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CRRC Corporation (CRCCY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of CRRC Corporation $33.91, price $16.01, upside +111.8%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Sep 29, 2026
Some data
Sep 29, 2026
CRRC Corporation
CRCCY · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value $33.91 · Strongly undervalued (+111.8%)
!Quality 57/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +3.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓6.0% dividend yield · Well covered
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.69 – $16.36 · fair‑value band $25.44 – $42.39 · the $16.01 price screens below the $33.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
CRRC Corporation Limited, with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, designing, manufacturing, refurbishment, sale, leasing, and technical servicing of railway locomotives in Mainland China and internationally.
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CRRC Corporation Limited, with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, designing, manufacturing, refurbishment, sale, leasing, and technical servicing of railway locomotives in Mainland China and internationally. It provides rolling stock, including electric and diesel locomotives, trains, EMU, DMU, trams and rail vehicles, metro cars, LRVs, coaches, wagons, and track machinery; components, such as motors, electric control equipment, locomotive components, vehicle components, and casting and forging; and other products comprising trucks, buses, construction machineries, turnouts, wind turbines, and intelligent machines. The company also offers MUs, urban rail transit vehicles, engineering machinery, various electromechanical equipment, electronic equipment and components, electric devices, and environmental protection equipment, as well as sales, technical services, and equipment leasing of related products. In addition, it provides information consultation, industry investment and management, and asset management services; and engages in the import and export, software development, logistics and trading, and financing activities. The company was formerly known as CSR Corporation Limited and changed its name to CRRC Corporation Limited in June 2015. CRRC Corporation Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. CRRC Corporation Limited operates as a subsidiary of CRRC GROUP Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
CRRC Corporation (CRCCY) currently trades at $16.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $33.91, implying the stock looks roughly 52.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $38.52 per share, and 21 of the 23 models we run sit above the $16.01 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $14.15, and 2 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $25.44 (bear) to $42.39 (bull), the price of $16.01 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
CRRC Corporation reported revenue of 273B CNY in FY2025 versus 226B CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was 13.2B CNY in FY2025, compounding +6.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $21.6B · P/E ratio 10.9 · P/S ratio 0.53 · EPS (TTM) $1.38 · Dividend yield 6.0% · Net margin 4.8% · Return on equity 8.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 112%, CRCCY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $25.44
Fair Value $33.91
Bull $42.39
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.8696 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$28.12
$37.60
$51.23
81
Growth DCF
$28.70
$37.46
$49.48
80
Owner Earnings
$25.28
$33.45
$45.21
77
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$28.12
$37.60
$51.23
81
Owner Earnings
$25.28
$33.45
$45.21
77
5Y Revenue Exit
$28.01
$39.04
$52.69
73
5Y EBITDA Exit
$33.94
$49.66
$67.33
76
5Y P/E Exit
$29.16
$41.10
$53.06
72
10Y Revenue Exit
$27.23
$37.12
$49.48
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
$31.57
$44.32
$60.21
69
10Y P/E Exit
$28.58
$38.52
$49.75
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$11.00
$26.83
$34.70
65
PEG = 1.0
$4.79
$6.84
$8.90
57
EPV
$26.74
$29.96
$32.78
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$25.48
$33.97
$42.46
63
P/S Multiple
$20.63
$27.50
$34.38
58
P/B Multiple
$20.63
$27.50
$34.38
55
EV/EBIT
$38.03
$48.23
$58.44
66
EV/EBITDA
$41.40
$52.74
$64.07
67
EV/Revenue
$29.26
$38.63
$47.99
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$10.56
$14.15
$21.12
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$28.70
$37.46
$49.48
80
Rev-Margin DCF
$28.01
$39.22
$51.34
73
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$17.58
$18.68
$20.78
76
ROIC Compounder
$27.48
$32.24
$37.63
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$19.49
$27.84
$36.20
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
57/100
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Profitability
29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
62/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
’16
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’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 7%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.1% a year for the price and +0.6% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+7.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+2.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.0%
Watch CRCCY, get fair value alerts →
Recent news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (25 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
- CRRC Completes Production of 110-Meter Recyclable Wind Turbine Blade, Achieving Over 95% Recovery of Key Materials
- Co-Creating Future Transit Value: CRRC Brings Three Full-Size Trains and End-to-End Solutions to InnoTrans 2026
- CRRC Showcases Wind Power Portfolio at WindEnergy Hamburg, Secures Key Certifications and Expands Global Partnerships
- CRRC Launches Green Energy Hubs in Mexico City and Guadalajara to Promote Sustainable Mobility
Compare CRRC Corporation with another stock
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $272.13 | $153.47 | −44% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $46.51 | $12.91 | −72% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $86.56 | $37.51 | −57% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNI | $121.14 | $98.68 | −19% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $309.00 | $133.05 | −57% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $288.00 | $290.92 | +1% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.69 | ¥5.65 | +20% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.66 | ¥5.48 | +18% |
| Getlink SE GET | €18.83 | €10.42 | −45% |
| Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 | 115,900 KRW | 127,490 KRW | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is CRRC Corporation (CRCCY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $33.91 versus a price of $16.01, about +112% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CRCCY?
