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Data-driven stock valuation

Delek Group Ltd (DELKY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Delek Group Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Energy · US · Market cap $5.3B

At a glance

DG Delek Group Ltd logo Delek Group Ltd DELKY · US
Price$30.90
Fair Value$23.67
Upside−23.4%
Quality56/100

A solid business, but trading 31% above our fair value of $23.67.

As of Aug 22, 2026, the fair value of Delek Group Ltd is $23.67 per share against a price of $30.90, so the fair value sits 23% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.8 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 84.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·5.48% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Moderate moat 51/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 7 out of 100
!Weak on past: 18 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $17.20 to $37.91

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 22, 2026, revised from $48.32 to $23.67 (−51.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +18.8% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($17.20 to $37.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$45.82 $3.37 Fair Value $23.67 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.37 – $45.82 · fair‑value band $17.20 – $37.91 · the $30.90 price screens above the $23.67 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Delek Group Ltd (DELKY) currently trades at $30.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.67, implying the stock looks roughly 30.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $176.65 per share, and 18 of the 23 models we run sit above the $30.90 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $16.40, and 5 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Delek Group Ltd generated revenue of $11.5B at a net margin of 84.1%. Revenue declined 18.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. Net debt stands at $9.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Scenario range: $17.20 (bear) to $37.91 (bull), the price of $30.90 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −23%, DELKY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2624 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $57.43 $100.77 $178.55 77
Growth DCF $62.44 $104.20 $173.37 76
Owner Earnings $120.97 $187.56 $307.06 75
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $57.43 $100.77 $178.55 77
Owner Earnings $120.97 $187.56 $307.06 75
5Y Revenue Exit $0.1300 $13.53 $32.70 63
5Y EBITDA Exit $19.27 $46.65 $82.95 71
5Y P/E Exit $74.63 $142.47 $223.51 69
10Y Revenue Exit $21.91 $33.82 $45.20 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $33.90 $53.84 $74.03 68
10Y P/E Exit $66.76 $111.75 $154.66 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $111.31 $136.04 $153.05 67
EPV $16.18 $28.38 $38.90 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $45.70 $49.80 $56.01 69
DDM Multi-Stage $45.70 $56.47 $71.17 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $171.87 $229.16 $286.45 63
P/S Multiple $27.02 $36.02 $45.03 58
P/B Multiple $74.06 $98.75 $123.43 55
EV/EBIT $15.00 $40.35 $65.70 61
EV/EBITDA $3.17 $24.58 $45.99 59
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $27.43 $36.76 $54.86 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $62.44 $104.20 $173.37 76
Rev-Margin DCF $0.1300 $16.40 $37.87 63
Economic Profit
Residual Income $106.22 $146.23 $940.37 64
ROIC Compounder $16.18 $28.38 $38.90 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $123.66 $176.65 $229.65 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($176.65) versus Growth DCF ($16.40). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 81.3
P/S ratio 44.3 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.3800 price ÷ EPS = P/E 81.3
Dividend yield 5.5%
Net margin 54.5% FY2025
Return on equity 4.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 12.2% avg 5y
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $11.5B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −18.0% 3y avg −22.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +400%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $2.3B FY2025
Net debt $9.7B FY2025 · ≈ 4.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 62
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Delek Group Ltd., an energy company, engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of oil and natural gas in Israel and internationally.

