EN DE
Watch Core Lithium Ltd for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes.
Data-driven stock valuation

Core Lithium Ltd (CXO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Core Lithium Ltd stock A$0.03, price A$0.25, that is 86.4% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU000000CXO2

CL Core Lithium Ltd logo Thin data Nov 9, 2026

Core Lithium Ltd

CXO · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 86% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Fair value A$0.0340 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 36/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −29.3 %/yr in AUD)
Loss-making · -145.5% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/9)
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
Watch Core Lithium Ltd for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$1.87 A$0.0570 Fair Value A$0.0340 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0570 – A$1.87 · fair‑value band A$0.0255 – A$0.0425 · the A$0.2500 price screens above the A$0.0340 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.

Follow Core Lithium in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Core Lithium is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Core Lithium Ltd engages in the development of lithium and various metal deposits in Northern Territory and South Australia. It primarily explores for gold, silver, uranium, lead, zinc, rare earth elements, and base metals. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Core Lithium Ltd (CXO) currently trades at A$0.2500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0340, 86% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0255 (bear) to A$0.0425 (bull), the price of A$0.2500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Core Lithium Ltd reported revenue of A$17.8M in FY2026 versus A$50.6M in FY2022, a compound −22.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$26.0M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$809M (≈ $558M) Small · P/S ratio 42.6 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Net margin −145% · Return on equity −8.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin −92.9% · Revenue (TTM) A$17.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −86%, CXO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0255 Fair Value A$0.0340 Bull A$0.0425
Price A$0.2500 · Downside -86.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 55
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 55

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 7
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 99
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 64
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 32
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 36
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 66
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.3%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+116.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−15.2% (2022) → −183.6% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CXO screens overvalued: fair value 86% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

Compare Core Lithium Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 372 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Below median
Fair Value upside −86.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −145.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −92.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.15× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 45.34× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 92
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹261.75 ₹334.17 +28% vs CXO
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.25 SAR 64.96 SAR +12% vs CXO
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹568.10 ₹624.91 +10% vs CXO
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥27.56 ¥30.32 +10% vs CXO
Boliden AB BOL kr 503.40 kr 464.45 −8% vs CXO
BHP Group BHP A$59.20 A$47.85 −19% vs CXO
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥33.04 ¥25.57 −23% vs CXO
Korea Zinc Company 010130 960,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −32% vs CXO
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.29 ¥6.82 −49% vs CXO
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥38.65 ¥4.44 −89% vs CXO

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend StocksUndervalued 52-Week Low Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Free calculator Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Free calculator
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorP/E Ratio CalculatorPEG Ratio CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorIntrinsic ValueIntrinsic vs Extrinsic ValueP/E Ratio by Sector
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Core Lithium Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Core Lithium Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CXO

Frequently asked questions

Is Core Lithium Ltd (CXO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0340 versus a price of A$0.2500, about 86% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CXO?
Our model-based fair value for Core Lithium Ltd is A$0.0340 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2500.
What is the quality score of CXO?
Core Lithium Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Core Lithium Ltd (CXO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0340 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0255, optimistic scenario A$0.0425. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Core Lithium Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0340, about 86% lower versus a price of A$0.2500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0255, optimistic scenario A$0.0425. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Core Lithium Ltd (CXO)?
Core Lithium Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$17.8M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Core Lithium Ltd (CXO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Core Lithium Ltd it is A$0.0340 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of A$0.2500. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Core Lithium Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, CXO trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.2500, fair value A$0.0340, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CXO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0340). For Core Lithium Ltd the two are A$0.2160 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Core Lithium Ltd worth?
The market values Core Lithium Ltd at about A$809M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2500; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0340 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CXO?
Our models span a range for Core Lithium Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0255, base A$0.0340, optimistic A$0.0425 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price A$0.2500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Core Lithium Ltd (CXO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Core Lithium Ltd (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −8.5%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CXO from its 52-week high?
Core Lithium Ltd trades at A$0.2500, about 40% below its 52-week high of A$0.4200 and 67% above the low of A$0.1500 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0340 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Core Lithium Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Core Lithium Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price A$0.2500, calculated fair value A$0.0340 (−86%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CXO calculated?
We run Core Lithium Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0340 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Core Lithium Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Core Lithium Ltd (CXO)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.2500. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0340, about 86% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Core Lithium Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0425). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Core Lithium Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Core Lithium Ltd (CXO)?
The market capitalisation of Core Lithium Ltd is A$809M (≈ $558M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Core Lithium Ltd (CXO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Core Lithium Ltd is 42.6 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Core Lithium Ltd (CXO)?
Earnings per share at Core Lithium Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Core Lithium Ltd (CXO)?
The net margin of Core Lithium Ltd is −145% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Core Lithium Ltd (CXO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Core Lithium Ltd is −8.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Core Lithium Ltd (CXO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Core Lithium Ltd is −8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Core Lithium Ltd (CXO)?
The operating margin of Core Lithium Ltd is −92.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does Core Lithium Ltd (CXO) generate?
The free cash flow of Core Lithium Ltd is −A$42.9M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Core Lithium Ltd (CXO) hold?
Core Lithium Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$148M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed

Watch Core Lithium Ltd in the live analysis

One click puts Core Lithium Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.