California Resources Corp (CRC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what California Resources Corp is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
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Energy · US · Market cap $5.1B · ISIN US13057Q3056
At a glance
CRCalifornia Resources CorpCRC · US
Price$56.70
Fair Value$57.22
Upside+0.9%
Quality46/100
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of $57.22.
As of Aug 30, 2026, the fair value of California Resources Corp is $57.22 per share against a price of $56.70, so the fair value sits 1% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +17.5 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -3.2% net margin · fiscal year 2025 10.1%
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·2.83% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: MediumRange $40.25 to $71.52
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Share price +5.5% over the past month.
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What matters now
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $22.39 – $69.66 · fair‑value band $40.25 – $71.52 · the $56.70 price screens below the $57.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
California Resources Corp (CRC) currently trades at $56.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $57.22, implying the stock looks roughly 0.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $60.09 per share, and 13 of the 26 models we run sit above the $56.70 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $20.71, and 13 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, California Resources Corp generated revenue of $3.5B at a net margin of −13.4%. Revenue grew 6.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −14.4%. Net debt stands at $1.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Scenario range: $40.25 (bear) to $71.52 (bull), the price of $56.70 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 1%, CRC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/S ratio1.32TTM
EPS (TTM)$−1.23
Dividend yield2.8%
Net margin10.1%FY2025
Return on equity−14.4%TTM
Return on assets (EBIT)20.1%avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin46.8%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)$3.5BTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+6.7%3y avg +3.4%
EPS growth (YoY)−61.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow$543MFY2025
Net debt$1.2BFY2025 · ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality46/100
Of which business quality 51
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Profitability39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment21
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance32
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
California Resources Corporation operates as an independent energy and carbon management company in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Oil and Natural Gas, and Carbon Management. It explores, develops, and produces crude oil, oil condensate, natural gas liquids and natural gas to california refineries, marketers, and other purchasers.
Full company description
California Resources Corporation operates as an independent energy and carbon management company in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Oil and Natural Gas, and Carbon Management. It explores, develops, and produces crude oil, oil condensate, natural gas liquids and natural gas to california refineries, marketers, and other purchasers. The company also provides Carbon TerraVault which builds, installs, operates, and maintains CO2 capture equipment, transportation assets, and storage facilities. In addition, it owns and operates power generation facilities, as well as smaller gas-fired power plants used to generate power for oil and natural gas operations. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Long Beach, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
California Resources Corp reported revenue of $3.6B in FY2025 versus $2.6B in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was $363M in FY2025, compounding −12.2%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.6B
Latest YoY
+21.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (14Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−1.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−4.1%
Dividend yield2.8%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −22.6% vs 10Y −5.0%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0.4% (2020) → 23.6% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop501% (2015) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Above median
Fair Value upside+6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)47% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth33% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.35× · Above median
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.25× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.23× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF8.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA9.6× · Priciest 25%
PEG0.37× · Cheapest 25%
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must California Resources Corp deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Implied FCF growth, 10 years-0.1 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+17.5 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+1.6 %
FCF yield on price10.72 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models9.5 %
The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE35· sector 8
FUTURE100· sector 7
PAST0· sector 9
HEALTH83· sector 87
DIVIDEND56· sector 70
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Oil & gas
Similar stocks
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Is California Resources Corp (CRC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $57.22 versus a price of $56.70, about +1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CRC?
Our model-based fair value for California Resources Corp is $57.22 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $56.70.
What is the quality score of CRC?
California Resources Corp has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for California Resources Corp (CRC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $57.22 (as of Aug 30, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $40.25, optimistic scenario $71.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the California Resources Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $57.22, about +1% upside versus a price of $56.70 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $40.25, optimistic scenario $71.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of California Resources Corp (CRC)?
California Resources Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CRC?
The net profit margin of California Resources Corp is about −13.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does California Resources Corp pay a dividend?
California Resources Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.83% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 30, 2026).
What growth is priced into California Resources Corp (CRC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, California Resources Corp would have to grow free cash flow by -0.1 % per year for ten years (discount rate 9.5 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.5 % per year. As of Aug 30, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CRC use?
Our models discount California Resources Corp at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.92, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of California Resources Corp (CRC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For California Resources Corp it is $57.22 per share (as of Aug 30, 2026), against a price of $56.70. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is California Resources Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 30, 2026, CRC trades below its calculated fair value: price $56.70, fair value $57.22, a gap of about +1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CRC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($56.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($57.22). For California Resources Corp the two are $0.5200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is California Resources Corp worth?
The market values California Resources Corp at about $5.1B (market capitalisation, as of Aug 30, 2026). Per share that is $56.70; our models calculate a fair value of $57.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CRC?
Our models span a range for California Resources Corp: cautious scenario $40.25, base $57.22, optimistic $71.52 per share (as of Aug 30, 2026, price $56.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CRC?
The PEG ratio of California Resources Corp is 0.37 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Aug 30, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of California Resources Corp (CRC)?
Balance-sheet figures for California Resources Corp (as of Aug 30, 2026): return on equity −3.6%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CRC from its 52-week high?
California Resources Corp trades at $56.70, about 21% below its 52-week high of $71.50 and 33% above the low of $42.68 (as of Aug 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $57.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to California Resources Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is California Resources Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 30, 2026: price $56.70, calculated fair value $57.22 (+1%), Quality Score 46/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CRC calculated?
We run California Resources Corp through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $57.22, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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California Resources Corp
CRC · US