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Data-driven stock valuation

Daikin Industries Ltd ADR (DKILY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Daikin Industries Ltd ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Industrials · US · Market cap $38.5B · ISIN US23381B1061

At a glance

DI Daikin Industries Ltd ADR logo Daikin Industries Ltd ADR DKILY · US
Price$13.09
Fair Value$14.50
Upside+10.8%
Quality57/100

A solid business, trading 10% below our fair value of $14.50.

As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Daikin Industries Ltd ADR is $14.50 per share against a price of $13.09, so the fair value sits 11% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +16.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.2% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·1.52% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (9/15)
!Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range $10.17 to $18.51

Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $14.28 to $14.50 (+1.5%) since Sep 7, 2026. Share price −6.7% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($10.17 to $18.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$22.58 $9.24 Fair Value $14.50 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $9.24 – $22.58 · fair‑value band $10.17 – $18.51 · the $13.09 price screens below the $14.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Daikin Industries Ltd ADR (DKILY) currently trades at $13.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.50, implying the stock looks roughly 9.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $16.16 per share, and 15 of the 24 models we run sit above the $13.09 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $5.10, and 9 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Daikin Industries Ltd ADR generated revenue of ¥5.0T at a net margin of 5.5%. Revenue grew 16.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. Net debt stands at ¥162B. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026

Scenario range: $10.17 (bear) to $18.51 (bull), the price of $13.09 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 11%, DKILY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $8.90 $14.36 $23.37 79
Growth DCF $8.92 $14.13 $22.62 77
Owner Earnings $11.49 $18.77 $30.78 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $8.90 $14.36 $23.37 79
Owner Earnings $11.49 $18.77 $30.78 75
5Y Revenue Exit $9.78 $16.16 $24.66 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $13.83 $24.18 $36.90 74
5Y P/E Exit $10.22 $17.02 $24.55 70
10Y Revenue Exit $9.10 $14.99 $23.63 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $12.05 $20.73 $33.50 67
10Y P/E Exit $9.69 $15.60 $23.54 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.62 $18.58 $25.26 64
Lynch FV $4.63 $6.61 $8.59 61
PEG = 1.0 $4.63 $6.61 $8.59 57
EPV $8.14 $9.31 $10.33 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $10.71 $14.28 $17.85 63
P/S Multiple $8.67 $11.56 $14.45 58
P/B Multiple $8.67 $11.56 $14.45 55
EV/EBIT $14.21 $18.57 $22.93 66
EV/EBITDA $17.79 $23.34 $28.89 67
EV/Revenue $10.47 $14.47 $18.47 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.81 $5.10 $7.62 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.92 $14.13 $22.62 77
Rev-Margin DCF $9.78 $16.02 $23.72 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $6.51 $7.10 $9.58 71
ROIC Compounder $8.36 $10.72 $14.05 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $8.11 $11.58 $15.06 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($16.16) versus Asset-Based ($5.10). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 22.6
P/S ratio 1.24 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.5800 price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.6
Dividend yield 1.5% payout 34.3%
Net margin 5.5% FY2026
Return on equity 9.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 7.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ¥5.0T TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.4% 3y avg +10.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +2.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ¥272B FY2026
Net debt ¥162B FY2026 · ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Daikin Industries,Ltd. manufactures, distributes, and sells air-conditioning and refrigeration equipment, and chemical products in Japan, the Americas, China, Asia, Europe, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

Daikin Industries,Ltd. manufactures, distributes, and sells air-conditioning and refrigeration equipment, and chemical products in Japan, the Americas, China, Asia, Europe, Europe, and internationally. It offers air-conditioning and refrigeration equipment products, such as split/multi-split typeair conditioners, unitary, air to water heat pump systems, heating systems, air purifiers, skyair, multi-split type air conditioners, ventilations, control systems, packaged air-conditioning systems, air cooled chillers, water cooled chillers, rooftops, air side equipment, refrigeration, containers, marine HVAC, and air filters. The company's chemical products comprises fluoropolymers, fluoropolymers coatings, additives, films, anti-smudge coating, coating resin, fluorinated oil, refrigerants, fluorinated liquids, etching agents, battery materials, fine chemicals and intermediates, optical adhesive, fluorocarbons, fluoroplastics, fluoroelastomers, fluoropaints, fluoro coating agents, semiconductor-etching products, and water and oil repellent agents. It also provides oil hydraulics products, including oil hydraulic pumps and valves, cooling equipment and systems, inverter hydraulic power units, hydrostatic transmissions. In addition, the company offers after sales services. It serves automotive, semiconductor manufacturing, electronics, energy solutions, home and living, building and construction, oil and gas, aerospace, and life sciences industries. Daikin Industries, Ltd. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Daikin Industries Ltd ADR reported revenue of ¥5.3T in FY2026 versus ¥3.1T in FY2022, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥292B in FY2026, compounding +7.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
¥5.3T
Latest YoY
+11.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (28Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+12.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+11.3%
Dividend yield1.5%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 11.3% vs 10Y 7.8%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9.6% (2021) → 8.3% (2026) · falling
Worst earnings drop75% (2010) · in JPY
Revenue +14.4%/yr
FY22 ¥3.1T
FY23 ¥4.0T
FY24 ¥4.4T
FY25 ¥4.8T
FY26 ¥5.3T
Net income +7.6%/yr
FY22 ¥218B
FY23 ¥258B
FY24 ¥260B
FY25 ¥265B
FY26 ¥292B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +7.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.2 %

of which total revenue +10.3 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin −2.4 %
Tax rate +0.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Daikin Industries Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DKILY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Building Products & Equipment · 243 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 16% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.14× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.84× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.15× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.77× · Priciest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Daikin Industries Ltd ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+5.7 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+16.4 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+4.6 %
FCF yield on price4.62 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.3 %

The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE48 · sector 0
FUTURE82 · sector 11
PAST38 · sector 25
HEALTH93 · sector 95
DIVIDEND30 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $447.90 $208.50 −53%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $142.23 $44.75 −69%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $57.25 $16.85 −71%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €81.20 €97.97 +21%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 563.40 CHF 307.66 −45%
Lennox International Inc LII $377.25 $363.09 −4%
Kingspan Group KRX €87.30 €66.79 −23%
Masco Corporation MAS $74.64 $53.22 −29%
Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL $352.14 $340.70 −3%
BELIMO Holding BEAN CHF 878.50 CHF 227.18 −74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Daikin Industries Ltd ADR (DKILY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.50 versus a price of $13.09, about +11% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DKILY?
Our model-based fair value for Daikin Industries Ltd ADR is $14.50 (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $13.09.
What is the quality score of DKILY?
Daikin Industries Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Daikin Industries Ltd ADR (DKILY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $14.50 (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.17, optimistic scenario $18.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Daikin Industries Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $14.50, about +11% upside versus a price of $13.09 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $10.17, optimistic scenario $18.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Daikin Industries Ltd ADR (DKILY)?
Daikin Industries Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥5.0T (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DKILY?
The net profit margin of Daikin Industries Ltd ADR is about 5.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Daikin Industries Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Daikin Industries Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Daikin Industries Ltd ADR (DKILY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Daikin Industries Ltd ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +5.7 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.3 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.4 % per year. As of Sep 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DKILY use?
Our models discount Daikin Industries Ltd ADR at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.60, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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