Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹10.3B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −1.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 24% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,264). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
38‑month range ₹183.20 – ₹2,117 · fair‑value band ₹709.93 – ₹1,264 · the ₹1,297 price screens above the ₹986.85 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Cosmic CRF Ltd (COSMICCRF) currently trades at ₹1,297, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹986.85, implying the stock looks roughly 23.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Cosmic CRF Ltd generated revenue of ₹7.2B at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue grew 77.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.5%. Net debt stands at ₹1.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹709.93 (bear case) to ₹1,264 (bull case); at ₹1,297, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 136% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -24%, COSMICCRF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹2,514) versus Asset-Based (₹324.74). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cosmic CRF Limited manufactures and supplies cold rolled stainless sections and other engineering products in India. The company offers fabricated items for railway coaches and wagons, cold rolled formed items for wagons and coaches, cold rolled formed items for infra companies and EPC projects, and products for roadways and national highways.
Full company description
Cosmic CRF Limited manufactures and supplies cold rolled stainless sections and other engineering products in India. The company offers fabricated items for railway coaches and wagons, cold rolled formed items for wagons and coaches, cold rolled formed items for infra companies and EPC projects, and products for roadways and national highways. It also offers coated coil, tubes, rebars, and wire rods. Cosmic CRF Limited serves the wagon carts, electrical transmission, defense, and real estate sectors. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Cosmic CRF Ltd reported revenue of ₹7.2B in FY2026 versus ₹0 in FY2022. Reported net income was ₹506M in FY2026.
COSMICCRF screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →
Peer Group
Railroads · 115 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $293.73 | $141.29 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $50.08 | $12.62 | -75% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.69 | $34.23 | -63% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNR | C$176.01 | C$92.68 | -47% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $335.41 | $114.55 | -66% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $295.54 | $144.80 | -51% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥5.04 | ¥5.65 | +12% |
| MTR Corporation 0066 | HK$32.30 | HK$17.85 | -45% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.98 | ¥9.53 | +59% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.72 | ¥6.22 | +32% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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