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Dole plc (DOLE) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.3B

DP Dole plc logo Dole plc DOLE · US
Price$13.83
Fair Value$11.13
Upside-19.5%
Quality52/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.5% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
2.42% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: High Range $10.64 – $14.46 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −1.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 20% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from $10.64 (bear) to $14.46 (bull), base $11.13. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 52/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.44 $6.65 Fair Value $11.13 Jul 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.65 – $16.44 · fair‑value band $10.64 – $14.46 · the $13.83 price screens above the $11.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Dole plc (DOLE) currently trades at $13.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.13, implying the stock looks roughly 19.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Dole plc generated revenue of $9.4B at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue grew 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. Net debt stands at $977M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.64 (bear case) to $14.46 (bull case); at $13.83, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -20%, DOLE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $10.33 $10.24 $9.07 76
ROIC Compounder $6.84 $8.53 $9.94 72
Gordon GGM $2.58 $4.64 $6.39 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.3200 $3.42 $7.79 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.72 $17.43 $23.55 54
Lynch FV $4.18 $5.97 $7.76 50
PEG = 1.0 $4.18 $5.97 $7.76 46
EPV $6.84 $8.53 $9.94 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.58 $4.64 $6.39 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.58 $4.24 $4.96 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $10.93 $14.57 $18.21 63
P/S Multiple $8.85 $11.79 $14.74 58
P/B Multiple $8.85 $11.79 $14.74 55
EV/EBIT $23.73 $33.50 $43.28 53
EV/EBITDA $28.37 $39.70 $51.02 54
EV/Revenue $15.34 $24.31 $33.27 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.17 $9.60 $14.33 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.33 $10.24 $9.07 76
ROIC Compounder $6.84 $8.53 $9.94 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $7.79 $11.13 $14.46 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($14.57) versus DCF Models ($3.42). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $9.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.6%
Net margin 0.5%
Return on equity 8.1%
Free cash flow −$26.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 15.1
More key figures
Operating margin 2.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.9300
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -19.6%
Net debt $977M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 24
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Dole plc engages in sourcing, production, distribution, and marketing of fresh fruits and vegetables worldwide. It operates through three segments: Fresh Fruit; Diversified Fresh Produce - EMEA; and Diversified Fresh Produce - Americas and ROW.

Full company description

Dole plc engages in sourcing, production, distribution, and marketing of fresh fruits and vegetables worldwide. It operates through three segments: Fresh Fruit; Diversified Fresh Produce - EMEA; and Diversified Fresh Produce - Americas and ROW. The company offers bananas, pineapples, and plantains; avocados, kiwis, apples, berries, and cherries; and imported and local fresh fruits and vegetables through retail, wholesale, e-commerce, and food service channels. It is also involved in the commercial cargo business. The company offers its products under the DOLE brand. It serves grocery stores, wholesalers, mass merchandisers, supercenters, foodservice operators, club stores, convenience stores, distributors, and smaller regional customers. Dole plc was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Dole plc reported revenue of $9.2B in FY2025 versus $5.9B in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was $66.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$9.2B
Latest YoY
+8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.1%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+8.4%
Revenue +11.5%/yr
FY21 $5.9B
FY22 $8.0B
FY23 $8.2B
FY24 $8.5B
FY25 $9.2B
Net income
FY21 −$7.2M
FY22 $86.5M
FY23 $124M
FY24 $126M
FY25 $66.0M

DOLE screens 20% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dole plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DOLE

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Farm Products · 291 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −20% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.59× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.98× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.14× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 7 · sector 26
FUTURE 58 · sector 21
PAST 32 · sector 17
HEALTH 71 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 48 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Dole plc (DOLE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.13 versus a price of $13.83, about −20% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DOLE?
Our model-based fair value for Dole plc is $11.13 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.83.
What is the quality score of DOLE?
Dole plc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Dole plc (DOLE)?
Dole plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DOLE?
The net profit margin of Dole plc is about 0.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Dole plc pay a dividend?
Dole plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.42% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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