Coventry Group (CYG) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$47.3M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +7.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 144% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.5950). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.2850 – A$1.69 · fair‑value band A$0.5950 – A$0.8415 · the A$0.3450 price screens below the A$0.8415 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Coventry Group (CYG) currently trades at A$0.3450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.8415, implying the stock looks roughly 143.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Coventry Group generated revenue of A$367M at a net margin of -10.5%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -30.6%. Net debt stands at A$138M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.5950 (bear case) to A$0.8415 (bull case); at A$0.3450, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 144%, CYG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (A$1.00) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.1000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Coventry Group Ltd distributes industrial products and services in Australia and New Zealand. The company operates through the Trade Distribution and Fluid Systems segments.
Full company description
Coventry Group Ltd distributes industrial products and services in Australia and New Zealand. The company operates through the Trade Distribution and Fluid Systems segments. The Trade Distribution segment imports, distributes, and markets industrial, stainless steel, and construction fasteners; specialized fastener products and systems; and industrial hardware, and associated industrial tools and consumables. This segment also imports, distributes, and markets hardware, components, and finished products to the commercial cabinet making, joinery, and shop fitting industries; and engages in hiring and sale of temporary fencing, as well as scaffolding plank hire activities. The Fluid Systems segment designs and installs lubrication systems; distributes hoses, connectors, fittings, and hydraulic hose assemblies; designs and supplies service truck components; installs fire suppression systems; designs and distributes fluid handling systems; sells pneumatic components, and hydraulic associated products and consumables; and provides rock hammers and repair services. Coventry Group Ltd was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Thomastown, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Coventry Group reported revenue of A$365M in FY2025 versus A$289M in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was −A$29.6M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Industrial Distribution · 102 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW | $1,376 | $625.61 | -55% |
| Fastenal Company FAST | $45.49 | $20.64 | -55% |
| Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG | $232.02 | $151.92 | -35% |
| WESCO International, Inc WCC | $326.71 | $213.01 | -35% |
| Watsco, Inc WSO | $385.16 | $268.10 | -30% |
| Toromont Industries Ltd TIH | C$232.22 | C$127.90 | -45% |
| Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT | $329.35 | $191.65 | -42% |
| Finning International Inc FTT | C$102.50 | C$76.38 | -25% |
| Addtech AB ADDTB | kr 329.20 | kr 156.35 | -53% |
| Core & Main, Inc CNM | $44.66 | $49.47 | +11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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