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Carbon Energy Corporation (CRBO) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $1.2K

CE Carbon Energy Corporation logo Carbon Energy Corporation CRBO · US
Price$0.0006
Fair Value$0.0010
Upside+66.7%
Quality37/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -46.5% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.0010 – $0.0010 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 17, 2026, revised from $0.0006 to $0.0010 (+66.7%) since Aug 13, 2026.

Below-average quality, screening 67% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0010). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$60.00 $0.0001 Fair Value $0.0010 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0001 – $60.00 · the $0.0006 price screens below the $0.0010 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Carbon Energy Corporation (CRBO) currently trades at $0.0006, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0010, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Carbon Energy Corporation generated revenue of $84.2M at a net margin of -46.5%. Revenue declined 62.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -56.0%. Net debt stands at $151M. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 67%, CRBO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.0009 $0.0028 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0013 $0.0045 74
EV/EBITDA $0.0006 $0.0013 54
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.0007 $0.0032 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.0009 $0.0035 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.0014 $0.0045 41
10Y Revenue Exit $0.0016 $0.0028 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.0021 $0.0060 37
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.0001 53
EV/EBITDA $0.0006 $0.0013 54
EV/Revenue $0.0007 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0004 $0.0006 $0.0008 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.0009 $0.0028 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0013 $0.0045 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.0014) versus Multiples ($0.0006). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $84.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) -62.3%
Net margin -46.5%
Return on equity -56.0%
Free cash flow $10.8M FY2019
Operating margin -126%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.19
Net debt $151M FY2019

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Carbon Energy Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the development and production of oil- and natural-gas-producing properties in the Ventura Basin of California. The company was formerly known as Carbon Natural Gas Company and changed its name to Carbon Energy Corporation in June 2018.

Full company description

Carbon Energy Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the development and production of oil- and natural-gas-producing properties in the Ventura Basin of California. The company was formerly known as Carbon Natural Gas Company and changed its name to Carbon Energy Corporation in June 2018. Carbon Energy Corporation is based in Lakewood, Colorado.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2015 – FY2019 · reported fiscal years

Carbon Energy Corporation reported revenue of $117M in FY2019 versus $11.7M in FY2015, a compound +77.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.0M in FY2019.

Growth Quality 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2019)
$117M
Latest YoY
+119.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+142.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+37.1%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+46.3%
Revenue +77.8%/yr
FY15 $11.7M
FY16 $8.2M
FY17 $22.5M
FY18 $53.1M
FY19 $117M
Net income
FY15 −$8.3M
FY16 −$12.4M
FY17 $6.3M
FY18 $8.4M
FY19 −$1.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Carbon Energy Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CRBO

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 318 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Below median
Fair Value upside +67% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -47% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -126% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -62% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 2.79× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 10
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 87
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥32.85 ¥32.55 -1%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $126.78 $90.15 -29%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.57 $31.14 -35%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $143.14 $130.19 -9%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $58.55 $30.06 -49%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $201.71 $105.24 -48%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $44.86 $27.06 -40%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$32.55 A$20.71 -36%
EQT Corporation EQT $54.06 $42.85 -21%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $342.77 $77.26 -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Carbon Energy Corporation (CRBO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0010 versus a price of $0.0006, about +67% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CRBO?
Our model-based fair value for Carbon Energy Corporation is $0.0010 (as of Aug 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0006.
What is the quality score of CRBO?
Carbon Energy Corporation has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Carbon Energy Corporation (CRBO)?
Carbon Energy Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $84.2M (latest available figure, as of Aug 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CRBO?
The net profit margin of Carbon Energy Corporation is about -46.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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