CREIT Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · PH · Market cap 18.6B PHP
Fair value as of: Jul 10, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 10, 2026, revised from 2.59 PHP to 2.30 PHP (−11.2%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +2.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 34% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (1.73 PHP to 6.13 PHP). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range 1.53 PHP – 3.69 PHP · fair‑value band 1.73 PHP – 6.13 PHP · the 3.50 PHP price screens above the 2.30 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.
Analysis
CREIT (CREIT) currently trades at 3.50 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.30 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 34.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 178.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.73 PHP (bear case) to 6.13 PHP (bull case); at 3.50 PHP, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 71% fair-value upside, at -34%, CREIT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (9.24 PHP) versus Asset-Based (0.5900 PHP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CREIT reported revenue of 1.9B PHP in FY2025 versus 352M PHP in FY2021, a compound +52.1%/yr. Reported net income was 1.4B PHP in FY2025, compounding +58.6%/yr from FY2021.
CREIT screens 34% overvalued. Compare with RCR →
Peer Group
Real Estate · 1891 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Residential & Commercial REITs” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Residential & Commercial REITs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| RCR RCR | 7.10 PHP | 17.75 PHP | +150% |
| AREIT AREIT | 37.40 PHP | 93.50 PHP | +150% |
| MREIT MREIT | 13.90 PHP | 27.06 PHP | +95% |
| FILRT FILRT | 2.92 PHP | 2.74 PHP | -6% |
| DDMPR DDMPR | 1.04 PHP | 2.60 PHP | +150% |
| WOTSO WOT | A$0.5500 | A$0.9400 | +71% |
| HOTU HOTU | $0.4200 | $0.3263 | -22% |
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 223,000 VND | 25,731 VND | -88% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 3,725 CLP | 5,571 CLP | +50% |
Compare CREIT with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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