Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Continental Aktiengesellschaft stock €106, price €67.40, upside +58.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?Yes
Good quality?No
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €28.65 – €75.98 · fair‑value band €71.97 – €158.06 · the €67.40 price screens below the €106.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.
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Continental manufactures tire and develops and produces solutions for automotive manufacturers, industrial, and end customers worldwide.
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It provides tires for cars, trucks, buses, two-wheel, and specialist vehicles, as well as digital tire monitoring and management systems; and engages in the retail of tires.
The company also develops solutions for industrial applications made from rubber, metal, and textiles; hoses, conveyor belts, air springs, and drive belts; and surface materials for energy, mining, agriculture, construction, as well as interior and exterior design, and automotive sectors.
The company was formerly known as Continental-Caoutchouc- und Gutta-Percha Compagnie. Continental was founded in 1871 and is headquartered in Hanover, Germany.
Stock analysis
Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON) currently trades at €67.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €106.46, implying the stock looks roughly 36.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €111.26 per share, and 10 of the 14 models we run sit above the €67.40 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €45.89, and 4 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €71.97 (bear) to €158.06 (bull), the price of €67.40 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
Continental Aktiengesellschaft reported revenue of €19.7B in FY2025 versus €33.8B in FY2021, a compound −12.6%/yr. Reported net income was −€165M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €13.5B Large · P/S ratio 0.74 · EPS (TTM) €−2.35 · Dividend yield 4.0% · Net margin −1.4% · Return on equity −8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6% · Operating margin 14.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 30 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 58%, CON screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€71.97Fair Value €106.46Bull€158.06
Price €67.40 · Upside +58.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.3% (2020) → 7.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−4.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.2% a year for the price and −6.5% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (77 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
AI conclusion: Continental's shift to a pure-play tire maker supports margins that hold up better than the broader auto supply chain, yet negative net income and ROE with limited evidence of durable advantages remain the core weakness.
Main risk: Chinese competition together with softer volumes threatens to pressure tire margins and replacement demand in Continental's focused business model.
Continental is finishing its shift to a pure-play tire maker after shedding non-core units. This leaves it trading at a discount to peers even as tire margins hold up better than the broader auto supply chain amid Chinese competition and softer volumes. Does the focused tire model deliver lasting margin gains or expose it more directly to replacement demand swings?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 663 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+58.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−0.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−1.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)14.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−11.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)4.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.08× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Continental Aktiengesellschaft Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CON.XETRA
Frequently asked questions
Is Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €106.46 versus a price of €67.40, about +58% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CON?
Our model-based fair value for Continental Aktiengesellschaft is €106.46 (as of Oct 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €67.40.
What is the quality score of CON?
Continental Aktiengesellschaft has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €106.46 (as of Oct 26, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario €71.97, optimistic scenario €158.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Continental Aktiengesellschaft stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €106.46, about +58% upside versus a price of €67.40 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €71.97, optimistic scenario €158.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON)?
Continental Aktiengesellschaft reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €18.8B (latest available figure, as of Oct 26, 2026).
Does Continental Aktiengesellschaft pay a dividend?
Continental Aktiengesellschaft currently shows a dividend yield of 4.01% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 26, 2026).
What growth is priced into Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Continental Aktiengesellschaft would have to grow free cash flow by +5.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -9.2 % per year. As of Oct 26, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CON use?
Our models discount Continental Aktiengesellschaft at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.29, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Continental Aktiengesellschaft that is +5.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Continental Aktiengesellschaft grew -9.2 % a year. The price currently implies +5.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Continental Aktiengesellschaft (+5.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.29 %: that much free cash flow Continental Aktiengesellschaft produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Continental Aktiengesellschaft it is €106.46 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026), against a price of €67.40. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Continental Aktiengesellschaft stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 26, 2026, CON trades below its calculated fair value: price €67.40, fair value €106.46, a gap of about +58% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CON?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€67.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€106.46). For Continental Aktiengesellschaft the two are €39.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Continental Aktiengesellschaft worth?
The market values Continental Aktiengesellschaft at about €13.5B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 26, 2026). Per share that is €67.40; our models calculate a fair value of €106.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CON?
Our models span a range for Continental Aktiengesellschaft: cautious scenario €71.97, base €106.46, optimistic €158.06 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026, price €67.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CON?
The PEG ratio of Continental Aktiengesellschaft is 6.36 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 26, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON)?
Balance-sheet figures for Continental Aktiengesellschaft (as of Oct 26, 2026): return on equity −8.3%, debt of 1.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CON from its 52-week high?
Continental Aktiengesellschaft trades at €67.40, about 11% below its 52-week high of €75.98 and 23% above the low of €54.89 (as of Oct 26, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €106.46 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Continental Aktiengesellschaft?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Continental Aktiengesellschaft stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 26, 2026: price €67.40, calculated fair value €106.46 (+58%), Quality Score 49/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CON calculated?
We run Continental Aktiengesellschaft through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €106.46, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Continental Aktiengesellschaft currently trades 37 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was €67.40. Our model-based fair value is €106.46, about +58% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Continental Aktiengesellschaft right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€71.97). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€71.97 to €158.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON) come from?
Earnings per share at Continental Aktiengesellschaft grew −9.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.5 %, EBIT margin −9.6 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Continental Aktiengesellschaft
How large is the market capitalisation of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON)?
The market capitalisation of Continental Aktiengesellschaft is €13.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Continental Aktiengesellschaft is 0.74 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON)?
Earnings per share at Continental Aktiengesellschaft are €−2.35. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON)?
The dividend yield of Continental Aktiengesellschaft is 4.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON)?
The net margin of Continental Aktiengesellschaft is −1.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Continental Aktiengesellschaft is −8.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Continental Aktiengesellschaft is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON)?
The operating margin of Continental Aktiengesellschaft is 14.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON)?
Revenue at Continental Aktiengesellschaft is growing −11.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −20.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON)?
Earnings per share at Continental Aktiengesellschaft are growing −45.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON) carry?
The net debt of Continental Aktiengesellschaft is €5.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Oct 26, 2026