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DF Deutsche Forfait AG (DFTK) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · DE · Market cap €17.8M

DD DF Deutsche Forfait AG DFTK · XETRA
Price€1.62
Fair Value€2.37
Upside+46.3%
Quality37/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -16.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 15/100
Evidence: Medium Range €1.87 – €3.02 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +5.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 46% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€1.87). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€8.15 €0.9550 Fair Value €2.37 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.9550 – €8.15 · fair‑value band €1.87 – €3.02 · the €1.62 price screens below the €2.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

DF Deutsche Forfait AG (DFTK) currently trades at €1.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.37, implying the stock looks roughly 46.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, DF Deutsche Forfait AG generated revenue of €11.9M at a net margin of -16.8%. Revenue declined 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €11.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €1.87 (bear case) to €3.02 (bull case); at €1.62, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 46%, DFTK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €1.50 €1.63 €1.77 80
Rev-Margin DCF €1.76 €2.17 €2.65 74
NCAV (Graham) €1.21 €1.63 €2.43 50
All 3 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.21 €1.63 €2.43 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €1.50 €1.63 €1.77 80
Rev-Margin DCF €1.76 €2.17 €2.65 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€1.63) versus Asset-Based (€1.63). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €11.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.4%
Net margin -16.8%
Return on equity -6.7%
Free cash flow €499K FY2025
Operating margin -32.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.1700
EPS growth (YoY) -66.7%
Net cash €11.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

DF Deutsche Forfait AG, provides foreign trade finance and related services for exporters, importers, and other financial companies in Iran, Europe, Germany, and the Czech Republic. It operates through three segments: Trade Finance, Food and Beverage, and Health and Pharma.

Full company description

DF Deutsche Forfait AG, provides foreign trade finance and related services for exporters, importers, and other financial companies in Iran, Europe, Germany, and the Czech Republic. It operates through three segments: Trade Finance, Food and Beverage, and Health and Pharma. The company offers agenting, consulting, and services for payments, marketing compliance services, debt collection and payment services, and factoring and forfaiting services. It also involved in the production and distribution of food and beverages in the hospitality sector; installation, management, and operation of bars and restaurants; and beer production and distribution, as well as the production and marketing of non-alcoholic beverages. In addition, the company engages in activities related to healthcare/medical and pharmaceutical industries; plasma production and processing; and logistics and distribution. Additionally, it is involved in the collection of foreign trade receivables; project financing; and purchase commitments activities. DF Deutsche Forfait AG was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Cologne, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

DF Deutsche Forfait AG reported revenue of €11.3M in FY2025 versus €10.0M in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€2.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 33/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€11.3M
Latest YoY
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.4%
Revenue +3.2%/yr
FY21 €10.0M
FY22 €11.1M
FY23 €29.5M
FY24 €10.5M
FY25 €11.3M
Net income
FY21 €6.8M
FY22 €5.4M
FY23 €1.7M
FY24 €1.9M
FY25 −€2.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DF Deutsche Forfait AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DFTK

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 423 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +46% · Top 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -17% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -32% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.25× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.71× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.73× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 41.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 95 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 96
PAST 0 · sector 30
HEALTH 87 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 36

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC $0.2700 $0.0400 -85%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,750 KRW 31,645 KRW -18%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 117,000 KRW 87,706 KRW -25%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 239,000 KRW 318,825 KRW +33%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 31,000 KRW 37,133 KRW +20%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 107,700 KRW 126,487 KRW +17%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS ₹967.00 ₹299.65 -69%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 322,000 KRW 358,091 KRW +11%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 24,250 VND 28,021 VND +16%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is DF Deutsche Forfait AG (DFTK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.37 versus a price of €1.62, about +46% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DFTK?
Our model-based fair value for DF Deutsche Forfait AG is €2.37 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €1.62.
What is the quality score of DFTK?
DF Deutsche Forfait AG has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of DF Deutsche Forfait AG (DFTK)?
DF Deutsche Forfait AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €11.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DFTK?
The net profit margin of DF Deutsche Forfait AG is about -16.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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