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Conrad Asia Energy Ltd (CRD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Conrad Asia Energy Ltd stock A$0.53, price A$0.68, that is 22.6% below the price, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Energy AU · Based in Indonesia · ISIN AU0000240970

CA Conrad Asia Energy Ltd logo Thin data Nov 12, 2026

Conrad Asia Energy Ltd

CRD · AU
Solid, but expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 23% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 50/100
Fair value A$0.5261 · Overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −12.4 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 16/100
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$1.75 A$0.4100 Fair Value A$0.5261 Oct 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

49‑month range A$0.4100 – A$1.75 · fair‑value band A$0.3946 – A$0.6576 · the A$0.6800 price screens above the A$0.5261 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 12, 2026.

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Company profile

Conrad Asia Energy Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in oil and gas exploration and development. Its flagship project is the 76.5%-owned Mako Gas Field, located in the Natuna Sea, Indonesia. Conrad Asia Energy Ltd. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Conrad Asia Energy Ltd (CRD) currently trades at A$0.6800, while our estimate is A$0.5261, 23% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.3946 (bear) to A$0.6576 (bull), the price of A$0.6800 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Conrad Asia Energy Ltd reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $189K in FY2021. Reported net income was −$4.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$128M (≈ $87.2M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0300 · Return on equity −11.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −23.6% (5-year average) · Revenue (TTM) A$199K · Free cash flow −A$15.3M · Net debt A$6.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −23%, CRD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.3946 Fair Value A$0.5261 Bull A$0.6576
Price A$0.6800 · Downside -22.6%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 100
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 78
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 96
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 69
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 51
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+75.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−995.7% (2019) → −4,973.3% (2022)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CRD screens overvalued: fair value 23% below the price. Compare with ConocoPhillips explores for, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 287 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside −22.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −9.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.54× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)3 · sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 72

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Expand Energy Corporation EXE $88.63 $164.80 +86% vs CRD
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $180.98 $242.64 +34% vs CRD
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$22.72 HK$26.80 +18% vs CRD
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $48.89 $53.78 +10% vs CRD
EQT Corporation EQT $52.69 $57.96 +10% vs CRD
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $44.95 $42.03 −7% vs CRD
Woodside Energy Group WDS $21.23 $19.51 −8% vs CRD
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $137.86 $92.89 −33% vs CRD
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $57.24 $33.18 −42% vs CRD
Aker BP ASA AKRBP kr 322.20 kr 127.39 −60% vs CRD

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Conrad Asia Energy Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Conrad Asia Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CRD

Frequently asked questions

Is Conrad Asia Energy Ltd (CRD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.5261 versus a price of A$0.6800, about 23% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CRD?
Our estimate for Conrad Asia Energy Ltd is A$0.5261 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.6800.
What is the quality score of CRD?
Conrad Asia Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Conrad Asia Energy Ltd (CRD)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.5261 (as of Nov 12, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.3946, optimistic scenario A$0.6576. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Conrad Asia Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.5261, about 23% lower versus a price of A$0.6800 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.3946, optimistic scenario A$0.6576. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Conrad Asia Energy Ltd (CRD)?
Conrad Asia Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$199K (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Conrad Asia Energy Ltd (CRD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Conrad Asia Energy Ltd it is A$0.5261 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of A$0.6800.
Is Conrad Asia Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, CRD trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.6800, fair value A$0.5261, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CRD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.6800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.5261). For Conrad Asia Energy Ltd the two are A$0.1539 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Conrad Asia Energy Ltd worth?
The market values Conrad Asia Energy Ltd at about A$128M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is A$0.6800; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.5261 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CRD?
Our models span a range for Conrad Asia Energy Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.3946, base A$0.5261, optimistic A$0.6576 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price A$0.6800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Conrad Asia Energy Ltd (CRD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Conrad Asia Energy Ltd (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity −11.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CRD from its 52-week high?
Conrad Asia Energy Ltd trades at A$0.6800, about 15% below its 52-week high of A$0.8000 and 66% above the low of A$0.4100 (as of Nov 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.5261 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Conrad Asia Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, Diamondback Energy, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Conrad Asia Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price A$0.6800, calculated fair value A$0.5261 (−23%), Quality Score 50/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Conrad Asia Energy Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Conrad Asia Energy Ltd (CRD)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was A$0.6800. Our estimate is A$0.5261, about 23% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Conrad Asia Energy Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.6576). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Conrad Asia Energy Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Conrad Asia Energy Ltd (CRD)?
The market capitalisation of Conrad Asia Energy Ltd is A$128M (≈ $87.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Conrad Asia Energy Ltd (CRD)?
Earnings per share at Conrad Asia Energy Ltd are A$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Conrad Asia Energy Ltd (CRD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Conrad Asia Energy Ltd is −11.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Conrad Asia Energy Ltd (CRD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Conrad Asia Energy Ltd is −23.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Conrad Asia Energy Ltd (CRD) generate?
The free cash flow of Conrad Asia Energy Ltd is −A$15.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Conrad Asia Energy Ltd (CRD) carry?
The net debt of Conrad Asia Energy Ltd is A$6.1M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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