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Dover Corporation (D1OV34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Dover Corporation BRL 259, price BRL 477, upside -45.6%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · BR · ISIN US2600031080

DC Broad data Oct 3, 2026

Dover Corporation

D1OV34 · SA

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value R$259.21 · Strongly overvalued (−45.6%)
✓Quality 63/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y +1.0 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.4% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 59/100

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$603.07 R$294.24 Fair Value R$259.21 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$294.24 – R$603.07 · fair‑value band R$183.71 – R$337.64 · the R$476.64 price screens above the R$259.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Dover Corporation provides equipment and components, consumable supplies, aftermarket parts, software and digital solutions, and support services worldwide.

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Dover Corporation provides equipment and components, consumable supplies, aftermarket parts, software and digital solutions, and support services worldwide. The company's Engineered Products segment provides various equipment, component, software, solution, and services that are used in vehicle aftermarket, aerospace and defense, industrial winch and hoist, and fluid dispensing end-market. This segment offers software solutions and services used in light and heavy-duty vehicle lifts, wheel service equipment, vehicle diagnostics, and vehicle collision repair solutions; winches, hoists, bearings, drives, and electric monitoring system; and radio frequency and microwave filters and switches, and signal intelligence solutions, as well as soldering and fluid dispensing solutions. Its Clean Energy & Fueling segment offers component, equipment, and software and service solution enabling safe storage and transport of fuel, cryogenic gases, and hazardous fluids, as well as operation of retail fueling and vehicle wash establishment. The company's Imaging & Identification segment provides precision marking and coding, product traceability equipment, brand protection, and digital textile printing equipment and solution, as well as consumable, software, and service to packaged and consumer goods, pharmaceutical, industrial manufacturing, textile, and other end-market. Its Pumps & Process Solutions segment manufactures specialty pump, connector, flow meter, fluid connecting solution, plastics and polymer processing equipment, and engineered components for rotating and reciprocating machines. The company's Climate & Sustainability Technologies segment manufactures refrigeration system, refrigeration display case, commercial glass refrigerator and freezer door, and brazed plate heat exchanger for industrial heating and cooling, and residential climate control applications. Dover Corporation was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Downers Grove, Illinois.

Stock analysis

Dover Corporation (D1OV34) currently trades at R$476.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$259.21, 45.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of R$360.61 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the R$476.64 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at R$63.42, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: R$183.71 (bear) to R$337.64 (bull), the price of R$476.64 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Dover Corporation reported revenue of $8.1B in FY2025 versus $7.8B in FY2022, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2025, compounding +0.9%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap R$144B (≈ $27.6B) · P/E ratio 23.0 · P/S ratio 3.11 · EPS (TTM) R$20.70 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 13.5% · Return on equity 15.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −46%, D1OV34 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$183.71 Fair Value R$259.21 Bull R$337.64
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$14.08 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF R$217.04 R$301.04 R$461.03 77
Growth DCF R$226.25 R$308.15 R$451.92 75
Owner Earnings R$244.49 R$338.29 R$516.94 73
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$217.04 R$301.04 R$461.03 77
Owner Earnings R$244.49 R$338.29 R$516.94 73
5Y Revenue Exit R$184.34 R$270.05 R$394.83 69
5Y EBITDA Exit R$249.34 R$380.78 R$554.73 72
5Y P/E Exit R$250.32 R$382.45 R$539.73 68
10Y Revenue Exit R$189.52 R$266.38 R$353.72 65
10Y EBITDA Exit R$234.88 R$339.59 R$458.94 66
10Y P/E Exit R$235.48 R$340.69 R$449.07 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$144.24 R$246.82 R$301.47 64
EPV R$182.72 R$216.23 R$245.55 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$50.39 R$63.42 R$76.94 67
DDM Multi-Stage R$50.39 R$67.97 R$89.50 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$334.09 R$445.46 R$556.82 63
P/S Multiple R$235.38 R$313.84 R$392.30 58
P/B Multiple R$270.46 R$360.61 R$450.76 55
EV/EBIT R$322.37 R$435.93 R$549.49 66
EV/EBITDA R$313.97 R$424.73 R$535.49 67
EV/Revenue R$179.40 R$264.14 R$348.88 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$71.80 R$96.21 R$143.59 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$226.25 R$308.15 R$451.92 75
Rev-Margin DCF R$184.34 R$274.33 R$387.24 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$142.86 R$173.49 R$228.79 73
ROIC Compounder R$185.07 R$224.75 R$268.30 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$235.92 R$337.02 R$438.13 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 17%

