Dorma Kaba Holding AG (DOKA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CH · Market cap CHF 2.2B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from CHF 47.08 to CHF 65.91 (+40.0%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +8.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 11% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from CHF 46.44 (bear) to CHF 82.39 (bull), base CHF 65.91. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 29.27 – CHF 78.64 · fair‑value band CHF 46.44 – CHF 82.39 · the CHF 59.60 price screens below the CHF 65.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Dorma Kaba Holding AG (DOKA) currently trades at CHF 59.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 65.91, implying the stock looks roughly 10.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Dorma Kaba Holding AG generated revenue of CHF 2.8B at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue declined 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 43.1%. Net debt stands at CHF 355M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 46.44 (bear case) to CHF 82.39 (bull case); at CHF 59.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at 11%, DOKA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (CHF 65.91) versus Asset-Based (CHF 4.46). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
dormakaba Holding AG provides access and security solutions worldwide. It offers door hardware products, including door closers, locks, fittings, emergency exits, and panic hardware; interior glass systems comprising manual sliding, manual single and double action door, fittings for glass assemblies, and horizontal sliding walls; and entrance systems, such …
Full company description
dormakaba Holding AG provides access and security solutions worldwide. It offers door hardware products, including door closers, locks, fittings, emergency exits, and panic hardware; interior glass systems comprising manual sliding, manual single and double action door, fittings for glass assemblies, and horizontal sliding walls; and entrance systems, such as swing operators, automatic sliding doors, sliding door operators, revolving doors, security revolving doors and interlocks, sensor barriers and speed gates, and turnstiles. The company also provides mechanical key systems, including cylinder locks with reversible keys; electronic access and data comprising electronic cylinders, electronic door locks, digital door locks, card readers and peripherals, and time and attendance; lodging systems that include access management systems, electronic hotel locks, and perimeter access; and safe locks under the Axessor Appex Series, Axxesor, Paxos, Cencon, CenconX, Auditcon, LA GARD electronic, Mauer electronic, Mauer mechanical, LA GARD mechanical, X-0 series brands. In addition, it offers access control, accessibility, fire protection, hygiene and infection prevention, mobile access, people flow and security, touch-free access, and automatic door systems solutions. The company serves the airport, healthcare, hospitality, multihousing, office, residential, and utilities industries. dormakaba Holding AG was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Rümlang, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Dorma Kaba Holding AG reported revenue of CHF 2.9B in FY2025 versus CHF 2.5B in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 97.9M in FY2025, compounding −0.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +8.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 245 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $483.96 | $208.50 | -57% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $152.79 | $44.75 | -71% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $63.08 | $16.85 | -73% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €84.24 | €97.97 | +16% |
| PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC | 1,405 IDR | 179.76 IDR | -87% |
| NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB | kr 38.91 | kr 25.37 | -35% |
| Beijing New Building Materials Public Limited 000786 | ¥18.73 | ¥31.73 | +69% |
| Moon Environment Technology Co 000811 | ¥42.22 | ¥11.94 | -72% |
| The Supreme Industries Limited SUPREMEIND | ₹3,460 | ₹1,376 | -60% |
| Aditya Infotech Limited CPPLUS | ₹3,899 | ₹763.08 | -80% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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