DENSO Corporation (DNZOF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of DENSO Corporation $17.63, price $12.04, upside +46.4%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.11 – $17.91 · fair‑value band $10.78 – $25.52 · the $12.04 price screens below the $17.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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DENSO Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of automotive parts in Japan, Rest of Asia, North America, Europe, and internationally.
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DENSO Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of automotive parts in Japan, Rest of Asia, North America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers air-conditioning systems, including thermal management heat pump system, heat pump air-conditioning systems, personal heating and cooling devices, air quality system, heat exchangers, bus air-conditioning systems, automotive freezers, products of control systems, pickup systems, and cooling products, as well as heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning units. It also provides gasoline, diesel, hybrid, electric vehicle, and fuel cell vehicle power-train systems; and safety and cockpit systems, such as driving environment recognition, vehicle dynamic control, collision safety, visibility support, cockpit information, and information security systems, as well as other products. In addition, the company offers automotive service parts and accessories, comprising spark plugs, oil and cabin air filters, wiper blades, air filter elements, starters, alternators, compressors, oxygen sensors, fuel pumps, air conditioner service parts, radiators, condensers, plasmacluster ion generators, air conditioners for busses and construction vehicles, and truck refrigeration products, as well as refrigerant recovery, recycling, and charging machines; and repair and support products and services. Further, the company provides industrial solutions for factories in automotive parts production; agricultural solutions, including Profarm Controller, a climate control system for greenhouse and horticulture solutions; and home energy management system, co2 refrigerant heat-pumps and industrial systems. DENSO Corporation was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Kariya, Japan.
Stock analysis
DENSO Corporation (DNZOF) currently trades at $12.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.63, implying the stock looks roughly 31.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $19.62 per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the $12.04 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $5.64, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $10.78 (bear) to $25.52 (bull), the price of $12.04 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
DENSO Corporation reported revenue of ¥7.6T in FY2026 versus ¥5.5T in FY2022, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥447B in FY2026, compounding +14.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $32.8B · P/E ratio 7.5 · P/S ratio 0.44 · EPS (TTM) $1.61 · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin 5.9% · Return on equity 8.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 46%, DNZOF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $10.78Fair Value $17.63Bull $25.52
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.64/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.3% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+25.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+21.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.32.4% vs 7.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 8%
2026 sits 56% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.9% a year for the price and +1.2% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 666 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside+23.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8.9% · Above median
Return on assets4.2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5.9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)9.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.10× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DENSO Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DNZOF
Frequently asked questions
Is DENSO Corporation (DNZOF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.63 versus a price of $12.04, about +46% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DNZOF?
Our model-based fair value for DENSO Corporation is $17.63 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.04.
What is the quality score of DNZOF?
DENSO Corporation has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $17.63 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.78, optimistic scenario $25.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the DENSO Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $17.63, about +46% upside versus a price of $12.04 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $10.78, optimistic scenario $25.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)?
DENSO Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥7.5T (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does DENSO Corporation pay a dividend?
DENSO Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, DENSO Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +15.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.0 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DNZOF use?
Our models discount DENSO Corporation at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.61, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For DENSO Corporation that is +15.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has DENSO Corporation (DNZOF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at DENSO Corporation grew +9.0 % a year. The price currently implies +15.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of DENSO Corporation (DNZOF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into DENSO Corporation (+15.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.74 %: that much free cash flow DENSO Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For DENSO Corporation it is $17.63 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of $12.04. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is DENSO Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, DNZOF trades below its calculated fair value: price $12.04, fair value $17.63, a gap of about +46% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DNZOF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.63). For DENSO Corporation the two are $5.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is DENSO Corporation worth?
The market values DENSO Corporation at about $32.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is $12.04; our models calculate a fair value of $17.63 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DNZOF?
Our models span a range for DENSO Corporation: cautious scenario $10.78, base $17.63, optimistic $25.52 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price $12.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DNZOF?
DENSO Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.5 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $17.63 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.1, P/B 1.0, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 5.1.
What is the PEG ratio of DNZOF?
The PEG ratio of DENSO Corporation is 2.11 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 28, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)?
Balance-sheet figures for DENSO Corporation (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 8.9%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DNZOF from its 52-week high?
DENSO Corporation trades at $12.04, about 24% below its 52-week high of $15.79 and 12% above the low of $10.76 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $17.63 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to DENSO Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is DENSO Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price $12.04, calculated fair value $17.63 (+46%), Quality Score 58/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DNZOF calculated?
We run DENSO Corporation through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $17.63, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. DENSO Corporation currently trades 32 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $12.04. Our model-based fair value is $17.63, about +46% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with DENSO Corporation right now?
Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($10.78 to $25.52) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of DENSO Corporation (DNZOF) come from?
Earnings per share at DENSO Corporation grew +6.2 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.9 %, EBIT margin −1.0 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of DENSO Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)?
The market capitalisation of DENSO Corporation is $32.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of DENSO Corporation is 0.44 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)?
Earnings per share at DENSO Corporation are $1.61 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)?
The dividend yield of DENSO Corporation is 3.7% (payout 27.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)?
The net margin of DENSO Corporation is 5.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of DENSO Corporation is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of DENSO Corporation is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)?
The operating margin of DENSO Corporation is 9.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)?
Revenue at DENSO Corporation is growing +9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at DENSO Corporation (DNZOF)?
Earnings per share at DENSO Corporation are growing +69.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does DENSO Corporation (DNZOF) hold?
DENSO Corporation holds more cash than debt, ¥380B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 28, 2026