Inc. operates garden centers in the United States. The company offers birding, fertilizers, garden tools,insect and pest control; mosquito control solutions, pottery, soils and mulches; weed control and fungicide to gardeners. It also provides cornelius home decor and lawn décor products. In addition, the company provides landscape design services. The company operates 24 stores under the Calloway's Nursery name in Texas. Calloway's Nursery, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is based in Fort Worth, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2018 – FY2022 · reported fiscal years
Calloway's Nursery Inc reported revenue of $87.3M in FY2022 versus $56.6M in FY2018, a compound +11.4%/yr. Reported net income was $5.7M in FY2022, compounding +7.0%/yr from FY2018.
of which total revenue +7.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Home Improvement Retail · 36 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Home Improvement Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Home Depot, Inc HD | $328.61 | $236.85 | -28% |
| Lowe's Companies, Inc LOW | $210.36 | $186.32 | -11% |
| Wesfarmers Limited WES | A$79.46 | A$50.50 | -36% |
| Floor & Decor Holdings FND | $59.33 | $27.30 | -54% |
| Mr D.I.Y. Group 5296 | 1.51 MYR | 1.47 MYR | -3% |
| Home Product Center Public Company HMPROR | 6.70 THB | 6.31 THB | -6% |
| Siam Global House Public Company GLOBAL | 7.50 THB | 5.96 THB | -21% |
| Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc HVT | $27.26 | $20.42 | -25% |
| Dohome Public Company DOHOME | 3.78 THB | 2.75 THB | -27% |
| Test-Rite International Co 2908 | 21.85 TWD | 4.97 TWD | -77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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