Full company description

Delek Group Ltd., an energy company, engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of oil and natural gas in Israel and internationally. It holds interests in the Leviathan and Aphrodite reservoirs in Cyprus; assets oil offshore oil assets in the Mediterranean, as well as oil and gas reserves in the North Sea region; and treatment, and storage facilities. Delek Group Ltd. was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Herzliya, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Delek Group Ltd reported revenue of 5.5B ILS in FY2025 versus 8.0B ILS in FY2021, a compound −8.9%/yr. Reported net income was 3.0B ILS in FY2025, compounding +20.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.5B
Latest YoY
−54.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−22.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
≈ +29.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+23.7%
Dividend yield5.5%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 23.7% vs 10Y 19.6%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.32.4% (2020) → 33.8% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop362% (2020) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.0%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Final year 2025 sits 87% above trend (one-off), rate approximate
Revenue −8.9%/yr
FY21 8.0B ILS
FY22 12.0B ILS
FY23 12.3B ILS
FY24 12.0B ILS
FY25 5.5B ILS
Net income +20.2%/yr
FY21 1.4B ILS
FY22 4.0B ILS
FY23 1.6B ILS
FY24 1.4B ILS
FY25 3.0B ILS
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) +17.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +0.3 %

of which total revenue +6.0 % · buybacks/dilution −5.4 %

EBIT margin +7.6 %
Tax rate −4.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +13.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

DELKY screens 31% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Delek Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DELKY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 296 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −20% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 84% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −18% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.38× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 81.3× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 2.3× · Cheapest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Delek Group Ltd deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years-5.9 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years-3.8 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+1.6 %
FCF yield on price41.37 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models9.7 %

The price demands roughly the growth the company recently delivered. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE7 · sector 8
FUTURE0 · sector 7
PAST18 · sector 9
HEALTH31 · sector 87
DIVIDEND100 · sector 70

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥33.41 ¥32.55 −3%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $134.26 $90.15 −33%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ C$69.78 C$44.78 −36%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $145.19 $132.20 −9%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $60.04 $30.06 −50%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $199.22 $105.24 −47%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $48.06 $27.06 −44%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$32.55 A$20.71 −36%
EQT Corporation EQT $54.57 $42.85 −21%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $366.50 $77.26 −79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Delek Group Ltd (DELKY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $23.67 versus a price of $30.90, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DELKY?
Our model-based fair value for Delek Group Ltd is $23.67 (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $30.90.
What is the quality score of DELKY?
Delek Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Delek Group Ltd (DELKY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $23.67 (as of Aug 22, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $17.20, optimistic scenario $37.91. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Delek Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $23.67, about −23% upside versus a price of $30.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $17.20, optimistic scenario $37.91. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Delek Group Ltd (DELKY)?
Delek Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DELKY?
The net profit margin of Delek Group Ltd is about 84.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 84.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Delek Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Delek Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.48% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 22, 2026).
What growth is priced into Delek Group Ltd (DELKY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Delek Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -5.9 % per year for ten years (discount rate 9.7 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.8 % per year. As of Aug 22, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DELKY use?
Our models discount Delek Group Ltd at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Delek Group Ltd (DELKY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Delek Group Ltd it is $23.67 per share (as of Aug 22, 2026), against a price of $30.90. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Delek Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 22, 2026, DELKY trades above its calculated fair value: price $30.90, fair value $23.67, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DELKY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($30.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($23.67). For Delek Group Ltd the two are $7.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Delek Group Ltd worth?
The market values Delek Group Ltd at about $5.3B (market capitalisation, as of Aug 22, 2026). Per share that is $30.90; our models calculate a fair value of $23.67 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DELKY?
Our models span a range for Delek Group Ltd: cautious scenario $17.20, base $23.67, optimistic $37.91 per share (as of Aug 22, 2026, price $30.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DELKY?
Delek Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 81.3 (as of Aug 22, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $23.67 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Delek Group Ltd (DELKY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Delek Group Ltd (as of Aug 22, 2026): return on equity 4.5%, debt of 1.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DELKY from its 52-week high?
Delek Group Ltd trades at $30.90, about 42% below its 52-week high of $53.32 and 73% above the low of $17.83 (as of Aug 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $23.67 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Delek Group Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Delek Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 22, 2026: price $30.90, calculated fair value $23.67 (−23%), Quality Score 56/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DELKY calculated?
We run Delek Group Ltd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $23.67, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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