TF1 SA (TFI) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · FR · Market cap €1.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +4.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 79% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€9.33). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (€9.33 to €17.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €4.27 – €8.19 · fair‑value band €9.33 – €17.38 · the €7.01 price screens below the €12.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
TF1 SA (TFI) currently trades at €7.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €12.53, implying the stock looks roughly 78.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, TF1 SA generated revenue of €2.2B at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue declined 9.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €461M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €9.33 (bear case) to €17.38 (bull case); at €7.01, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 79%, TFI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€14.87) versus Dividend Discount (€5.26). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
TF1 SA operates as a media and entertainment company, primarily engages in television broadcasting, content creation, and distribution of audiovisual rights in France, Continental Europe, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Media and Studio TF1.
Full company description
TF1 SA operates as a media and entertainment company, primarily engages in television broadcasting, content creation, and distribution of audiovisual rights in France, Continental Europe, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Media and Studio TF1. The Media segment includes TV channels and content creation activities, the TF1+ free streaming platform, and produces and acquires audiovisual rights for TV channels in line with French broadcasting industry regulations. This segment engages in the sale of advertising space through individually negotiated space-buying deals and programmatic ad sale auctions; and making content and services. The Studio TF1 segment produces, acquires, develops, and distributes audiovisual rights, such as films, drama, TV movies, cartoons, documentaries, unscripted shows, etc. TF1 SA was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Boulogne-Billancourt, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
TF1 SA reported revenue of €2.3B in FY2025 versus €2.4B in FY2021, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was €153M in FY2025, compounding −9.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Broadcasting · 69 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nexstar Media Group NXST | $183.71 | $78.52 | -57% |
| SES S.A SESG | €7.46 | €15.46 | +107% |
| PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK | 505.00 IDR | 1,094 IDR | +117% |
| MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB | €3.64 | €5.38 | +48% |
| Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 | ¥3.07 | ¥1.14 | -63% |
| Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV | ₹489.20 | ₹586.58 | +20% |
| MBC Group 4072 | 20.06 SAR | 19.56 SAR | -2% |
| Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 | ¥7.13 | ¥3.64 | -49% |
| PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, SCMA | 206.00 IDR | 229.91 IDR | +12% |
| Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited ZEEL | ₹92.61 | ₹53.22 | -43% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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