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Demco Public Company (DEMCO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TH · Market cap 2.8B THB

DP Demco Public Company DEMCO · BK
Price3.26 THB
Fair Value0.4500 THB
Upside-86.2%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 3.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 21/100
Evidence: High Range 0.3800 THB – 0.5100 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from 0.4600 THB to 0.4500 THB (−2.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −13.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.5100 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

6.35 THB 1.59 THB Fair Value 0.4500 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.59 THB – 6.35 THB · fair‑value band 0.3800 THB – 0.5100 THB · the 3.26 THB price screens above the 0.4500 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Demco Public Company (DEMCO) currently trades at 3.26 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.4500 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 86.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Demco Public Company generated revenue of 2.1B THB at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue declined 51.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.4%. Net debt stands at 1.1B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.3800 THB (bear case) to 0.5100 THB (bull case); at 3.26 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -86%, DEMCO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (0.1400 THB to 3.21 THB). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.9900 THB 1.33 THB 1.89 THB 80
Residual Income 3.15 THB 2.86 THB 1.94 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.6000 THB 0.8100 THB 1.08 THB 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.9500 THB 1.30 THB 1.93 THB 38
Owner Earnings 0.3900 THB 0.5400 THB 0.8100 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.6000 THB 0.7900 THB 1.06 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.9600 THB 1.42 THB 2.02 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 0.5100 THB 0.6400 THB 0.7900 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.7200 THB 0.8700 THB 1.03 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.9500 THB 1.25 THB 1.58 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 0.6800 THB 0.7800 THB 0.8700 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.1200 THB 0.1400 THB 0.1600 THB 54
EPV 0.3600 THB 0.4100 THB 0.4600 THB 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.2700 THB 0.3600 THB 0.4500 THB 63
P/S Multiple 0.2200 THB 0.2900 THB 0.3600 THB 58
P/B Multiple 0.2200 THB 0.2900 THB 0.3600 THB 55
EV/EBIT 0.5600 THB 0.7500 THB 0.9400 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 1.13 THB 1.51 THB 1.89 THB 54
EV/Revenue 0.4000 THB 0.5700 THB 0.7400 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.39 THB 3.21 THB 4.78 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.9900 THB 1.33 THB 1.89 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.6000 THB 0.8100 THB 1.08 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 3.15 THB 2.86 THB 1.94 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 0.3600 THB 0.4100 THB 0.4600 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.1900 THB 0.2700 THB 0.3500 THB 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (3.21 THB) versus Earnings-Based (0.1400 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.0B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -27.2%
Net margin 3.0%
Return on equity 1.7%
Free cash flow 77.9M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 47.3
More key figures
Operating margin -3.3%
EPS (TTM) 0.0800 THB
EPS growth (YoY) -71.4%
Net debt 1.1B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 90
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 57
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Demco Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of electric system construction and service works in the fields of electric engineering and telecommunication in Thailand.

Full company description

Demco Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of electric system construction and service works in the fields of electric engineering and telecommunication in Thailand. The company operates through six segments: Sales, Electricity from Solar Power, Electrical Work Services, Engagement Work Services, Other Services, and Sales and Providing Service to Biomass Power Plant. The Sales segment produces and sells steel structure fabrications for electrical and telecommunication works; and water. The Electricity from Solar Power segment generates and sells electricity from solar power. The Electrical Work Services segment designs, constructs, and manages electrical work. The Engagement Work Services segment produces and installs fabricated steel structures and high-pressure vessels. The Other Services segment provides civil work, communication, and other services. The Sales and Providing Service to Biomass Power Plant segment engages in the operating service and maintenance of biomass power plant; and offers biomass fuel. The company also manufactures and trades in steel supporting structures and steel towers; and trades in assembled telecommunication equipment, communication equipment, and electrical equipment, as well as sells construction materials, and manufacture and sale of galvanized structure steel and electrical equipment. In addition, it invests in projects of renewable energy generation and utilities system, including wind energy, solar farm, and solar roof projects. Further, the company design, procurement, construct, test, install, and maintain electrical engineering, renewable energy, signaling and communication, mechanical and electrical, telecommunication tower, and energy conservative work. Additionally, it operates in renewable energy of an utility systems; and electricity generation and transmission business. Demco Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Pathum Thani, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Demco Public Company reported revenue of 2.1B THB in FY2025 versus 2.6B THB in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was 12.8M THB in FY2025, compounding −40.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.1B THB
Latest YoY
−27.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.7%
Revenue −4.3%/yr
FY21 2.6B THB
FY22 2.1B THB
FY23 2.2B THB
FY24 3.0B THB
FY25 2.1B THB
Net income −40.3%/yr
FY21 101M THB
FY22 −128M THB
FY23 −550M THB
FY24 −62.7M THB
FY25 12.8M THB

DEMCO screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Demco Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DEMCO

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -27% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 47.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.79× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.43× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 46.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 7 · sector 26
HEALTH 99 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Demco Public Company (DEMCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.4500 THB versus a price of 3.26 THB, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DEMCO?
Our model-based fair value for Demco Public Company is 0.4500 THB (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 3.26 THB.
What is the quality score of DEMCO?
Demco Public Company has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Demco Public Company (DEMCO)?
Demco Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DEMCO?
The net profit margin of Demco Public Company is about 0.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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