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.9% a year for the price and +2.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+6.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.7%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.7%

D1OV34 screens overvalued: fair value 46% below the price. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Dover Corporation · Fair Value
R$259.21 −46%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dover Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/D1OV34

Frequently asked questions

Is Dover Corporation (D1OV34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$259.21 versus a price of R$476.64, about −46% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of D1OV34?
Our model-based fair value for Dover Corporation is R$259.21 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$476.64.
What is the quality score of D1OV34?
Dover Corporation has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dover Corporation (D1OV34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$259.21 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$183.71, optimistic scenario R$337.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dover Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$259.21, about −46% upside versus a price of R$476.64 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$183.71, optimistic scenario R$337.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dover Corporation (D1OV34)?
Dover Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.3B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Dover Corporation pay a dividend?
Dover Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.44% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Dover Corporation (D1OV34)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dover Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +7.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +1.0 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of D1OV34 use?
Our models discount Dover Corporation at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.16, country premium for Brazil. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dover Corporation that is +7.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dover Corporation (D1OV34) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Dover Corporation grew +1.0 % a year. The price currently implies +7.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dover Corporation (D1OV34) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dover Corporation (+7.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dover Corporation (D1OV34)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.05 %: that much free cash flow Dover Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dover Corporation (D1OV34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dover Corporation it is R$259.21 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of R$476.64. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dover Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, D1OV34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$476.64, fair value R$259.21, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of D1OV34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$476.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$259.21). For Dover Corporation the two are R$217.43 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dover Corporation worth?
The market values Dover Corporation at about R$144B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is R$476.64; our models calculate a fair value of R$259.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about D1OV34?
Our models span a range for Dover Corporation: cautious scenario R$183.71, base R$259.21, optimistic R$337.64 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price R$476.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is D1OV34 from its 52-week high?
Dover Corporation trades at R$476.64, about 16% below its 52-week high of R$565.00 and 7% above the low of R$444.26 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$259.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dover Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dover Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price R$476.64, calculated fair value R$259.21 (−46%), Quality Score 63/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of D1OV34 calculated?
We run Dover Corporation through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$259.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Dover Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dover Corporation (D1OV34)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was R$476.64. Our model-based fair value is R$259.21, about −46% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dover Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$337.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (R$183.71 to R$337.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Dover Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Dover Corporation (D1OV34)?
The market capitalisation of Dover Corporation is R$144B (≈ $27.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Dover Corporation (D1OV34)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Dover Corporation is 23.0. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Dover Corporation (D1OV34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dover Corporation is 3.11 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dover Corporation (D1OV34)?
Earnings per share at Dover Corporation are R$20.70 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dover Corporation (D1OV34)?
The dividend yield of Dover Corporation is 0.4% (payout 10.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dover Corporation (D1OV34)?
The net margin of Dover Corporation is 13.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dover Corporation (D1OV34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dover Corporation is 15.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dover Corporation (D1OV34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dover Corporation is 11.8% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dover Corporation (D1OV34)?
The operating margin of Dover Corporation is 16.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dover Corporation (D1OV34)?
Revenue at Dover Corporation is growing +10.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dover Corporation (D1OV34)?
Earnings per share at Dover Corporation are growing +5.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Dover Corporation (D1OV34) carry?
The net debt of Dover Corporation is $1.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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