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Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Digital China Holdings Ltd $1.51, price $1.53, upside -1.0%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · ADR · Home Taiwan · ISIN US25384X1000

DC Digital China Holdings Ltd logo Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Digital China Holdings Ltd

DCHIY · US

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $1.51 · Fairly valued (−1.0%)
!Quality 59/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.1% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Weak on past: 3 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$5.41 $1.06 Fair Value $1.51 Jun 2015 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.06 – $5.41 · the $1.53 price screens above the $1.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Digital China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides big data products and solutions for government and enterprise customers in Mainland China. It operates through three segments: Data Intelligence Services Business, Integrated Supply Chain Services Business, and Fintech Services and Others Business.

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Digital China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides big data products and solutions for government and enterprise customers in Mainland China. It operates through three segments: Data Intelligence Services Business, Integrated Supply Chain Services Business, and Fintech Services and Others Business. The Data Intelligence Services Business segment provides data intelligence decision-making platforms and full-stack AI technical services centered on computing power, data, algorithm models and intelligent applications; and offers power planning and construction, coordinated scheduling, optimization and reengineering, and computing power asset management. The Integrated Supply Chain Services Business segment offers data technology-making end-to-end supply chain services, focusing on warehousing, transportation, distribution, reverse logistics and intelligent operations. The Fintech Services and Others Business segment includes investments, property sales and leasing; and digital transformation support services for financial institutions and others. In addition, the company engages in provision of logistics; system integration; e-commerce supply chain; develops and constructs Science and Technology Park; data processing and manpower outsourcing services; data integration and management software sales; and property investment and development, as well as finance lease business and patent holding activities. Further, it provides big data products and solution services, including sales of data software products and data solutions; software and operation business, including one-stop end-to-end supply chain operation service and software development, testing, operation and maintenance services; traditional and localization services, including system integration, e-commerce operation services. Digital China Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR (DCHIY) currently trades at $1.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.51, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.0%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $3.09 per share, and 6 of the 12 models we run sit above the $1.53 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.1600, and 6 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR reported revenue of 20.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 17.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was 30.6M CNY in FY2025, compounding −52.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $453M · P/E ratio 76.3 · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) $0.0200 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 0.1% · Return on equity 0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −1%, DCHIY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.51 Fair Value $1.51 Bull $1.51
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.17 $3.68 $4.50 80
Owner Earnings $2.26 $2.56 $3.09 78
Residual Income $1.64 $1.50 $1.40 76
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $2.26 $2.56 $3.09 78
5Y P/E Exit $2.13 $2.28 $2.47 72
10Y P/E Exit $2.55 $2.73 $2.89 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.0900 $0.1600 $0.1900 67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.2800 $0.3400 $0.4000 69
DDM Multi-Stage $0.2800 $0.3600 $0.4400 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.2900 $0.3800 $0.4800 63
P/B Multiple $0.1700 $0.2300 $0.2900 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.28 $1.72 $2.57 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.17 $3.68 $4.50 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.58 $3.09 $3.75 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.64 $1.50 $1.40 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.8% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−42.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−44.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−44.1% vs −28.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2003 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.3% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 360 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +69.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Return on assets 1.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 36.4% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.24× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 76.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.53× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.15× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 7.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 24
PAST (return on equity)3 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)88 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)42 · sector 43

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DCHIY

Frequently asked questions

Is Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.51 versus a price of $1.53, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DCHIY?
Our model-based fair value for Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR is $1.51 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.53.
What is the quality score of DCHIY?
Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.51 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.51, about −1% upside versus a price of $1.53 (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY)?
Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 21.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.10% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR would have to grow free cash flow by -9.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DCHIY use?
Our models discount Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.84, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR that is -9.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR grew +0.6 % a year. The price currently implies -9.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR (-9.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.74 %: that much free cash flow Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR it is $1.51 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.53. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DCHIY trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.53, fair value $1.51, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DCHIY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.53); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.51). For Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR the two are $0.0150 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR worth?
The market values Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR at about $453M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.53; our models calculate a fair value of $1.51 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of DCHIY?
Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 76.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.51 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 1.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.6%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DCHIY from its 52-week high?
Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR trades at $1.53, about 15% below its 52-week high of $1.80 and 45% above the low of $1.06 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Swire Pacific Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.53, calculated fair value $1.51 (−1%), Quality Score 59/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DCHIY calculated?
We run Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.51, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.53. Our model-based fair value is $1.51, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Key figures of Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR

How large is the market capitalisation of Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY)?
The market capitalisation of Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR is $453M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR is 0.11 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY)?
Earnings per share at Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR are $0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 76.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY)?
The dividend yield of Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR is 2.1% (payout 160%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY)?
The net margin of Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR is 0.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR is 0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY)?
The operating margin of Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY)?
Revenue at Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR is growing +36.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY)?
Earnings per share at Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR are growing +39.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Digital China Holdings Ltd (DCHIY) hold?
Digital China Holdings Ltd ADR holds more cash than debt, 428M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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