Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $2.4B
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.
DJT · US
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −1.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 87% overvalued on our models.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
59‑month range $7.06 – $97.54 · fair‑value band $0.9350 – $1.57 · the $9.10 price screens above the $1.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) currently trades at $9.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.20, implying the stock looks roughly 86.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $3.7M. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. Net debt stands at $786M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.9350 (bear case) to $1.57 (bull case); at $9.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -87%, DJT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($3.98) versus Growth DCF ($1.77). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. engages in social media and streaming services in the United States. It operates Truth Social, a social media platform for free expression; and Truth+, a streaming platform focusing on family-friendly live TV channels and on-demand content.
Full company description
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. engages in social media and streaming services in the United States. It operates Truth Social, a social media platform for free expression; and Truth+, a streaming platform focusing on family-friendly live TV channels and on-demand content. The company also offers Truth.Fi, a financial service and FinTech brand that incorporates America First investment vehicles; and a digital asset strategy including a bitcoin treasury. Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. was founded in 2021 and is headquartered in Sarasota, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. reported revenue of $3.7M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$711M in FY2025.
DJT screens 87% overvalued. Compare with Alphabet Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Trump Media Stock Scores With 'Cancel The Attack' Post; Buckle Up For What's Next
- Wall Street Traders Quietly Line Up to Pay $100,000 for Early Access to Trump’s Market-Moving Posts
- Trump Media reportedly moves $165M in bitcoin to Crypto.com
- Trump accused of ‘abusing power’ by selling VIP access to Truth Social posts
Peer Group
Internet Content & Information · 157 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet Inc GOOGL | $343.54 | $145.14 | -58% |
| Meta Platforms, Inc META | $578.85 | $534.91 | -8% |
| Tencent Holdings 0700 | HK$461.60 | HK$448.17 | -3% |
| Spotify Technology S.A SPOT | $489.60 | $210.99 | -57% |
| Nebius Group NBISN | 3,702 MXN | 3,443 MXN | -7% |
| Baidu, Inc 9888 | HK$102.00 | HK$57.90 | -43% |
| Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 | HK$41.54 | HK$84.61 | +104% |
| NAVER Corporation 035420 | 215,500 KRW | 231,585 KRW | +7% |
| Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 | HK$35.14 | HK$66.77 | +90% |
| Kakao Corp 035720 | 40,100 KRW | 24,536 KRW | -39% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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