Davis Commodities Limited (DTCKF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.5M
Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −42.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 90% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.8330). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.8330 to $1.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
35‑month range $0.6623 – $139.60 · fair‑value band $0.8330 – $1.58 · the $0.6623 price screens below the $1.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.
Analysis
Davis Commodities Limited (DTCKF) currently trades at $0.6623, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.26, implying the stock looks roughly 89.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Davis Commodities Limited generated revenue of $184M at a net margin of -2.7%. Revenue grew 36.2% year over year. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.8330 (bear case) to $1.58 (bull case); at $0.6623, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 97% fair-value upside, at 90%, DTCKF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Davis Commodities Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an agricultural commodity trading company in Africa, China, Vietnam, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand, Singapore, and internationally. It trades in agricultural commodities, including sugar, rice, and oil and fat products under the Maxwill and Taffy brands.
Full company description
Davis Commodities Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an agricultural commodity trading company in Africa, China, Vietnam, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand, Singapore, and internationally. It trades in agricultural commodities, including sugar, rice, and oil and fat products under the Maxwill and Taffy brands. The company also provides warehouse handling, storage, and logistics services. Davis Commodities Limited was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Davis Commodities Limited reported revenue of $184M in FY2025 versus $207M in FY2022, a compound −3.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$5.0M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Farm Products · 302 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.15 | ¥47.42 | +18% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 21.90 THB | 43.24 THB | +97% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 2,960 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +130% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,805 IDR | 3,087 IDR | +71% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,350 IDR | 6,420 IDR | -13% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,260 IDR | 6,974 IDR | +209% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,890 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -68% |
| PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS | 860.00 IDR | 402.24 IDR | -53% |
| PT Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk SMAR | 5,625 IDR | 16,227 IDR | +188% |
| PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk DSNG | 1,320 IDR | 2,696 IDR | +104% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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