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DT Midstream, Inc (DTM) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $14.8B

DM DT Midstream, Inc logo DT Midstream, Inc DTM · US
Price$132.92
Fair Value$45.32
Upside-65.9%
Quality63/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 36.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.28% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range $17.69 – $64.16 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −9.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($64.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($17.69 to $64.16). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$150.74 $31.30 Fair Value $45.32 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $31.30 – $150.74 · fair‑value band $17.69 – $64.16 · the $132.92 price screens above the $45.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

DT Midstream, Inc (DTM) currently trades at $132.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $45.32, implying the stock looks roughly 65.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, DT Midstream, Inc generated revenue of $1.3B at a net margin of 36.3%. Revenue grew 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. Net debt stands at $3.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $17.69 (bear case) to $64.16 (bull case); at $132.92, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -66%, DTM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $30.16 $78.26 $160.65 80
Residual Income $40.38 $44.28 $58.35 76
Rev-Margin DCF $2.35 $22.03 $47.86 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $30.80 $83.72 $177.15 38
Owner Earnings $5.14 $36.46 $91.76 31
5Y Revenue Exit $2.35 $21.90 $47.41 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $41.63 $103.75 $182.61 41
5Y P/E Exit $28.90 $77.24 $132.91 38
10Y Revenue Exit $10.60 $32.55 $64.50 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $37.50 $92.90 $178.88 37
10Y P/E Exit $29.03 $73.35 $136.84 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $29.40 $141.52 $194.84 54
Lynch FV $37.80 $53.99 $70.19 50
PEG = 1.0 $37.80 $53.99 $70.19 46
EPV $11.82 $19.14 $25.54 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $29.16 $60.63 $96.19 70
DDM Multi-Stage $29.16 $51.13 $63.64 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $64.84 $86.46 $108.07 63
P/S Multiple $22.85 $30.46 $38.08 58
P/B Multiple $55.12 $73.49 $91.86 55
EV/EBIT $49.20 $76.28 $103.37 53
EV/EBITDA $52.91 $81.23 $109.56 54
EV/Revenue $7.55 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $23.21 $31.10 $46.42 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $30.16 $78.26 $160.65 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.35 $22.03 $47.86 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $40.38 $44.28 $58.35 76
ROIC Compounder $11.82 $19.14 $25.54 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $57.47 $82.10 $106.73 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($82.10) versus Economic Profit ($19.14). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.9%
Net margin 36.3%
Return on equity 9.9%
Free cash flow $490M FY2025
P/E ratio 32.2
More key figures
Operating margin 49.7%
EPS (TTM) $4.51
Dividend yield 2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +19.8%
Net debt $3.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 66
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 52
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

DT Midstream, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated natural gas services in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Pipeline and Gathering. The Pipeline segment owns and operates interstate and intrastate natural gas pipelines, storage systems, and natural gas gathering lateral pipelines.

Full company description

DT Midstream, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated natural gas services in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Pipeline and Gathering. The Pipeline segment owns and operates interstate and intrastate natural gas pipelines, storage systems, and natural gas gathering lateral pipelines. This segment also engages in the transportation and storage of natural gas for intermediate and end-user customers. The Gathering segment owns and operates gas gathering systems. This segment is involved in the collection of natural gas for delivery to plants for treating, to gathering pipelines for further gathering, or to pipelines for transportation; and associated ancillary services, including compression, dehydration, gas treatment, water impoundment, water transportation, water disposal, and sand mining. It serves natural gas producers, local distribution companies, electric power generators, industrials, and national marketers. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

DT Midstream, Inc reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $840M in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was $441M in FY2025, compounding +9.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.2B
Latest YoY
+26.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y)
+14.4%
Revenue +10.3%/yr
FY21 $840M
FY22 $920M
FY23 $922M
FY24 $981M
FY25 $1.2B
Net income +9.5%/yr
FY21 $307M
FY22 $370M
FY23 $384M
FY24 $354M
FY25 $441M

DTM screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DT Midstream, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DTM

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Midstream · 86 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside −66% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 50% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.70× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.12× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 11.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 30.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 20.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 55 · sector 42
PAST 39 · sector 41
HEALTH 65 · sector 55
DIVIDEND 46 · sector 99

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $56.46 $47.20 -16%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $73.38 $12.03 -84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $38.31 $24.74 -35%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$97.79 C$42.00 -57%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $32.54 $11.12 -66%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $19.91 $17.69 -11%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $93.52 $64.05 -32%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $273.35 $79.61 -71%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $57.17 $37.05 -35%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $255.83 $211.18 -17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is DT Midstream, Inc (DTM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $45.32 versus a price of $132.92, about −66% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DTM?
Our model-based fair value for DT Midstream, Inc is $45.32 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $132.92.
What is the quality score of DTM?
DT Midstream, Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of DT Midstream, Inc (DTM)?
DT Midstream, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DTM?
The net profit margin of DT Midstream, Inc is about 36.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 36.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does DT Midstream, Inc pay a dividend?
DT Midstream, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.36% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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