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Davis Commodities Limited (DTCKF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.5M

DC Davis Commodities Limited logo Davis Commodities Limited DTCKF · US
Price$0.6623
Fair Value$1.26
Upside+89.9%
Quality38/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -2.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.8330 – $1.58 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −42.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 90% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.8330). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.8330 to $1.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$139.60 $0.6623 Fair Value $1.26 Sep 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

35‑month range $0.6623 – $139.60 · fair‑value band $0.8330 – $1.58 · the $0.6623 price screens below the $1.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Davis Commodities Limited (DTCKF) currently trades at $0.6623, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.26, implying the stock looks roughly 89.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Davis Commodities Limited generated revenue of $184M at a net margin of -2.7%. Revenue grew 36.2% year over year. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.8330 (bear case) to $1.58 (bull case); at $0.6623, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 97% fair-value upside, at 90%, DTCKF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.5800 $0.7700 $1.16 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.5800 $0.7700 $1.16 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $184M
Revenue growth (YoY) +36.2%
Net margin -2.7%
Return on equity -108%
Free cash flow −$1.0M FY2025
Operating margin -5.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-4.11

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 22
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Davis Commodities Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an agricultural commodity trading company in Africa, China, Vietnam, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand, Singapore, and internationally. It trades in agricultural commodities, including sugar, rice, and oil and fat products under the Maxwill and Taffy brands.

Full company description

Davis Commodities Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an agricultural commodity trading company in Africa, China, Vietnam, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand, Singapore, and internationally. It trades in agricultural commodities, including sugar, rice, and oil and fat products under the Maxwill and Taffy brands. The company also provides warehouse handling, storage, and logistics services. Davis Commodities Limited was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Davis Commodities Limited reported revenue of $184M in FY2025 versus $207M in FY2022, a compound −3.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$5.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 6/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$184M
Latest YoY
+39.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.8%
Revenue −3.8%/yr
FY22 $207M
FY23 $191M
FY24 $132M
FY25 $184M
Net income
FY22 $4.6M
FY23 $1.1M
FY24 −$3.5M
FY25 −$5.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Davis Commodities Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DTCKF

Peer Group

Farm Products · 302 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +90% · Top 25%
Return on assets -16% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 36% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.61× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 28
FUTURE100 · sector 20
PAST0 · sector 18
HEALTH100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND0 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.15 ¥47.42 +18%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 21.90 THB 43.24 THB +97%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 2,960 IDR 6,818 IDR +130%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,805 IDR 3,087 IDR +71%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,350 IDR 6,420 IDR -13%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,260 IDR 6,974 IDR +209%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,890 IDR 610.80 IDR -68%
PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS 860.00 IDR 402.24 IDR -53%
PT Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk SMAR 5,625 IDR 16,227 IDR +188%
PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk DSNG 1,320 IDR 2,696 IDR +104%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Davis Commodities Limited (DTCKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.26 versus a price of $0.6623, about +90% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DTCKF?
Our model-based fair value for Davis Commodities Limited is $1.26 (as of Aug 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.6623.
What is the quality score of DTCKF?
Davis Commodities Limited has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Davis Commodities Limited (DTCKF)?
Davis Commodities Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $184M (latest available figure, as of Aug 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DTCKF?
The net profit margin of Davis Commodities Limited is about -2.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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