CuriosityStream Inc (CURI) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $150M

A solid business, but screening 37% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.3737 – $12.70 · fair‑value band $1.34 – $2.07 · the $2.71 price screens above the $1.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

CuriosityStream Inc (CURI) currently trades at $2.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.70, implying the stock looks roughly 37.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, CuriosityStream Inc generated revenue of $71.7M at a net margin of -11.3%. Revenue grew 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $14.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.34 (bear case) to $2.07 (bull case); at $2.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -37%, CURI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($4.11) versus Asset-Based ($0.4700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

CuriosityStream Inc., a media and entertainment company, provides factual content through multiple channels. The company provides video and audio programming services in various categories of factual entertainment, including science, history, society, nature, lifestyle, and technology through direct subscription video on-demand (SVoD) platforms accessible …

Full company description

CuriosityStream Inc., a media and entertainment company, provides factual content through multiple channels. The company provides video and audio programming services in various categories of factual entertainment, including science, history, society, nature, lifestyle, and technology through direct subscription video on-demand (SVoD) platforms accessible by internet connected devices, or indirectly through distribution partners who deliver CuriosityStream content via distributor's platform or system, as well as through bundled content licenses for SVoD and linear offerings, talks and courses, and partner bulk sales. It offers streaming content through a host of screen and devices, including televisions, set-top boxes, computers, streaming media players, game consoles, and mobile devices. CuriosityStream Inc. is based in Silver Spring, Maryland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CuriosityStream Inc reported revenue of $71.7M in FY2025 versus $71.3M in FY2021, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.4M in FY2025.

CURI screens 37% overvalued. Compare with Nexstar Media Group →

Peer Group

Broadcasting · 69 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.