Crescent Energy Co (CRGY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Crescent Energy Co stock $10.49, price $11.22, that is 6.5% below the price, quality 28 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
59‑month range $6.81 – $15.55 · fair‑value band $9.16 – $13.64 · the $11.22 price screens above the $10.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Crescent Energy Company engages in the exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. The company's activities focused in Eagle Ford, Permian, and Uinta Basins. It owns minerals and royalty interests across the U.S. oil and natural gas basins.
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Crescent Energy Company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Stock analysis
Crescent Energy Co (CRGY) currently trades at $11.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.49, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $32.96 per share, and 10 of the 22 models we run sit above the $11.22 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $4.52, and 12 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $9.16 (bear) to $13.64 (bull), the price of $11.22 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Crescent Energy Co reported revenue of $3.6B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +24.8%/yr. Reported net income was $133M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $5.1B Mid · P/E ratio 86.7 · P/S ratio 0.81 · EPS (TTM) $0.1500 · Dividend yield 4.3% · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −7%, CRGY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$9.16Fair Value $10.49Bull$13.64
Price $11.22 · Downside -6.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income$10.75$10.73$11.0876
FCF DCF$24.91$45.51$109.7472
Growth DCF$22.59$51.18$107.1471
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$24.91$45.51$109.7472
Owner Earnings$12.93$44.78$109.1867
5Y Revenue Exit$3.28$11.15$27.0863
5Y EBITDA Exit$10.62$26.10$56.0568
5Y P/E Exit$0.6900$9.37$19.7362
10Y Revenue Exit$9.63$26.58$35.1764
10Y EBITDA Exit$15.16$41.80$88.0762
10Y P/E Exit$8.10$21.22$40.6159
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$2.74$19.08$26.7763
Lynch FV$6.89$9.84$12.7961
PEG = 1.0$6.89$9.84$12.7957
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$2.43$4.85$7.3467
DDM Multi-Stage$2.43$4.19$5.1267
Multiples
P/E Multiple$4.22$5.63$7.0463
P/S Multiple$5.13$6.84$8.5557
P/B Multiple$19.57$26.09$32.6155
EV/EBITn/an/a$0.530060
EV/EBITDA$4.05$9.97$15.8962
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$7.25$9.71$14.4953
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$22.59$51.18$107.1471
Rev-Margin DCF$3.28$14.74$34.9063
Economic Profit
Residual Income$10.75$10.73$11.0876
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$7.72$11.03$14.3467
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
SaleLiberty Mutual Foundation Inc.10% owner32,600,000 shares at $12.33$402.0MMay 7, 2026
SaleMarcus C RowlandDirector40,000 shares at $13.25$530,000May 6, 2026
Plus 5 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−50% → 13%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 10.4%/yr over ~5Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+23.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
The revenue jump in 2026 (+41.1%) comes with 35% more shares (acquisition or merger paid in stock). Per share it is about +4.6%. The comparison above is unreliable in such a year.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.6% a year for the price and +20.3% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: Thin evidence across categories leaves commodity exposure and low ROE ROA as the main signals of limited durable advantage, while thin margins constrain profitability durability for this E&P firm.
Main risk: Cyclical margins and commodity exposure could further limit profitability durability and returns on capital in the upstream E&P operations.
Crescent is buying Devon’s Eagle Ford assets that sit right next to its existing operations, which should unlock clear operational synergies and greater scale in the basin. At the same time the company is issuing substantial new equity to help pay for the cash deal, even as Moody’s sees scope for solid deleveraging afterward through free cash flow. Will the efficiency improvements and added production more than offset the dilution, or will the capital raise keep leverage higher for longer?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 239 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−6.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.7% · Below median
Return on assets1.4% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)1.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)4.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)55.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)4.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.07× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)86.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.99× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)1.34× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)8.8× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Crescent Energy Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CRGY
Frequently asked questions
Is Crescent Energy Co (CRGY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.49 versus a price of $11.22, about 7% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CRGY?
Our model-based fair value for Crescent Energy Co is $10.49 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.22.
What is the quality score of CRGY?
Crescent Energy Co has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Crescent Energy Co (CRGY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.49 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $9.16, optimistic scenario $13.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Crescent Energy Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.49, about 7% lower versus a price of $11.22 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $9.16, optimistic scenario $13.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Crescent Energy Co (CRGY)?
Crescent Energy Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.8B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Crescent Energy Co pay a dividend?
Crescent Energy Co currently shows a dividend yield of 4.28% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Crescent Energy Co (CRGY) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Crescent Energy Co pays a dividend of $0.48 per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 17, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2022. Free cash flow covers the dividend 4.60 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Crescent Energy Co (CRGY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Crescent Energy Co would have to grow free cash flow by +1.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +36.5 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CRGY use?
Our models discount Crescent Energy Co at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.91, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Crescent Energy Co that is +1.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Crescent Energy Co (CRGY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Crescent Energy Co grew +36.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +1.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Crescent Energy Co (CRGY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +14.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Crescent Energy Co (+1.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Crescent Energy Co (CRGY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.02 %: that much free cash flow Crescent Energy Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Crescent Energy Co (CRGY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Crescent Energy Co it is $10.49 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $11.22. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Crescent Energy Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, CRGY trades above its calculated fair value: price $11.22, fair value $10.49, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CRGY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.49). For Crescent Energy Co the two are $0.7293 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Crescent Energy Co worth?
The market values Crescent Energy Co at about $5.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $11.22; our models calculate a fair value of $10.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CRGY?
Our models span a range for Crescent Energy Co: cautious scenario $9.16, base $10.49, optimistic $13.64 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $11.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CRGY?
Crescent Energy Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 86.7 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $10.49 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 6.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Crescent Energy Co (CRGY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Crescent Energy Co (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 1.7%, debt of 1.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CRGY from its 52-week high?
Crescent Energy Co trades at $11.22, about 27% below its 52-week high of $15.37 and 49% above the low of $7.53 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Crescent Energy Co?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Crescent Energy Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $11.22, calculated fair value $10.49 (−7%), Quality Score 28/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CRGY calculated?
We run Crescent Energy Co through 23 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $10.49 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Crescent Energy Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Crescent Energy Co (CRGY)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $11.22. Our model-based fair value is $10.49, about 7% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Crescent Energy Co right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Crescent Energy Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Crescent Energy Co (CRGY)?
The market capitalisation of Crescent Energy Co is $5.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Crescent Energy Co (CRGY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Crescent Energy Co is 0.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Crescent Energy Co (CRGY)?
Earnings per share at Crescent Energy Co are $0.1500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 86.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Crescent Energy Co (CRGY)?
The dividend yield of Crescent Energy Co is 4.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Crescent Energy Co (CRGY)?
The net margin of Crescent Energy Co is 1.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Crescent Energy Co (CRGY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Crescent Energy Co is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Crescent Energy Co (CRGY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Crescent Energy Co is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Crescent Energy Co (CRGY)?
The operating margin of Crescent Energy Co is 4.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Crescent Energy Co (CRGY)?
Revenue at Crescent Energy Co is growing +55.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Crescent Energy Co (CRGY)?
Earnings per share at Crescent Energy Co are growing +117% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Crescent Energy Co (CRGY) carry?
The net debt of Crescent Energy Co is $5.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026