Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 6, 2026: fair value of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. $0.91, price $8.65, upside -89.5%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.06 – $97.54 · fair‑value band $0.8160 – $1.03 · the $8.65 price screens above the $0.9095 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
Follow Trump Media & Technology Group in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Trump Media & Technology Group is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. engages in social media and streaming services in the United States. It operates Truth Social, a social media platform for free expression; and Truth+, a streaming platform focusing on family-friendly live TV channels and on-demand content.
Show more
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. engages in social media and streaming services in the United States. It operates Truth Social, a social media platform for free expression; and Truth+, a streaming platform focusing on family-friendly live TV channels and on-demand content. The company also offers Truth.Fi, a financial service and FinTech brand that incorporates America First investment vehicles; and a digital asset strategy including a bitcoin treasury. Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. was founded in 2021 and is headquartered in Sarasota, Florida.
Stock analysis
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) currently trades at $8.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9095, 89.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $3.98 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $8.65 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.6400, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.8160 (bear) to $1.03 (bull), the price of $8.65 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. reported revenue of $3.7M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$711M in FY2025.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −89%, DJT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.8160Fair Value $0.9095Bull $1.03
Price $8.65 · Upside -89.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.8%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,258.0% (2022) → −15,560.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+56.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +52.5% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.
Compare Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Content & Information · 134 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−89.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−16.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6.1% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.54× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF178.3× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)31· sector 33
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 43
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DJT
Frequently asked questions
Is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.9095 versus a price of $8.65, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DJT?
Our model-based fair value for Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. is $0.9095 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.65.
What is the quality score of DJT?
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.9095 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.8160, optimistic scenario $1.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.9095, about −89% upside versus a price of $8.65 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.8160, optimistic scenario $1.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)?
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.7M (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. would have to grow free cash flow by +56.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +35.8 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DJT use?
Our models discount Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. at 12.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 4.13, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. that is +56.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. grew +35.8 % a year. The price currently implies +56.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (+56.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.64 %: that much free cash flow Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. it is $0.9095 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of $8.65. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, DJT trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.65, fair value $0.9095, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DJT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.9095). For Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. the two are $7.74 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. worth?
The market values Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. at about $2.5B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is $8.65; our models calculate a fair value of $0.9095 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DJT?
Our models span a range for Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.: cautious scenario $0.8160, base $0.9095, optimistic $1.03 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price $8.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity −101.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DJT from its 52-week high?
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. trades at $8.65, about 51% below its 52-week high of $17.62 and 23% above the low of $7.06 (as of Oct 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.9095 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Alphabet Inc, Meta Platforms, Inc, Tencent Holdings, Spotify Technology S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price $8.65, calculated fair value $0.9095 (−89%), Quality Score 26/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DJT calculated?
We run Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.9095, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)?
The closing price on Oct 6, 2026 was $8.65. Our model-based fair value is $0.9095, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.
How large is the market capitalisation of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)?
The market capitalisation of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. is $2.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)?
Earnings per share at Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. are $−4.13. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. is −101% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. is −142% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)?
The operating margin of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. is −33,688% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)?
Revenue at Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. is growing +6.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +35.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) carry?
The net debt of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. is $786M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 55.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. in the live analysis
One click puts Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Oct 1, 2026