Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Compass Minerals International Inc $29.90, price $23.20, upside +28.9%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.77 – $71.40 · fair‑value band $12.46 – $46.60 · the $23.20 price screens below the $29.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Compass Minerals International, Inc. provides essential minerals in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Salt and Plant Nutrition.
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Compass Minerals International, Inc. provides essential minerals in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Salt and Plant Nutrition. The Salt segment produces, markets, and sells sodium chloride and magnesium chloride, including rock salt, mechanically and solar evaporated salt, and brine and flake magnesium chloride products; and purchases and sells potassium chloride and calcium chloride to sell as finished products or to blend with sodium chloride to produce specialty products. This segment provides products for use as a deicer for roadways, consumer, and professional use; as an ingredient in chemical production; for water treatment, human, and animal nutrition; and for various other consumer and industrial uses, as well as records management services. The Plant Nutrition segment produces sulfate of potash specialty fertilizers in various grades that are used in broadcast spreaders, direct application, and liquid fertilizer solutions under the Protassium+ brand name; turf products used by the turf and ornamental markets, as well as for blends used on golf course greens; and organic products. This segment provides its products to distributors and retailers of crop inputs, as well as growers. The company was formerly known as Salt Holdings Corporation and changed its name to Compass Minerals International, Inc. in December 2003. Compass Minerals International, Inc. was founded in 1844 and is headquartered in Overland Park, Kansas.
Stock analysis
Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP) currently trades at $23.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.90, implying the stock looks roughly 22.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $16.13 per share, and 2 of the 9 models we run sit above the $23.20 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.74, and 7 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $12.46 (bear) to $46.60 (bull), the price of $23.20 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Compass Minerals International Inc reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $836M in FY2021, a compound +10.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$79.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.3B · P/E ratio 145.0 · P/S ratio 0.99 · EPS (TTM) $0.1600 · Net margin −6.4% · Return on equity 2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% · Operating margin 12.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 29%, CMP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $12.46Fair Value $29.90Bull $46.60
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1574 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.2% (2020) → 2.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.0% a year for the price and +0.5% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 456 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Above median
Fair Value upside+29% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)12% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity3.56× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Compass Minerals International Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CMP
Frequently asked questions
Is Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $29.90 versus a price of $23.20, about +29% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CMP?
Our model-based fair value for Compass Minerals International Inc is $29.90 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $23.20.
What is the quality score of CMP?
Compass Minerals International Inc has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $29.90 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $12.46, optimistic scenario $46.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Compass Minerals International Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $29.90, about +29% upside versus a price of $23.20 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $12.46, optimistic scenario $46.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)?
Compass Minerals International Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Compass Minerals International Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +7.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CMP use?
Our models discount Compass Minerals International Inc at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.26, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Compass Minerals International Inc that is +7.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Compass Minerals International Inc grew +4.4 % a year. The price currently implies +7.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Compass Minerals International Inc (+7.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.19 %: that much free cash flow Compass Minerals International Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Compass Minerals International Inc it is $29.90 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $23.20. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Compass Minerals International Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CMP trades below its calculated fair value: price $23.20, fair value $29.90, a gap of about +29% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CMP?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($23.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($29.90). For Compass Minerals International Inc the two are $6.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Compass Minerals International Inc worth?
The market values Compass Minerals International Inc at about $1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $23.20; our models calculate a fair value of $29.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CMP?
Our models span a range for Compass Minerals International Inc: cautious scenario $12.46, base $29.90, optimistic $46.60 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $23.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CMP?
Compass Minerals International Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 145.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $29.90 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 5.5, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 9.1.
What is the PEG ratio of CMP?
The PEG ratio of Compass Minerals International Inc is 0.13 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Compass Minerals International Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 2.8%, debt of 3.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CMP from its 52-week high?
Compass Minerals International Inc trades at $23.20, about 31% below its 52-week high of $33.51 and 40% above the low of $16.54 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $29.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Compass Minerals International Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Compass Minerals International Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $23.20, calculated fair value $29.90 (+29%), Quality Score 45/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CMP calculated?
We run Compass Minerals International Inc through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $29.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Compass Minerals International Inc currently trades 29 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $23.20. Our model-based fair value is $29.90, about +29% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Compass Minerals International Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($12.46 to $46.60). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Compass Minerals International Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)?
The market capitalisation of Compass Minerals International Inc is $1.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Compass Minerals International Inc is 0.99 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)?
Earnings per share at Compass Minerals International Inc are $0.1600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 145.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)?
The net margin of Compass Minerals International Inc is −6.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Compass Minerals International Inc is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Compass Minerals International Inc is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)?
The operating margin of Compass Minerals International Inc is 12.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)?
Revenue at Compass Minerals International Inc is growing −8.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg 0.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP)?
Earnings per share at Compass Minerals International Inc are growing −91.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Compass Minerals International Inc (CMP) carry?
The net debt of Compass Minerals International Inc is $788M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 23, 2026