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Community Health Systems Inc (CYH) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $426M · ISIN US2036681086

CH Community Health Systems Inc logo Community Health Systems Inc CYH · US
Price$2.93
Fair Value$2.47
Upside-15.7%
Quality45/100
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Strengths

Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 19% ABOVE our fair value of $2.47
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.2 %/yr)
Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: Medium Range $1.85 – $2.54 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +8.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and trading another 19% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.65 $2.05 Fair Value $2.47 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.05 – $16.65 · fair‑value band $1.85 – $2.54 · the $2.93 price screens above the $2.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Community Health Systems Inc (CYH) currently trades at $2.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.47, implying the stock looks roughly 15.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Community Health Systems Inc generated revenue of $12.3B at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue declined 6.1% year over year. Net debt stands at $11.3B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.9. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.85 (bear case) to $2.54 (bull case); at $2.93, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -16%, CYH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 2.29 USD per share, which is 92.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.2142 $0.3075 $0.3942 69
5Y P/E Exit $0.2966 68
DDM Multi-Stage $0.2142 $0.2913 $0.3675 67
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
5Y P/E Exit $0.2966 68
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.7636 $1.65 $2.09 66
PEG = 1.0 $0.2546 $0.3638 $0.4729 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.2142 $0.3075 $0.3942 69
DDM Multi-Stage $0.2142 $0.2913 $0.3675 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.85 $2.47 $3.09 63
P/S Multiple $1.43 $1.91 $2.39 58
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.37 $1.95 $2.54 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($1.95) versus Dividend Discount ($0.2913). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (69).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 0.9
P/S ratio 0.03 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $3.44 price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.9
Net margin 4.1% FY2025
Return on assets (EBIT) -10.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 6.4% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $12.3B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.1% 3y avg +0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -88.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $208M FY2025
Net debt $11.3B FY2025 · ≈ 54.4 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 23
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 5
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 64
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Community Health Systems, Inc. owns, leases, and operates general acute care hospitals in the United States. The company offers general acute care, emergency room, general and specialty surgery, critical care, internal medicine, obstetrics, diagnostic, psychiatric, and rehabilitation services, as well as skilled nursing and home care services.

Full company description

Community Health Systems, Inc. owns, leases, and operates general acute care hospitals in the United States. The company offers general acute care, emergency room, general and specialty surgery, critical care, internal medicine, obstetrics, diagnostic, psychiatric, and rehabilitation services, as well as skilled nursing and home care services. It also provides outpatient services at primary care practices, urgent care centers, free-standing emergency departments, ambulatory surgery centers, imaging and diagnostic centers, and direct-to-consumer virtual health visits. Community Health Systems, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Franklin, Tennessee.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Community Health Systems Inc reported revenue of $12.5B in FY2025 versus $12.4B in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was $509M in FY2025, compounding +22.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$12.5B
Latest YoY
−1.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+4.2% (4.2 + 0.0)
Revenue +0.2%/yr
FY21 $12.4B
FY22 $12.2B
FY23 $12.5B
FY24 $12.6B
FY25 $12.5B
Net income +22.0%/yr
FY21 $230M
FY22 $46.0M
FY23 −$133M
FY24 −$516M
FY25 $509M

CYH screens 19% overvalued. Compare with HCA Healthcare, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Community Health Systems Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CYH

Peer Group

Medical Care Facilities · 267 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −16% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth -6% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.38× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE12 · sector 26
FUTURE0 · sector 25
PAST0 · sector 30
HEALTH100 · sector 90
DIVIDEND0 · sector 44

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA $427.16 $547.67 +28%
Fresenius SE FRE €46.20 €32.15 -30%
Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 241.00 SAR 112.37 SAR -53%
IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F 2.67 SGD 1.44 SGD -46%
Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC $266.80 $330.25 +24%
DaVita Inc DVA $180.05 $186.49 +4%
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP ₹8,818 ₹2,955 -66%
Fresenius Medical Care AG FME €39.92 €71.28 +79%
Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 ¥8.25 ¥7.67 -7%
Max Healthcare Institute Limited MAXHEALTH ₹1,005 ₹284.87 -72%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Community Health Systems Inc (CYH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.47 versus a price of $2.93, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CYH?
Our model-based fair value for Community Health Systems Inc is $2.47 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.93.
What is the quality score of CYH?
Community Health Systems Inc has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Community Health Systems Inc (CYH)?
Community Health Systems Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CYH?
The net profit margin of Community Health Systems Inc is about 3.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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