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Cricut, Inc (CRCT) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $936M

CI Cricut, Inc logo Cricut, Inc CRCT · US
Price$5.84
Fair Value$7.06
Upside+20.9%
Quality88/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.54% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range $5.29 – $8.82 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $7.13 to $7.06 (−1.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +36.4% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 21% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $5.29 (bear) to $8.82 (bull), base $7.06. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 88/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$29.32 $3.55 Fair Value $7.06 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.55 – $29.32 · fair‑value band $5.29 – $8.82 · the $5.84 price screens below the $7.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Cricut, Inc (CRCT) currently trades at $5.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.06, implying the stock looks roughly 20.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 88/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Cricut, Inc generated revenue of $706M at a net margin of 10.4%. Revenue declined 1.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $245M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.29 (bear case) to $8.82 (bull case); at $5.84, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at 21%, CRCT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $10.68 $13.24 $17.21 80
Residual Income $2.57 $3.12 $6.52 76
Rev-Margin DCF $8.20 $10.75 $13.95 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $10.39 $13.09 $17.63 38
Owner Earnings $5.37 $6.55 $8.53 31
5Y Revenue Exit $8.20 $10.51 $13.86 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $8.92 $11.75 $15.50 41
5Y P/E Exit $8.84 $11.62 $14.96 38
10Y Revenue Exit $9.00 $10.69 $12.43 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $9.51 $11.39 $13.31 37
10Y P/E Exit $9.47 $11.32 $13.02 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.25 $3.98 $4.47 54
EPV $4.72 $5.16 $5.53 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $9.80 $10.56 $11.70 70
DDM Multi-Stage $9.80 $11.66 $14.07 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $7.18 $9.57 $11.96 63
P/S Multiple $6.10 $8.13 $10.17 58
P/B Multiple $4.82 $6.43 $8.04 55
EV/EBIT $9.57 $12.27 $14.97 53
EV/EBITDA $8.81 $11.26 $13.70 54
EV/Revenue $6.94 $9.28 $11.61 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.07 $1.44 $2.14 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $10.68 $13.24 $17.21 80
Rev-Margin DCF $8.20 $10.75 $13.95 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.57 $3.12 $6.52 76
ROIC Compounder $4.72 $5.23 $5.68 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $5.08 $7.25 $9.43 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($11.32) versus Asset-Based ($1.44). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $706M
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.9%
Net margin 10.4%
Return on equity 17.3%
Free cash flow $176M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.1
More key figures
Operating margin 14.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.3400
Dividend yield 4.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -12.3%
Net cash $245M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 88/100

Of which business quality 88 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 80
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 76
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 96
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 63
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cricut, Inc. engages in the design, marketing, and distribution of a creativity platform that enables users to turn ideas into professional-looking handmade goods in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Australia, New Zealand, Western Europe, the Middle East, Latin America, South Africa, and Asia.

Full company description

Cricut, Inc. engages in the design, marketing, and distribution of a creativity platform that enables users to turn ideas into professional-looking handmade goods in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Australia, New Zealand, Western Europe, the Middle East, Latin America, South Africa, and Asia. It operates through Platform and Products segments. The company offers connected machines, accessories, and materials for users to create personalized birthday cards, mugs, T-shirts, and large-scale interior decorations. Its connected machines, which are used to cut, write, score, and create decorative effects on paper, adhesive vinyl, iron-on vinyl, wood, and leather, comprise Cricut Joy family, Cricut Explore family, Cricut Maker family, and Cricut Venture. The company also provides Cricut Design Space, a cloud-based software that integrates with connected machines to enable users to create and work on projects across desktop and mobile devices; Cricut Access and Cricut Access Premium subscription offerings; and in-app purchases of images, fonts, and projects. In addition, it offers a range of accessories and materials, such as Cricut EasyPress, Cricut Mug Press, hand tools, machine replacement tools and blades, and project materials, such as vinyl and iron-on. Further, the company provides craft, DIY, home décor products, and extensions. It offers its products through its third-party brick-and-mortar and online retail partners; and its website cricut.com, as well as through a network of distributors. Cricut, Inc. was formerly known as Provo Craft & Novelty, Inc. and changed its name to Cricut, Inc. in March 2018. The company was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in South Jordan, Utah.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cricut, Inc reported revenue of $709M in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound −14.2%/yr. Reported net income was $76.7M in FY2025, compounding −14.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$709M
Latest YoY
−0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y)
+11.1%
Revenue −14.2%/yr
FY21 $1.3B
FY22 $886M
FY23 $765M
FY24 $713M
FY25 $709M
Net income −14.0%/yr
FY21 $140M
FY22 $60.7M
FY23 $53.6M
FY24 $62.8M
FY25 $76.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cricut, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CRCT

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Computer Hardware · 215 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 88 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +21% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.5% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.72× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.33× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 5.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 61 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 57
PAST 69 · sector 26
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 91 · sector 44

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compal Electronics, Inc CEIR $0.0310 $0.0276 -11%
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $434.97 $163.87 -62%
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $168.56 $43.74 -74%
Western Digital Corporation WDC $513.84 $74.05 -86%
Wiwynn Corporation 6669 4,685 TWD 1,559 TWD -67%
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥34.12 ¥30.11 -12%
Quanta Computer Inc 2382 373.50 TWD 297.22 TWD -20%
Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 ¥587.60 ¥60.86 -90%
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$23.16 HK$3.07 -87%
Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 ¥106.13 ¥28.88 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cricut, Inc (CRCT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.06 versus a price of $5.84, about +21% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CRCT?
Our model-based fair value for Cricut, Inc is $7.06 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.84.
What is the quality score of CRCT?
Cricut, Inc has a Quality Score of 88/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cricut, Inc (CRCT)?
Cricut, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $706M (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CRCT?
The net profit margin of Cricut, Inc is about 10.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cricut, Inc pay a dividend?
Cricut, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.54% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 7, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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