Conpet S.A (COTE) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · RO · Market cap 649M RON
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from 80.62 RON to 15.37 RON (−80.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 80% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (21.26 RON). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 43.85 RON – 79.80 RON · fair‑value band 12.11 RON – 21.26 RON · the 75.60 RON price screens above the 15.37 RON fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Conpet S.A (COTE) currently trades at 75.60 RON, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.37 RON, implying the stock looks roughly 79.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Conpet S.A generated revenue of 528M RON at a net margin of 8.4%. Revenue declined 17.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 11.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 12.11 RON (bear case) to 21.26 RON (bull case); at 75.60 RON, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -80%, COTE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (89.43 RON) versus Earnings-Based (48.82 RON). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Conpet S.A. transports crude oil, rich gas, condensate, and ethane by pipeline and railway in Romania. The company's pipeline system comprises pumping stations, loading-unloading ramps, railway wagons, and tank parks. The company was formerly known as Intreprinderea de Transport Titei prin Conducte and changed its name to Conpet S.A. in January 1991.
Full company description
Conpet S.A. transports crude oil, rich gas, condensate, and ethane by pipeline and railway in Romania. The company's pipeline system comprises pumping stations, loading-unloading ramps, railway wagons, and tank parks. The company was formerly known as Intreprinderea de Transport Titei prin Conducte and changed its name to Conpet S.A. in January 1991. Conpet S.A. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Ploiesti, Romania.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Conpet S.A reported revenue of 532M RON in FY2024 versus 405M RON in FY2020, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was 49.3M RON in FY2024, compounding −5.1%/yr from FY2020.
COTE screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enbridge Inc ENB | $56.46 | $47.20 | -16% |
| The Williams Companies, Inc WMB | $73.38 | $12.03 | -84% |
| Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD | $38.31 | $24.74 | -35% |
| TC Energy Corporation TRP | C$97.79 | C$42.00 | -57% |
| Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI | $32.54 | $11.12 | -66% |
| Energy Transfer LP, ET | $19.91 | $17.69 | -11% |
| ONEOK, Inc OKE | $93.52 | $64.05 | -32% |
| Targa Resources Corp TRGP | $273.35 | $79.61 | -71% |
| MPLX LP owns and MPLX | $57.17 | $37.05 | -35% |
| Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG | $255.83 | $211.18 | -17% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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