Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · IN · Market cap ₹23.8B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Share price −2.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 37% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹59.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹32.23 to ₹59.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹28.81 – ₹114.23 · fair‑value band ₹32.23 – ₹59.41 · the ₹73.82 price screens above the ₹46.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET) currently trades at ₹73.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹46.41, implying the stock looks roughly 37.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Confidence Petroleum India Limited generated revenue of ₹47.0B at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue grew 31.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. Net debt stands at ₹5.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹32.23 (bear case) to ₹59.41 (bull case); at ₹73.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 163% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -37%, CONFIPET screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹137.64) versus Dividend Discount (₹1.72). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Confidence Petroleum India Limited manufactures and sells liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) cylinders in India. It operates in Cylinder and LPG divisions. The company is involved in the production and marketing of LPG and compressed natural gas cylinders. It also engages in the LPG marketing and bottling business, as well as logistic business.
Full company description
Confidence Petroleum India Limited manufactures and sells liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) cylinders in India. It operates in Cylinder and LPG divisions. The company is involved in the production and marketing of LPG and compressed natural gas cylinders. It also engages in the LPG marketing and bottling business, as well as logistic business. The company sells its products under the GO GAS brand. The company was formerly known as Devarsa Gas-Chem Ltd. and changed its name to Confidence Petroleum India Limited in February 2006. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Nagpur, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Confidence Petroleum India Limited reported revenue of ₹47.0B in FY2026 versus ₹14.3B in FY2022, a compound +34.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹929M in FY2026, compounding +1.4%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +28.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
CONFIPET screens 37% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,293 | ₹835.66 | -35% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $309.65 | $127.32 | -59% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $283.74 | $135.80 | -52% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $196.16 | $101.04 | -48% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.10 | €4.07 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 81.30 TWD | 16.68 TWD | -79% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹138.96 | ₹417.35 | +200% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $88.59 | $48.90 | -45% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹315.55 | ₹846.81 | +168% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 121,400 KRW | 58,865 KRW | -52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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