Comet Holding (COTN) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CH · Market cap CHF 3.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from CHF 31.42 to CHF 38.56 (+22.7%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price −3.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 90% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 52.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (CHF 27.52 to CHF 52.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 135.54 – CHF 437.00 · fair‑value band CHF 27.52 – CHF 52.49 · the CHF 382.80 price screens above the CHF 38.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Comet Holding (COTN) currently trades at CHF 382.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 38.56, implying the stock looks roughly 89.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Comet Holding generated revenue of CHF 457M at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue declined 10.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of CHF 5.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 27.52 (bear case) to CHF 52.49 (bull case); at CHF 382.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 130% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -90%, COTN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (CHF 43.00) versus Earnings-Based (CHF 10.78). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Comet Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides X-ray and radio frequency (RF) power technology solutions in Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It operates through three divisions: Plasma Control Technologies, X-Ray Systems, and Industrial X-Ray Modules.
Full company description
Comet Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides X-ray and radio frequency (RF) power technology solutions in Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It operates through three divisions: Plasma Control Technologies, X-Ray Systems, and Industrial X-Ray Modules. The Plasma Control Technologies division develops, manufactures, and markets vacuum capacitors, RF generators, and RF impedance matching networks for the high-precision control of plasma processes required in the production of memory chips and flat panel displays. The X-Ray Systems division develops, manufactures, and markets compact x-ray and provides related services, for non destructive examination using x-ray computed tomography. The Industrial X-Ray Modules division develops, manufactures, and markets compact X-ray sources and portable X-ray modules for non-destructive examination, steel metrology, and security inspection. The company offers its products under the Comet and Comet Yxlon brands. The company serves manufacturers in the semiconductor, aerospace, automotive, and security sectors. Comet Holding AG was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Flamatt, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Comet Holding reported revenue of CHF 457M in FY2025 versus CHF 514M in FY2021, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 12.2M in FY2025, compounding −34.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
COTN screens 90% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →
Peer Group
Scientific & Technical Instruments · 169 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS | $354.50 | $107.22 | -70% |
| Garmin Ltd GRMN | $309.98 | $139.44 | -55% |
| Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY | $686.49 | $488.95 | -29% |
| Hexagon AB HEXAB | kr 95.06 | kr 73.99 | -22% |
| MKS Inc MKSI | $294.38 | $76.00 | -74% |
| AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 | ¥57.89 | ¥34.47 | -40% |
| Fortive Corporation FTV | $61.54 | $33.48 | -46% |
| Trimble Inc TRMB | $57.98 | $34.12 | -41% |
| Cognex Corporation CGNX | $60.67 | $19.25 | -68% |
| Wuhan Guide Infrared Co 002414 | ¥13.99 | ¥4.50 | -68% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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