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Dentsu Group (DNTUY) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $5.0B

DG Dentsu Group logo Dentsu Group DNTUY · US
Price$22.50
Fair Value$50.01
Upside+122.3%
Quality52/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -20.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/9)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: High Range $35.22 – $73.18 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +7.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 122% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($35.22). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($35.22 to $73.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$37.61 $16.75 Fair Value $50.01 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $16.75 – $37.61 · fair‑value band $35.22 – $73.18 · the $22.50 price screens below the $50.01 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Dentsu Group (DNTUY) currently trades at $22.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $50.01, implying the stock looks roughly 122.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Dentsu Group generated revenue of $1.4T at a net margin of -20.3%. Revenue grew 3.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -47.0%. Net debt stands at $173B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $35.22 (bear case) to $73.18 (bull case); at $22.50, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at 122%, DNTUY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $25.09 $37.24 $54.00 80
Rev-Margin DCF $29.82 $49.86 $72.94 74
ROIC Compounder $32.74 $40.61 $49.15 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $24.75 $38.61 $59.03 38
5Y Revenue Exit $29.82 $50.01 $75.94 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $38.22 $65.77 $98.12 41
10Y Revenue Exit $26.61 $44.34 $68.41 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $32.89 $55.06 $85.02 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $30.75 $35.81 $40.17 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT $45.70 $61.36 $77.02 53
EV/EBITDA $51.65 $69.30 $86.94 54
EV/Revenue $34.35 $49.62 $64.88 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.71 $6.32 $9.43 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $25.09 $37.24 $54.00 80
Rev-Margin DCF $29.82 $49.86 $72.94 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $32.74 $40.61 $49.15 72

Widest divergence: Multiples ($61.36) versus Asset-Based ($6.32). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.4T
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.5%
Net margin -20.3%
Return on equity -47.0%
Free cash flow $95.5B FY2025
Operating margin 10.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-7.89
EPS growth (YoY) +540%
Net debt $173B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 21
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 63
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Dentsu Group Inc. operates in the advertising business in Japan, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers advertising services, including newspapers, magazines, radio, television, internet, sales promotions, movies; and content services.

Full company description

Dentsu Group Inc. operates in the advertising business in Japan, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers advertising services, including newspapers, magazines, radio, television, internet, sales promotions, movies; and content services. It also provides illustrations, outdoor advertising, transportation advertising, and other types of advertising, as well as planning, production, marketing, PR, and other related services. In addition, the company sells software products and goods; and offers maintenance services. Dentsu Group Inc. was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Minato, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Dentsu Group reported revenue of $1.5T in FY2025 versus $1.1T in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$343B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 53/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.5T
Latest YoY
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
−0.2%
Revenue +8.5%/yr
FY21 $1.1T
FY22 $1.2T
FY23 $1.3T
FY24 $1.4T
FY25 $1.5T
Net income
FY21 $108B
FY22 $59.8B
FY23 −$10.7B
FY24 −$192B
FY25 −$343B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dentsu Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DNTUY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 199 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside +122% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.92× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 19
FUTURE 18 · sector 8
PAST 0 · sector 7
HEALTH 54 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $506.98 $181.37 -64%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €87.16 €146.36 +68%
Omnicom Group OMC $80.75 $99.84 +24%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.00 ¥4.08 -18%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $19.37 $20.76 +7%
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 ¥13.81 ¥1.50 -89%
JCDecaux SE DEC €21.28 €20.99 -1%
WPP plc WPP $18.13 $18.56 +2%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥28.85 ¥5.62 -81%
Magnite, Inc MGNI $19.91 $17.17 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Dentsu Group (DNTUY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $50.01 versus a price of $22.50, about +122% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DNTUY?
Our model-based fair value for Dentsu Group is $50.01 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $22.50.
What is the quality score of DNTUY?
Dentsu Group has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Dentsu Group (DNTUY)?
Dentsu Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4T (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DNTUY?
The net profit margin of Dentsu Group is about -20.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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