Our model-based fair value for CRRC Corporation is $33.91 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $16.01.
What is the quality score of CRCCY?
CRRC Corporation has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CRRC Corporation (CRCCY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $33.91 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $25.44, optimistic scenario $42.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CRRC Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $33.91, about +112% upside versus a price of $16.01 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $25.44, optimistic scenario $42.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CRRC Corporation (CRCCY)?
CRRC Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 278B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does CRRC Corporation pay a dividend?
CRRC Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.95% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into CRRC Corporation (CRCCY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CRRC Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +10.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.7 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CRCCY use?
Our models discount CRRC Corporation at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.24, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CRRC Corporation that is +10.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CRRC Corporation (CRCCY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CRRC Corporation grew +3.7 % a year. The price currently implies +10.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CRRC Corporation (CRCCY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CRRC Corporation (+10.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CRRC Corporation (CRCCY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.22 %: that much free cash flow CRRC Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CRRC Corporation (CRCCY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CRRC Corporation it is $33.91 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $16.01. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CRRC Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, CRCCY trades below its calculated fair value: price $16.01, fair value $33.91, a gap of about +112% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CRCCY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($16.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($33.91). For CRRC Corporation the two are $17.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CRRC Corporation worth?
The market values CRRC Corporation at about $21.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $16.01; our models calculate a fair value of $33.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CRCCY?
Our models span a range for CRRC Corporation: cautious scenario $25.44, base $33.91, optimistic $42.39 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $16.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is CRCCY from its 52-week high?
CRRC Corporation trades at $16.01, about 2% below its 52-week high of $16.36 and 100% above the low of $7.99 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $33.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CRRC Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Union Pacific Corporation, CSX Corporation, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, Canadian National Railway Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CRRC Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $16.01, calculated fair value $33.91 (+112%), Quality Score 57/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CRCCY calculated?
We run CRRC Corporation through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $33.91, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. CRRC Corporation currently trades 53 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CRRC Corporation (CRCCY)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was $16.01. Our model-based fair value is $33.91, about +112% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CRRC Corporation right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($25.44). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of CRRC Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of CRRC Corporation (CRCCY)?
The market capitalisation of CRRC Corporation is $21.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of CRRC Corporation (CRCCY)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of CRRC Corporation is 10.9 (as of Jun 19, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of CRRC Corporation (CRCCY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CRRC Corporation is 0.53 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CRRC Corporation (CRCCY)?
Earnings per share at CRRC Corporation are $1.38 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CRRC Corporation (CRCCY)?
The dividend yield of CRRC Corporation is 6.0% (payout 69.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CRRC Corporation (CRCCY)?
The net margin of CRRC Corporation is 4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CRRC Corporation (CRCCY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CRRC Corporation is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CRRC Corporation (CRCCY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CRRC Corporation is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CRRC Corporation (CRCCY)?
The operating margin of CRRC Corporation is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CRRC Corporation (CRCCY)?
Revenue at CRRC Corporation is growing +10.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CRRC Corporation (CRCCY)?
Earnings per share at CRRC Corporation are growing +9.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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