DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jun 4, 2026: fair value of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. $13.10, price $8.45, upside +55.0%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
35‑month range $7.09 – $8.45 · fair‑value band $6.41 – $19.60 · the $8.45 price screens below the $13.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in the home improvement and e-commerce businesses in Japan. It operates specialty shops that sells tools, hardware, and work supplies; home convenience stores that offer everyday items, DIY products, and groceries; specialty e-commerce business that sells household appliances; and MYVOT membership service.
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DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in the home improvement and e-commerce businesses in Japan. It operates specialty shops that sells tools, hardware, and work supplies; home convenience stores that offer everyday items, DIY products, and groceries; specialty e-commerce business that sells household appliances; and MYVOT membership service. The company is also involved in the insurance agency business, residential building construction, and wholesale of consumer electronics and camera products under the MAXZEN brand. DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF) currently trades at $8.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.10, implying the stock looks roughly 35.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $15.16 per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the $8.45 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $3.37, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $6.41 (bear) to $19.60 (bull), the price of $8.45 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. reported revenue of ¥545B in FY2025 versus ¥471B in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥17.1B in FY2025, compounding −2.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.1B · P/E ratio 10.3 · P/S ratio 0.32 · EPS (TTM) $0.8200 · Dividend yield 3.6% · Net margin 3.1% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 55%, DCMJF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $6.41Fair Value $13.10Bull $19.60
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+4.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.6%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 6%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Home Improvement Retail · 32 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+55.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6.0% · Below median
Return on assets2.9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3.2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)4.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.85× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper
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Is DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.10 versus the last price from Jun 4, 2026 of $8.45, about +55% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DCMJF?
Our model-based fair value for DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. is $13.10 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jun 4, 2026): $8.45.
What is the quality score of DCMJF?
DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $13.10 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.41, optimistic scenario $19.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $13.10, about +55% upside versus the last price from Jun 4, 2026 of $8.45 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $6.41, optimistic scenario $19.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF)?
DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥533B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.58% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +6.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +3.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DCMJF use?
Our models discount DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.09, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. that is +6.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. grew +3.7 % a year. The price currently implies +6.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (+6.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.25 %: that much free cash flow DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. it is $13.10 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $8.45. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DCMJF trades below its calculated fair value: price $8.45, fair value $13.10, a gap of about +55% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DCMJF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($13.10). For DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. the two are $4.65 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. at about $1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $8.45; our models calculate a fair value of $13.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DCMJF?
Our models span a range for DCM Holdings Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario $6.41, base $13.10, optimistic $19.60 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $8.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DCMJF?
DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $13.10 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 5.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF)?
Balance-sheet figures for DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.0%, debt of 0.85 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DCMJF from its 52-week high?
DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. trades at $8.45, at its 52-week high of $8.45 and 8% above the low of $7.85 (as of Jun 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $13.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to DCM Holdings Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value The Home Depot, Inc, Lowe's Companies, Inc, Wesfarmers Limited, Floor & Decor Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $8.45, calculated fair value $13.10 (+55%), Quality Score 59/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DCMJF calculated?
We run DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $13.10, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. currently trades 35 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF)?
The latest price we hold is from Jun 4, 2026 and stands at $8.45. Our model-based fair value is $13.10, about +55% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($6.41 to $19.60). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF)?
The market capitalisation of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. is $1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. is 0.32 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF)?
Earnings per share at DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. are $0.8200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF)?
The dividend yield of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. is 3.6% (payout 36.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF)?
The net margin of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. is 3.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF)?
The operating margin of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF)?
Revenue at DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. is growing −3.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF)?
Earnings per share at DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. are growing −14.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (DCMJF) carry?
The net debt of DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. is ¥157B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026