Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Cosmic CRF Ltd ₹987, price ₹1,270, upside -22.3%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
39‑month range ₹183.20 – ₹2,117 · fair‑value band ₹709.93 – ₹1,264 · the ₹1,270 price screens above the ₹986.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Cosmic CRF Limited manufactures and supplies cold rolled stainless sections and other engineering products in India. The company offers fabricated items for railway coaches and wagons, cold rolled formed items for wagons and coaches, cold rolled formed items for infra companies and EPC projects, and products for roadways and national highways.
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Cosmic CRF Limited manufactures and supplies cold rolled stainless sections and other engineering products in India. The company offers fabricated items for railway coaches and wagons, cold rolled formed items for wagons and coaches, cold rolled formed items for infra companies and EPC projects, and products for roadways and national highways. It also offers coated coil, tubes, rebars, and wire rods. Cosmic CRF Limited serves the wagon carts, electrical transmission, defense, and real estate sectors. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India.
Stock analysis
Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF) currently trades at ₹1,270, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹986.85, 22.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹2,514 per share, and 4 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹1,270 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹324.74, and 10 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹709.93 (bear) to ₹1,264 (bull), the price of ₹1,270 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Cosmic CRF Ltd reported revenue of ₹7.2B in FY2026 versus ₹0 in FY2022. Reported net income was ₹506M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹11.7B (≈ $121M) · P/E ratio 23.1 · P/S ratio 1.63 · EPS (TTM) ₹55.02 · Net margin 7.1% · Return on equity 11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7% · Operating margin 8.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 126% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −22%, COSMICCRF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹709.93Fair Value ₹986.85Bull ₹1,264
Price ₹1,270 · Upside -22.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹28.19 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.42/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+78.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+80.7%
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+68.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+68.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2023 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 10%
2026 sits 253% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Railroads · 107 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−22.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)7.1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)8.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth77.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
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Is Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹986.85 versus a price of ₹1,270, about −22% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of COSMICCRF?
Our model-based fair value for Cosmic CRF Ltd is ₹986.85 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,270.
What is the quality score of COSMICCRF?
Cosmic CRF Ltd has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹986.85 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹709.93, optimistic scenario ₹1,264. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cosmic CRF Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹986.85, about −22% upside versus a price of ₹1,270 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹709.93, optimistic scenario ₹1,264. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF)?
Cosmic CRF Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹7.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cosmic CRF Ltd it is ₹986.85 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹1,270. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cosmic CRF Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, COSMICCRF trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹1,270, fair value ₹986.85, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of COSMICCRF?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹1,270); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹986.85). For Cosmic CRF Ltd the two are ₹283.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cosmic CRF Ltd worth?
The market values Cosmic CRF Ltd at about ₹11.7B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹1,270; our models calculate a fair value of ₹986.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about COSMICCRF?
Our models span a range for Cosmic CRF Ltd: cautious scenario ₹709.93, base ₹986.85, optimistic ₹1,264 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹1,270). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of COSMICCRF?
Cosmic CRF Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.1 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹986.85 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.6, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 15.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cosmic CRF Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 11.5%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is COSMICCRF from its 52-week high?
Cosmic CRF Ltd trades at ₹1,270, about 13% below its 52-week high of ₹1,459 and 126% above the low of ₹562.00 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹986.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cosmic CRF Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Union Pacific Corporation, CSX Corporation, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, Canadian National Railway Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cosmic CRF Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹1,270, calculated fair value ₹986.85 (−22%), Quality Score 38/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of COSMICCRF calculated?
We run Cosmic CRF Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹986.85, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Cosmic CRF Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹1,270. Our model-based fair value is ₹986.85, about −22% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cosmic CRF Ltd right now?
Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The price sits above our optimistic bull case: the favourable scenario is already priced in. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Cosmic CRF Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF)?
The market capitalisation of Cosmic CRF Ltd is ₹11.7B (≈ $121M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cosmic CRF Ltd is 1.63 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF)?
Earnings per share at Cosmic CRF Ltd are ₹55.02 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF)?
The net margin of Cosmic CRF Ltd is 7.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cosmic CRF Ltd is 11.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cosmic CRF Ltd is 7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF)?
The operating margin of Cosmic CRF Ltd is 8.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF)?
Revenue at Cosmic CRF Ltd is growing +77.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +80.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF)?
Earnings per share at Cosmic CRF Ltd are growing +86.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF) generate?
The free cash flow of Cosmic CRF Ltd is −₹1.1B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF) carry?
The net debt of Cosmic CRF Ltd is ₹1.1B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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