Cementos Argos S.A (CMTOY) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $4.1B
Cementos Argos S.A
CMTOY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price −9.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 20% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($17.55). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.86 – $23.69 · fair‑value band $11.27 – $17.55 · the $18.00 price screens above the $14.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Cementos Argos S.A (CMTOY) currently trades at $18.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.41, implying the stock looks roughly 19.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Cementos Argos S.A generated revenue of $3.8T at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue declined 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $674B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $11.27 (bear case) to $17.55 (bull case); at $18.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -20%, CMTOY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($48.66) versus Earnings-Based ($10.66). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cementos Argos S.A. produces and markets cement, concrete, aggregates, ready-mix concrete, and hydrated lime products in Colombia, the Caribbean, Central America, and the United States. The company also engages in the reinsurance and transport businesses. In addition, it exports its products.
Full company description
Cementos Argos S.A. produces and markets cement, concrete, aggregates, ready-mix concrete, and hydrated lime products in Colombia, the Caribbean, Central America, and the United States. The company also engages in the reinsurance and transport businesses. In addition, it exports its products. The company was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Barranquilla, Colombia. Cementos Argos S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Grupo Argos S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cementos Argos S.A reported revenue of $4.8T in FY2025 versus $9.8T in FY2021, a compound −16.4%/yr. Reported net income was $2.3T in FY2025, compounding +52.5%/yr from FY2021.
CMTOY screens 20% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →
Peer Group
Building Materials · 254 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRH plc CRH | $102.92 | $70.57 | -31% |
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹11,711 | ₹4,719 | -60% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥54.52 | ¥13.95 | -74% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,073 | ₹1,245 | -59% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO | 21.71 MXN | 15.42 MXN | -29% |
| Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 | ¥16.99 | ¥26.14 | +54% |
| Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM | ₹435.25 | ₹227.96 | -48% |
| Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM | ₹26,930 | ₹8,215 | -69% |
| TCC Group 1101B | 43.70 TWD | 10.48 TWD | -76% |
| Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 | 53.30 TWD | 13.98 TWD | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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