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Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Jul 17, 2026: fair value of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc $20.95, price $23.50, upside -10.9%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · US · ISIN US15136X1028

CL Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc

CNGO · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $20.95 · Overvalued (−10.9%)
!Quality 43/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +2.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (6/10)
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $10.01 to $40.24
!Weak on valuation: 19 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$23.50 $9.75 Fair Value $20.95 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $9.75 – $23.50 · fair‑value band $10.01 – $40.24 · the $23.50 price screens above the $20.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Cengage Learning Holdings II, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an education technology company worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Cengage Academic, Cengage Work, and Cengage Select.

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Cengage Learning Holdings II, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an education technology company worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Cengage Academic, Cengage Work, and Cengage Select. It offers eTextbooks, a digital version of the textbook; print textbooks and materials; and Cengage Unlimited, a subscription service for digital higher education materials. The company also provides courseware solutions, including MindTap for business and economics, social sciences, trades, and skills; WebAssign for mathematics and physics; Skills Assessment Manager for introductory computing; Cengage NOW for accounting; and Online Web-Based Learning for chemistry. In addition, it offers ed2go, an online learning platform; K-12, public, and academic libraries under the Gale brand, as well as licenses its content for integration within web-based information services; English language curriculum and digital solutions under the NGL brand; educational resources for career-focused beauty and wellness education providers; and literacy materials to K-6 students under the Nelson brand. Further, the company operates Infosec, a cybersecurity education platform comprising Bootcamps, which provides instructor-led, digital course experiences geared for cybersecurity certifications or skill sets; Infosec Skills that offers hands-on training for reskilling and upskilling in the cybersecurity profession; and Infosec IQ, which offers security awareness training for non-technical learners to recognize, avoid, and report cyber-attacks and security incidents. It sells and distributes its products through e-commerce channels, through channel partners, and college bookstores. The company serves higher education, workforce skills, secondary education, English language teaching, and research markets. Cengage Learning Holdings II, Inc. was founded in 1903 and is based in Mason, Ohio.

Stock analysis

Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO) currently trades at $23.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.95, 10.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $42.00 per share, and 4 of the 12 models we run sit above the $23.50 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $7.51, and 8 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $10.01 (bear) to $40.24 (bull), the price of $23.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2019, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$114M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.5B · P/S ratio 0.98 · EPS (TTM) $−1.83 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin −7.7% · Return on equity −344% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7% · Operating margin 16.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at −11%, CNGO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $10.01 Fair Value $20.95 Bull $40.24
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $6.99 $15.56 $29.93 76
Growth DCF $7.90 $16.02 $28.61 75
5Y EBITDA Exit $21.01 $43.62 $73.55 72
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $6.99 $15.56 $29.93 76
5Y Revenue Exit $1.34 $9.61 $21.58 64
5Y EBITDA Exit $21.01 $43.62 $73.55 72
10Y Revenue Exit $3.24 $9.20 $15.39 63
10Y EBITDA Exit $14.59 $28.40 $43.22 67
Earnings-Based
EPV $4.07 $7.51 $10.39 71
Multiples
EV/EBIT $26.20 $42.00 $57.81 64
EV/EBITDA $40.86 $61.55 $82.25 66
EV/Revenue n/a $7.02 $15.50 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.90 $16.02 $28.61 75
Rev-Margin DCF $1.34 $10.35 $21.60 65
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $4.07 $8.34 $12.40 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 11
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.0% (2019) → 14.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.1% a year for the price.

CNGO screens overvalued: fair value 11% below the price. Compare with New Oriental Education & Technology Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 120 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −10.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets 6.2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −2.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 16.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.98× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 18.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)19 · sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)34 · sector 29
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 33
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)58 · sector 50

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDU $55.63 $83.50 +50%
TAL Education Group TAL $12.00 $32.66 +172%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $37.40 $40.60 +9%
Covista Inc CVSA $120.75 $151.99 +26%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹134.36 ₹33.64 −75%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $147.28 $162.01 +10%
Stride, Inc LRN $75.59 $171.72 +127%
McGraw Hill, Inc MH $13.11 $8.95 −32%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $30.94 $41.01 +33%
Youdao, Inc DAO $15.15 $15.13 +0%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNGO

Frequently asked questions

Is Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $20.95 versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $23.50, about −11% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CNGO?
Our model-based fair value for Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc is $20.95 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): $23.50.
What is the quality score of CNGO?
Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $20.95 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.01, optimistic scenario $40.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $20.95, about −11% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $23.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $10.01, optimistic scenario $40.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO)?
Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc pay a dividend?
Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.90% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +20.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 6 years revenue grew +0.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CNGO use?
Our models discount Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.21, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc that is +20.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO) delivered so far?
Over the past 6 years revenue at Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc grew +0.4 % a year. The price currently implies +20.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (+20.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.32 %: that much free cash flow Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc it is $20.95 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $23.50. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CNGO trades above its calculated fair value: price $23.50, fair value $20.95, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CNGO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($23.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($20.95). For Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc the two are $2.55 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc worth?
The market values Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc at about $1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $23.50; our models calculate a fair value of $20.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CNGO?
Our models span a range for Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc: cautious scenario $10.01, base $20.95, optimistic $40.24 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $23.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CNGO from its 52-week high?
Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc trades at $23.50, at its 52-week high of $23.50 and at the low of $23.50 (as of Jul 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $20.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, TAL Education Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Covista Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $23.50, calculated fair value $20.95 (−11%), Quality Score 43/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CNGO calculated?
We run Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $20.95, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 17, 2026 and stands at $23.50. Our model-based fair value is $20.95, about −11% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($10.01 to $40.24). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO)?
The market capitalisation of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc is $1.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc is 0.98 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO)?
Earnings per share at Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc are $−1.83. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO)?
The dividend yield of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc is 2.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO)?
The net margin of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc is −7.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc is −344% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO)?
The operating margin of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc is 16.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO)?
Revenue at Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc is growing +6.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO)?
Earnings per share at Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc are growing +32.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc (CNGO) carry?
The net debt of Cengage Learning Holdings II Inc is $1.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 17.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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