CVVY.TO (CVVY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what CVVY.TO is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.2100 – C$2.29 · fair‑value band C$0.1900 – C$1.12 · the C$2.22 price screens above the C$0.5800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Cavvy Energy Ltd. operates as a midstream and upstream energy company in Canada. It produces and processes natural gas, natural gas liquids, condensate, and sulphur in Alberta and northeast British Columbia. The company was formerly known as Pieridae Energy Limited and changed its name to Cavvy Energy Ltd. in May 2025. Cavvy Energy Ltd.
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Cavvy Energy Ltd. operates as a midstream and upstream energy company in Canada. It produces and processes natural gas, natural gas liquids, condensate, and sulphur in Alberta and northeast British Columbia. The company was formerly known as Pieridae Energy Limited and changed its name to Cavvy Energy Ltd. in May 2025. Cavvy Energy Ltd. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Stock analysis
CVVY.TO (CVVY) currently trades at C$2.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.5800, implying the stock looks roughly 282.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of C$0.4700 per share, and 0 of the 8 models we run sit above the C$2.22 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at C$0.1100, and 8 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: C$0.1900 (bear) to C$1.12 (bull), the price of C$2.22 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
CVVY.TO reported revenue of C$218M in FY2025 versus C$322M in FY2021, a compound −9.3%/yr. Reported net income was −C$4.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$694M (≈ $501M) · P/E ratio 93.0 · P/S ratio 1.96 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0200 · Net margin −2.2% · Return on equity −2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6% · Operating margin 12.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −74%, CVVY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (C$0.1100 to C$0.8800). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear C$0.1900Fair Value C$0.5800Bull C$1.12
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.10/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.3%
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+82.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.6% (2020) → −20.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+31.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 302 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score27 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Above median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)25% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth67% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.02× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)93.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.00× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.48× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF31.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA12.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)19· sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)49· sector 87
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 71
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CVVY.TO Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CVVY
Frequently asked questions
Is CVVY.TO (CVVY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.5800 versus a price of C$2.22, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CVVY?
Our model-based fair value for CVVY.TO is C$0.5800 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$2.22.
What is the quality score of CVVY?
CVVY.TO has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CVVY.TO (CVVY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.5800 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.1900, optimistic scenario C$1.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CVVY.TO stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.5800, about −74% upside versus a price of C$2.22 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.1900, optimistic scenario C$1.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CVVY.TO (CVVY)?
CVVY.TO reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$231M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into CVVY.TO (CVVY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CVVY.TO would have to grow free cash flow by +31.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.3 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CVVY use?
Our models discount CVVY.TO at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.33, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CVVY.TO that is +31.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CVVY.TO (CVVY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CVVY.TO grew -3.3 % a year. The price currently implies +31.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CVVY.TO (CVVY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CVVY.TO (+31.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CVVY.TO (CVVY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.89 %: that much free cash flow CVVY.TO produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CVVY.TO (CVVY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CVVY.TO it is C$0.5800 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of C$2.22. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CVVY.TO stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, CVVY trades above its calculated fair value: price C$2.22, fair value C$0.5800, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CVVY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$2.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.5800). For CVVY.TO the two are C$1.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CVVY.TO worth?
The market values CVVY.TO at about C$694M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is C$2.22; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.5800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CVVY?
Our models span a range for CVVY.TO: cautious scenario C$0.1900, base C$0.5800, optimistic C$1.12 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price C$2.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CVVY?
CVVY.TO trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 93.0 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$0.5800 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.0, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 12.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of CVVY.TO (CVVY)?
Balance-sheet figures for CVVY.TO (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 4.9%, debt of 1.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CVVY from its 52-week high?
CVVY.TO trades at C$2.22, about 28% below its 52-week high of C$1.74 and 534% above the low of C$0.3500 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.5800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CVVY.TO?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CVVY.TO stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price C$2.22, calculated fair value C$0.5800 (−74%), Quality Score 27/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CVVY calculated?
We run CVVY.TO through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.5800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. CVVY.TO itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with CVVY.TO right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$1.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (C$0.1900 to C$1.12). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of CVVY.TO
How large is the market capitalisation of CVVY.TO (CVVY)?
The market capitalisation of CVVY.TO is C$694M (≈ $501M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CVVY.TO (CVVY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CVVY.TO is 1.96 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CVVY.TO (CVVY)?
Earnings per share at CVVY.TO are C$−0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 93.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of CVVY.TO (CVVY)?
The net margin of CVVY.TO is −2.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CVVY.TO (CVVY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CVVY.TO is −2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CVVY.TO (CVVY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CVVY.TO is 0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CVVY.TO (CVVY)?
The operating margin of CVVY.TO is 12.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CVVY.TO (CVVY)?
Revenue at CVVY.TO is growing +44.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −21.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CVVY.TO (CVVY)?
Earnings per share at CVVY.TO are growing +8.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does CVVY.TO (CVVY) carry?
The net debt of CVVY.TO is C$150M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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