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Distribution Finance Capital Holdings (DFCH) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · GB · Market cap 117M GBX

DF Distribution Finance Capital Holdings DFCH · LSE
Price£0.7100
Fair Value£1.20
Upside+69.0%
Quality56/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 29.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range £0.9000 – £1.50 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from £1.19 to £1.20 (+0.8%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +1.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 69% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (£0.9000). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£1.33 £0.1900 Fair Value £1.20 May 2019 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.1900 – £1.33 · fair‑value band £0.9000 – £1.50 · the £0.7100 price screens below the £1.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings (DFCH) currently trades at £0.7100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.20, implying the stock looks roughly 69.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Distribution Finance Capital Holdings generated revenue of £52.1M at a net margin of 29.1%. Revenue grew 12.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £120M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £0.9000 (bear case) to £1.50 (bull case); at £0.7100, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 69%, DFCH screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £1.75 £1.94 £2.23 80
Rev-Margin DCF £1.64 £1.96 £2.37 74
P/E Multiple £0.9000 £1.20 £1.50 63
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings £1.40 £1.54 £1.77 31
5Y P/E Exit £1.66 £1.98 £2.37 38
10Y P/E Exit £1.69 £1.88 £2.07 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.6300 £0.7700 £0.8600 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple £0.9000 £1.20 £1.50 63
P/B Multiple £0.8100 £1.08 £1.35 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.3900 £0.5200 £0.7700 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £1.75 £1.94 £2.23 80
Rev-Margin DCF £1.64 £1.96 £2.37 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £0.6400 £0.7100 £0.9200 61

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (£1.94) versus Asset-Based (£0.5200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 52.1M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.4%
Net margin 29.1%
Return on equity 12.5%
Free cash flow 20.2M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 8.9
More key figures
Operating margin 37.4%
EPS (TTM) £0.0800
EPS growth (YoY) +31.1%
Net cash 120M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 96
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings plc, an investment holding company, personal savings and commercial lending banking business in the United Kingdom. The company offers working capital funding solutions to distributors and manufacturers.

Full company description

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings plc, an investment holding company, personal savings and commercial lending banking business in the United Kingdom. The company offers working capital funding solutions to distributors and manufacturers. It serves the agricultural, motorcycle, industrial, automotive, lodges, marine, motorhomes and caravans, and transport sectors. Distribution Finance Capital Holdings plc was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Manchester, United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings reported revenue of £92.1M in FY2025 versus £13.5M in FY2021, a compound +61.5%/yr. Reported net income was £15.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 91/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£92.1M
Latest YoY
+17.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+51.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+55.0%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+174.2%
Revenue +61.5%/yr
FY21 £13.5M
FY22 £26.6M
FY23 £60.4M
FY24 £78.1M
FY25 £92.1M
Net income
FY21 −£3.7M
FY22 £9.8M
FY23 £3.2M
FY24 £14.0M
FY25 £15.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Distribution Finance Capital Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DFCH

Peer Group

Credit Services · 331 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +69% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 29% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.24× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.03× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 7.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 0.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 62 · sector 39
PAST 50 · sector 32
HEALTH 100 · sector 58
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Distribution Finance Capital Holdings (DFCH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.20 versus a price of £0.7100, about +69% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DFCH?
Our model-based fair value for Distribution Finance Capital Holdings is £1.20 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £0.7100.
What is the quality score of DFCH?
Distribution Finance Capital Holdings has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Distribution Finance Capital Holdings (DFCH)?
Distribution Finance Capital Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £52.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DFCH?
The net profit margin of Distribution Finance Capital Holdings is about 29.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 29.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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