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Core Lithium Ltd (CXO) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$874M

PriceA$0.2850
Fair ValueA$0.2200
Upside-22.8%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.1600 – A$0.2700

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

Core Lithium Ltd (CXO) currently trades at A$0.2850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2200 — implying the stock looks roughly 22.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Core Lithium Ltd engages in the development of lithium and various metal deposits in Northern Territory and South Australia. It primarily explores for gold, silver, uranium, lead, zinc, rare earth elements, and base metals. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Perth, Australia.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Core Lithium Ltd (CXO) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.2200 versus a price of A$0.2850 — about −23% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CXO?
Our 21-model fair value for Core Lithium Ltd is A$0.2200 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.2850.
What is the quality score of CXO?
Core Lithium Ltd has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.