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DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG (DMRE) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · DE · Market cap €40.3M

DD DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG DMRE · XETRA
Price€0.4060
Fair Value€0.2800
Upside-31.0%
Quality32/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -84.3% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 19/100
Evidence: Medium Range €0.0800 – €1.12 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +16.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 31% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (€0.0800 to €1.12). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€4.41 €0.3200 Fair Value €0.2800 Sep 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.3200 – €4.41 · fair‑value band €0.0800 – €1.12 · the €0.4060 price screens above the €0.2800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG (DMRE) currently trades at €0.4060, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.2800, implying the stock looks roughly 31.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG generated revenue of €96.3M at a net margin of -85.0%. Revenue grew 159.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -44.2%. Net debt stands at €457M. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.0800 (bear case) to €1.12 (bull case); at €0.4060, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -31%, DMRE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM €0.0500 €0.0900 €0.1200 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.0500 €0.0900 €0.1000 61
EV/EBITDA €1.05 €2.21 54
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit €2.76 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €1.00 €5.49 41
10Y Revenue Exit €0.7600 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €0.6400 €5.70 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.0500 €0.0900 €0.1200 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.0500 €0.0900 €0.1000 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT €0.3700 €1.68 €2.99 53
EV/EBITDA €1.05 €2.21 54
EV/Revenue €0.4700 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.6100 €0.8200 €1.22 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (€1.05) versus Dividend Discount (€0.0900). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €97.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) +158%
Net margin -84.3%
Return on equity -44.2%
Free cash flow €1.0M FY2025
Operating margin 7.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.7700
EPS growth (YoY) -12.5%
Net debt €457M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 20
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG engages in the acquisition, management, and leasing of commercial real estate properties for medium-sized companies in Germany. It operates through Core Portfolio and Fair Value REIT segments. The company's property portfolio includes office, retail, hotel, and logistic properties.

Full company description

DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG engages in the acquisition, management, and leasing of commercial real estate properties for medium-sized companies in Germany. It operates through Core Portfolio and Fair Value REIT segments. The company's property portfolio includes office, retail, hotel, and logistic properties. It also engages in the real estate investment activities. The company was formerly known as MAGNAT Real Estate AG and changed its name to DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG in June 2013. DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Langen, Germany. DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG is a subsidiary of AEPF III 15 S.à r.l.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG reported revenue of €118M in FY2025 versus €207M in FY2021, a compound −13.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€88.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 9/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€118M
Latest YoY
−38.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.8%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+34.6%
Revenue −13.0%/yr
FY21 €207M
FY22 €122M
FY23 €143M
FY24 €192M
FY25 €118M
Net income
FY21 €58.5M
FY22 −€71.5M
FY23 −€147M
FY24 −€86.5M
FY25 −€88.5M

DMRE screens 31% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DMRE

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 520 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −31% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -84% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth 158% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 3.32× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.36× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.48× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 46.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 16
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 223,000 VND 25,731 VND -88%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG (DMRE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.2800 versus a price of €0.4060, about −31% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DMRE?
Our model-based fair value for DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG is €0.2800 (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €0.4060.
What is the quality score of DMRE?
DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG (DMRE)?
DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €96.3M (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DMRE?
The net profit margin of DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG is about -85.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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