Cyfrowy Polsat SA (CPS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Cyfrowy Polsat SA stock PLN 20.21, price PLN 17.80, upside +13.6%, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
- Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free
Cyfrowy Polsat SA
CPS · WARSpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.
The stock costs 12% less than our calculation considers fair.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 9.76 PLN – 35.04 PLN · fair‑value band 10.02 PLN – 30.40 PLN · the 17.80 PLN price screens below the 20.21 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 27, 2026.
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Company profile
Cyfrowy Polsat S.A. provides digital satellite platform and terrestrial television (TV), and telecommunication services primarily in Poland. It operates through B2C and B2B Services, Media, Real Estate, and Green Energy segments.
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The company offers various pay TV; radio, TV, and media; bundling of services; paid premium content channels, OTT platform Polsat Box Go, Disney+ access, Max and FilmBox platforms, online video, multiroom, catch-up TV, and nPVR services; purchase add-on packages; mobile voice services; and various tariff plans; unlimited calls, SMS, and MMS, as well as tariff-based data packages or additional minutes, and GB for roaming; value-added services; smartphones supporting 5G, LTE advanced and technologies in an instalment plan; fixed-line voice services; and fixed-line telephony.
It also provides broadband internet access services; mobile internet; contract tariff plans; Internet access devices leasing; tablets laptops and other devices; Home Internet Set; fixed-line Internet access; high-speed Internet; network interconnection, international and national roaming services; and wholesale services, including voice calls, text messaging and data transmission, and premium rate services.
In addition, the company offers production, acquisition, and broadcasting of information; sports and entertainment programs; and TV series and feature films broadcast on television channels.
Further, it produces low- and zero-carbon energy; sells and trades energy; produces and distributes green hydrogen and hydrogen buses; produces and sells solar, wind, and biomass; and engages in real estate development and construction, as well as commercial leasing and property management.
Additionally, the company operates its flagship channel, POLSAT. The company was formerly known as Polsat Cyfrowy S.A. and changed its name to Cyfrowy Polsat S.A. in 2004. Cyfrowy Polsat S.A. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Warsaw, Poland.
Stock analysis
Cyfrowy Polsat SA (CPS) currently trades at 17.80 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 20.21 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 11.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 42.75 PLN per share, and 10 of the 13 models we run sit above the 17.80 PLN price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 5.27 PLN, and 3 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 10.02 PLN (bear) to 30.40 PLN (bull), the price of 17.80 PLN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Cyfrowy Polsat SA reported revenue of 14.3B PLN in FY2025 versus 11.0B PLN in FY2021, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was −2.6B PLN in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 9.8B PLN (≈ $2.5B) Mid · P/E ex one-offs 59.1 · P/S ratio 0.67 · EPS (TTM) −4.53 PLN · Net margin −16.7% · Return on equity −15.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% · Operating margin 11.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 20 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 14%, CPS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 13 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Cyfrowy Polsat SA with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 233 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Communication Services sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Communication Services
- Valuation of the Poland market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc NFLX | $67.05 | $73.76 | +10% | vs CPS |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €16.00 | €17.60 | +10% | vs CPS |
| Formula One Group FWONK | $91.27 | $100.40 | +10% | vs CPS |
| Fox Corporation FOX | $60.82 | $65.92 | +8% | vs CPS |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $113.13 | $101.07 | −11% | vs CPS |
| News Corporation NWS | $33.28 | $17.05 | −49% | vs CPS |
| Roku, Inc ROKU | $158.58 | $71.66 | −55% | vs CPS |
| TKO Group TKO | $177.94 | $69.66 | −61% | vs CPS |
| Warner Music Group WMG | $31.69 | $10.61 | −67% | vs CPS |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $174.34 | $48.10 | −72% | vs CPS |
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Frequently asked questions
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Key figures of Cyfrowy Polsat SA
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