Capricorn Metals Ltd (CMM) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$5.8B
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from A$9.45 to A$5.59 (−40.8%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −10.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range A$9.24 – A$16.82 · fair‑value band A$4.19 – A$8.89 · the A$13.30 price screens above the A$5.59 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Capricorn Metals Ltd (CMM) currently trades at A$13.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$5.59 — implying the stock looks roughly 58.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Capricorn Metals Ltd generated revenue of A$647M at a net margin of 35.9%. Revenue grew 62.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$324M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Capricorn Metals Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, explores, develops, evaluates, and produces gold in Australia. It operates through the Karlawinda Gold Project and the Mt Gibson Gold Project segments. The company holds 100% interest in the Karlawinda gold project located in the Pilbara region of Western Australia; and the Mt Gibson Gold Project located in the Murchison region of Western Australia. It also operates commercial properties. The company was formerly known as Malagasy Minerals Limited and changed its name to Capricorn Metals Limited in February 2016. Capricorn Metals Ltd was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Capricorn Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$518M in FY2025 versus A$110K in FY2021, a compound +728.3%/yr. Reported net income was A$150M in FY2025.
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6 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥30.44 | ¥62.26 | +105% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | $176.75 | $225.34 | +27% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $37.19 | $70.51 | +90% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp SII | €105.35 | €52.47 | -50% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $86.23 | $88.63 | +3% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.