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CNVRG Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · PH · Market cap 87.2B PHP

C CNVRG CNVRG · PSE
Price9.20 PHP
Fair Value25.10 PHP
Upside+172.8%
Quality67/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt
Trails peers (3/8)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range 18.64 PHP – 57.96 PHP Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 10, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 10, 2026, revised from 27.77 PHP to 25.10 PHP (−9.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −9.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 173% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (18.64 PHP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (18.64 PHP to 57.96 PHP). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

40.99 PHP 7.20 PHP Fair Value 25.10 PHP Feb 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 7.20 PHP – 40.99 PHP · fair‑value band 18.64 PHP – 57.96 PHP · the 9.20 PHP price screens below the 25.10 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.

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Analysis

CNVRG (CNVRG) currently trades at 9.20 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 25.10 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 172.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 12.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 18.64 PHP (bear case) to 57.96 PHP (bull case); at 9.20 PHP, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 173%, CNVRG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 17.69 PHP 36.97 PHP 68.56 PHP 80
Residual Income 7.79 PHP 10.88 PHP 57.96 PHP 76
Rev-Margin DCF 12.13 PHP 22.65 PHP 44.22 PHP 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 18.92 PHP 30.86 PHP 68.87 PHP 38
Owner Earnings 13.11 PHP 32.24 PHP 72.40 PHP 31
5Y Revenue Exit 11.09 PHP 19.55 PHP 37.16 PHP 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 20.86 PHP 39.29 PHP 75.49 PHP 41
5Y P/E Exit 18.03 PHP 42.43 PHP 75.67 PHP 38
10Y Revenue Exit 13.19 PHP 28.83 PHP 38.02 PHP 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 20.73 PHP 49.86 PHP 101.09 PHP 37
10Y P/E Exit 18.66 PHP 43.76 PHP 84.96 PHP 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 7.76 PHP 54.10 PHP 75.92 PHP 54
Lynch FV 25.39 PHP 36.27 PHP 47.15 PHP 50
PEG = 1.0 25.39 PHP 36.27 PHP 47.15 PHP 46
EPV 10.98 PHP 13.13 PHP 15.00 PHP 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.27 PHP 2.63 PHP 4.18 PHP 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1.27 PHP 2.22 PHP 2.77 PHP 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 18.82 PHP 25.10 PHP 31.37 PHP 63
P/S Multiple 11.25 PHP 15.00 PHP 18.75 PHP 58
P/B Multiple 14.55 PHP 19.39 PHP 24.24 PHP 55
EV/EBIT 18.64 PHP 25.48 PHP 32.32 PHP 53
EV/EBITDA 20.68 PHP 28.21 PHP 35.73 PHP 54
EV/Revenue 7.11 PHP 10.97 PHP 14.82 PHP 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.89 PHP 3.87 PHP 5.77 PHP 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 17.69 PHP 36.97 PHP 68.56 PHP 80
Rev-Margin DCF 12.13 PHP 22.65 PHP 44.22 PHP 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 7.79 PHP 10.88 PHP 57.96 PHP 76
ROIC Compounder 15.75 PHP 25.04 PHP 31.62 PHP 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 34.34 PHP 49.06 PHP 63.78 PHP 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (49.06 PHP) versus Dividend Discount (2.22 PHP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Return on equity 2,470%
P/E ratio 12.6
EPS (TTM) 1.05 PHP

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 25
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

CNVRG reported revenue of 40.6B PHP in FY2024 versus 15.7B PHP in FY2020, a compound +26.9%/yr. Reported net income was 10.8B PHP in FY2024, compounding +33.7%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
40.6B PHP
Latest YoY
+14.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+15.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+34.8%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y)
+45.5%
Revenue +26.9%/yr
FY20 15.7B PHP
FY21 26.5B PHP
FY22 33.7B PHP
FY23 35.4B PHP
FY24 40.6B PHP
Net income +33.7%/yr
FY20 3.4B PHP
FY21 7.2B PHP
FY22 7.4B PHP
FY23 9.1B PHP
FY24 10.8B PHP

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CNVRG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNVRG

Peer Group

Communication Services · 1202 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Telecommunications Services” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +173% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.44× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 20
FUTURE 0 · sector 8
PAST 0 · sector 12
HEALTH 78 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 54

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Telecommunications Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 10, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GLO GLO 1,810 PHP 1,918 PHP +6%
Axtel, S.A. AXTELCPO 2.73 MXN 0.7100 MXN -74%
DITO DITO 0.7100 PHP 1.79 PHP +152%
ECP ECP 2.28 PHP 0.8300 PHP -64%
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $211.80 $96.91 -54%
Apple Inc AAPL $313.33 $122.91 -61%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company 2330 2,290 TWD 1,325 TWD -42%
Samsung Electronics Co 005930 255,000 KRW 138,019 KRW -46%
SK hynix Inc 000660 2,082,000 KRW 1,109,311 KRW -47%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,740 TWD 1,163 TWD -69%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CNVRG overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 25.10 PHP versus a price of 9.20 PHP, about +173% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CNVRG?
Our model-based fair value for CNVRG is 25.10 PHP (as of Jul 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 9.20 PHP.
What is the quality score of CNVRG?
CNVRG has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of CNVRG?
The net profit margin of CNVRG is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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