I.C.P. Israel Citrus Plantations Ltd (CTPL1) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · Il · Market cap 47.9M ILA
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price −13.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 84% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (45.75 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 231.20 ILA – 408.63 ILA · fair‑value band 27.45 ILA – 45.75 ILA · the 231.20 ILA price screens above the 36.60 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
I.C.P. Israel Citrus Plantations Ltd (CTPL1) currently trades at 231.20 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 36.60 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 84.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 1.1M ILA. Revenue declined 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 42.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 11.4M ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 27.45 ILA (bear case) to 45.75 ILA (bull case); at 231.20 ILA, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -84%, CTPL1 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (1,530 ILA) versus Multiples (36.60 ILA). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
I.C.P. Israel Citrus Plantations Ltd. provides agricultural services in Israel. The company operates in two segments, Agriculture and Income-Producing Properties.
Full company description
I.C.P. Israel Citrus Plantations Ltd. provides agricultural services in Israel. The company operates in two segments, Agriculture and Income-Producing Properties. It provides agricultural services, which includes planting, maintaining, and cultivating orchards as well as fertilization, irrigation, pest control and spraying, replanting, and harvest and orchard management. The company engages in planning, development, leasing, and management of land and buildings. It sells its products to packing houses. The company was incorporated in 1958 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
I.C.P. Israel Citrus Plantations Ltd reported revenue of 1.1M ILA in FY2025 versus 1.1M ILA in FY2021, a compound −0.0%/yr. Reported net income was 38.0M ILA in FY2025, compounding +44.4%/yr from FY2021.
CTPL1 screens 84% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →
Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 520 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
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10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
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| Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS | 2,324 CLP | 2,976 CLP | +28% |
| PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR | 372.00 IDR | 1,208 IDR | +225% |
| PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI | 20,975 IDR | 19,160 IDR | -9% |
| PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK | 3,530 IDR | 3,464 IDR | -2% |
| IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA | 2,495 ARS | 3,998 ARS | +60% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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