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Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, (DBK) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · DE · Market cap €60.0B

DB Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, DBK · XETRA
Price€32.71
Fair Value€47.10
Upside+44.0%
Quality65/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 22.7% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
3.23% dividend yield
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range €35.32 – €58.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +2.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 44% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€35.32). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€32.71 €6.71 Fair Value €47.10 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €6.71 – €32.71 · fair‑value band €35.32 – €58.87 · the €32.71 price screens below the €47.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, (DBK) currently trades at €32.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €47.10, implying the stock looks roughly 44.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, generated revenue of €29.8B at a net margin of 22.7%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. Net debt stands at €194B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €35.32 (bear case) to €58.87 (bull case); at €32.71, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 44%, DBK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €233.62 €341.86 €489.92 80
Residual Income €34.93 €38.02 €50.80 76
ROIC Compounder €1.34 €7.26 €12.44 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €226.12 €342.78 €509.59 38
Owner Earnings €17.69 €40.94 €74.19 31
5Y Revenue Exit €87.82 €117.74 €151.47 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €95.81 €131.96 €170.05 41
5Y P/E Exit €90.48 €122.46 €152.82 38
10Y Revenue Exit €135.89 €172.40 €212.76 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €142.22 €182.03 €226.32 37
10Y P/E Exit €138.88 €175.60 €213.74 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €24.64 €58.52 €75.42 54
PEG = 1.0 €10.17 €14.53 €18.89 46
EPV €1.34 €7.26 €12.44 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €6.31 €11.02 €16.87 70
DDM Multi-Stage €6.31 €9.38 €12.76 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €54.34 €72.46 €90.57 63
P/S Multiple €46.19 €61.59 €76.98 58
P/B Multiple €46.19 €61.59 €76.98 55
EV/EBIT €34.46 €57.35 €80.24 53
EV/EBITDA €29.69 €50.98 €72.28 54
EV/Revenue €12.08 €31.92 €51.76 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €20.55 €27.54 €41.11 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €233.62 €341.86 €489.92 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income €34.93 €38.02 €50.80 76
ROIC Compounder €1.34 €7.26 €12.44 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €41.40 €59.15 €76.89 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€341.86) versus Economic Profit (€7.26). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €29.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.2%
Net margin 22.7%
Return on equity 8.7%
Free cash flow €46.6B FY2025
P/E ratio 8.8
More key figures
Operating margin 37.3%
EPS (TTM) €3.16
Dividend yield 3.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +7.1%
Net debt €194B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, provides corporate and investment banking, private clients, and asset management products and services in Germany, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa.

Full company description

Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, provides corporate and investment banking, private clients, and asset management products and services in Germany, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates through Corporate Bank, Investment Bank, Private Bank, and Asset Management segments. The Corporate Bank segment offers cash management services, such as integrated payments and FX solutions; trade finance and lending offerings, including documentary and guarantee business, and structured trade finance and lending; and depository receipts, corporate trust, document custody, and securities services. The Investment Bank segment provides financing solutions in industries and asset classes; institutional sales, trading, and structuring in foreign exchange, rates, emerging markets, and credit trading; liquidity, market making services, and specialized risk management solutions for fixed income and currencies products; and advisory and financial products and services. This segment is also involved in the mergers and acquisitions business; and capital markets businesses in debt and equity. The Private Bank segment offers a range of payment and account services, and credit and deposit products, as well as investment advice, and postal and parcel services; and planning, managing and investing wealth, financing personal and business interests, and servicing institutional and corporate needs. The Asset Management segment provides access to investment capabilities in active and passive asset classes comprising Xtrackers range and alternatives; and access to private equity, private credit, real estate, and infrastructure. Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft was incorporated in 1870 and is headquartered in Frankfurt am Main, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, reported revenue of €60.9B in FY2025 versus €25.3B in FY2021, a compound +24.5%/yr. Reported net income was €6.9B in FY2025, compounding +30.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 89/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€60.9B
Latest YoY
−8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+31.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+20.7%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
−1.2%
Revenue +24.5%/yr
FY21 €25.3B
FY22 €26.6B
FY23 €59.3B
FY24 €66.3B
FY25 €60.9B
Net income +30.8%/yr
FY21 €2.4B
FY22 €5.5B
FY23 €4.8B
FY24 €3.4B
FY25 €6.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DBK

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, (DBK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €47.10 versus a price of €32.71, about +44% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DBK?
Our model-based fair value for Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, is €47.10 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €32.71.
What is the quality score of DBK?
Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, has a Quality Score of 65/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, (DBK)?
Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €29.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DBK?
The net profit margin of Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, is about 22.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, pay a dividend?
Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft, a stock corporation, currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.52% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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