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Diana Shipping Inc (DSX) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $261M

DS Diana Shipping Inc logo Diana Shipping Inc DSX · US
Price$2.42
Fair Value$2.28
Upside-5.8%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 20.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.84% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: High Range $1.59 – $2.28 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +12.0% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.28). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$4.22 $1.29 Fair Value $2.28 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.29 – $4.22 · fair‑value band $1.59 – $2.28 · the $2.42 price screens above the $2.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Diana Shipping Inc (DSX) currently trades at $2.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.28, implying the stock looks roughly 5.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Diana Shipping Inc generated revenue of $213M at a net margin of 20.6%. Revenue declined 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. Net debt stands at $514M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.59 (bear case) to $2.28 (bull case); at $2.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -6%, DSX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.4700 $1.39 80
Residual Income $2.69 $2.57 $2.00 76
Rev-Margin DCF $0.3700 $1.50 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.4600 $1.50 38
Owner Earnings $0.8600 $1.70 $3.14 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.3100 $1.51 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.63 $3.94 $7.02 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.2600 $1.23 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.2600 $0.9900 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.7700 $2.31 $4.06 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.2300 $0.8400 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.9700 $1.64 $2.00 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.5800 $0.6900 $0.7800 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.5800 $0.7200 $0.8600 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2.26 $3.01 $3.76 63
P/S Multiple $1.83 $2.44 $3.05 58
P/B Multiple $1.83 $2.44 $3.05 55
EV/EBIT $1.51 $2.95 $4.39 53
EV/EBITDA $4.14 $6.46 $8.77 54
EV/Revenue $0.2700 $1.20 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.02 $2.71 $4.04 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.4700 $1.39 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.3700 $1.50 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.69 $2.57 $2.00 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.59 $2.28 $2.96 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($2.71) versus DCF Models ($0.3100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $213M
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.4%
Net margin 20.6%
Return on equity 8.7%
Free cash flow $44.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 6.0
More key figures
Operating margin 20.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.3500
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +2,374%
Net debt $514M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 90
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Diana Shipping Inc. provides shipping transportation services worldwide. It also engages in the ownership and bareboat charter-in of dry bulk carriers. The company transports a range of dry bulk cargoes, including commodities, such as iron ore, coal, grain, and other materials in shipping routes.

Full company description

Diana Shipping Inc. provides shipping transportation services worldwide. It also engages in the ownership and bareboat charter-in of dry bulk carriers. The company transports a range of dry bulk cargoes, including commodities, such as iron ore, coal, grain, and other materials in shipping routes. December 31, 2025, the company had a fleet of 36 dry bulk carriers, owned and chartered-in, consisting of nineUltramax, five Panamax, six Kamsarmax, four Post-Panamax, eight Capesize and four Newcastlemaxvessels, having a combined carrying capacity of approximately 4.1 million dwt. The company was formerly known as Diana Shipping Investments Corp. and changed its name to Diana Shipping Inc. in February 2005. Diana Shipping Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Athens, Greece.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Diana Shipping Inc reported revenue of $214M in FY2025 versus $214M in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was $17.8M in FY2025, compounding −25.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$214M
Latest YoY
−6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.0%
Revenue −0.1%/yr
FY21 $214M
FY22 $290M
FY23 $262M
FY24 $228M
FY25 $214M
Net income −25.3%/yr
FY21 $57.4M
FY22 $119M
FY23 $49.8M
FY24 $12.7M
FY25 $17.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Diana Shipping Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DSX

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside −6% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 21% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Above median
Revenue growth -0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.94× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.52× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.23× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 5.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.44× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 26 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 35 · sector 27
HEALTH 53 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 37 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Diana Shipping Inc (DSX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.28 versus a price of $2.42, about −6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DSX?
Our model-based fair value for Diana Shipping Inc is $2.28 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.42.
What is the quality score of DSX?
Diana Shipping Inc has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Diana Shipping Inc (DSX)?
Diana Shipping Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $213M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DSX?
The net profit margin of Diana Shipping Inc is about 20.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Diana Shipping Inc pay a dividend?
Diana Shipping Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.84% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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