Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Confidence Petroleum India Limited stock ₹79.45, price ₹61.55, upside +29.1%, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹28.81 – ₹114.23 · fair‑value band ₹55.62 – ₹103.29 · the ₹61.55 price screens below the ₹79.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Confidence Petroleum India Limited manufactures and sells liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) cylinders in India. It operates in Cylinder and LPG divisions. The company is involved in the production and marketing of LPG and compressed natural gas cylinders.
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It also engages in the LPG marketing and bottling business, as well as logistic business. The company sells its products under the GO GAS brand. The company was formerly known as Devarsa Gas-Chem Ltd. and changed its name to Confidence Petroleum India Limited in February 2006.
The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Nagpur, India.
Stock analysis
Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET) currently trades at ₹61.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹79.45, implying the stock looks roughly 23% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹132.04 per share, and 15 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹61.55 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹28.51, and 11 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹55.62 (bear) to ₹103.29 (bull), the price of ₹61.55 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Confidence Petroleum India Limited reported revenue of ₹47.0B in FY2026 versus ₹14.3B in FY2022, a compound +34.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹929M in FY2026, compounding +1.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹20.6B (≈ $219M) Micro · P/E ratio 15.2 · P/S ratio 0.34 · EPS (TTM) ₹4.05 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 2.2% · Return on equity 6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.2% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 30 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 114% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 29%, CONFIPET screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear₹55.62Fair Value ₹79.45Bull₹103.29
Price ₹61.55 · Upside +29.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹2.43 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+49.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +29.5% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+62.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8.6% vs 37.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.8% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 119 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+29.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.5% · Below median
Return on assets3.4% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)2.2% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)4.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)116.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.23× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)15.2× · Pricier than median
P/B1.45× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)0.34× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)8.1× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Confidence Petroleum India Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CONFIPET
Frequently asked questions
Is Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹79.45 versus a price of ₹61.55, about +29% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CONFIPET?
Our model-based fair value for Confidence Petroleum India Limited is ₹79.45 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹61.55.
What is the quality score of CONFIPET?
Confidence Petroleum India Limited has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹79.45 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹55.62, optimistic scenario ₹103.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Confidence Petroleum India Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹79.45, about +29% upside versus a price of ₹61.55 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹55.62, optimistic scenario ₹103.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET)?
Confidence Petroleum India Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹60.0B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Confidence Petroleum India Limited pay a dividend?
Confidence Petroleum India Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 0.16% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Confidence Petroleum India Limited pays a dividend of ₹0.1 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 23, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2020. The payout ratio is 2.5% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 76.44 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Confidence Petroleum India Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +3.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +40.4 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CONFIPET use?
Our models discount Confidence Petroleum India Limited at 13.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.63, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Confidence Petroleum India Limited that is +3.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (13.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Confidence Petroleum India Limited grew +40.4 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +3.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +13.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Confidence Petroleum India Limited (+3.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.42 %: that much free cash flow Confidence Petroleum India Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Confidence Petroleum India Limited it is ₹79.45 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of ₹61.55. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Confidence Petroleum India Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, CONFIPET trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹61.55, fair value ₹79.45, a gap of about +29% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CONFIPET?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹61.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹79.45). For Confidence Petroleum India Limited the two are ₹17.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Confidence Petroleum India Limited worth?
The market values Confidence Petroleum India Limited at about ₹20.6B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is ₹61.55; our models calculate a fair value of ₹79.45 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CONFIPET?
Our models span a range for Confidence Petroleum India Limited: cautious scenario ₹55.62, base ₹79.45, optimistic ₹103.29 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price ₹61.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CONFIPET?
Confidence Petroleum India Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.2 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹79.45 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2021 to 2026), reported earnings: 20.8. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 5.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET)?
Balance-sheet figures for Confidence Petroleum India Limited (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 6.5%, debt of 0.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CONFIPET from its 52-week high?
Confidence Petroleum India Limited trades at ₹61.55, about 33% below its 52-week high of ₹91.95 and 114% above the low of ₹28.81 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹79.45 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Confidence Petroleum India Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Reliance Industries Limited, Valero Energy Corporation, Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Confidence Petroleum India Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price ₹61.55, calculated fair value ₹79.45 (+29%), Quality Score 49/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CONFIPET calculated?
We run Confidence Petroleum India Limited through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ₹79.45 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Confidence Petroleum India Limited currently trades 23% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was ₹61.55. Our model-based fair value is ₹79.45, about +29% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Confidence Petroleum India Limited right now?
A fairly wide model range (₹55.62 to ₹103.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET) come from?
Earnings per share at Confidence Petroleum India Limited grew +46.0 % a year from 2016 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +25.1 %, EBIT margin +4.7 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +10.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Confidence Petroleum India Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET)?
The market capitalisation of Confidence Petroleum India Limited is ₹20.6B (≈ $219M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Confidence Petroleum India Limited is 0.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET)?
Earnings per share at Confidence Petroleum India Limited are ₹4.05 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET)?
The dividend yield of Confidence Petroleum India Limited is 0.2% (payout 2.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET)?
The net margin of Confidence Petroleum India Limited is 2.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Confidence Petroleum India Limited is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Confidence Petroleum India Limited is 11.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET)?
The operating margin of Confidence Petroleum India Limited is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET)?
Revenue at Confidence Petroleum India Limited is growing +117% versus a year earlier (3y avg +28.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET)?
Earnings per share at Confidence Petroleum India Limited are growing +205% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET) carry?
The net debt of Confidence Petroleum India Limited is ₹5.4B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 2.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 6, 2026