Avolta AG (DUFRY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $9.1B
Avolta AG
DUFRY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $3.64 to $3.66 (+0.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −11.6% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $5.03 – $6.74 · fair‑value band $2.75 – $4.58 · the $5.70 price screens above the $3.66 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
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Avolta AG (DUFRY) currently trades at $5.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.66, implying the stock looks roughly 35.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Avolta AG generated revenue of $14.0B at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue declined 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.8%. Net debt stands at $10.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.75 (bear case) to $4.58 (bull case); at $5.70, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside, at -36%, DUFRY screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Avolta AG operates as a travel retail company in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. It offers perfumes and cosmetics, food and beverages, wines and spirits, luxury goods, fuel, electronics, literature, publications, toys and souvenirs, soft drinks, packaged food, travel accessories, personal items, newspapers, magazines, books, watches and jewelry, sunglasses, destination, and other products; and confectionery and catering, textile, leather, luggage, and tobacco and related products. The company operates general travel retail shops under the Dufry, World Duty Free, Hellenic Duty Free, Autogrill, and HMSHost brands; and convenience stores under the Hudson brand. It operates duty-free and duty-paid shops, restaurants, and hybrid concepts located at airports, border, downtown and hotel shops, railway stations, cruise liners and ferries, seaports, and motorways. The company was formerly known as Dufry AG and changed its name to Avolta …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Avolta AG reported revenue of $13.4B in FY2025 versus $3.9B in FY2021, a compound +35.9%/yr. Reported net income was $190M in FY2025.
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External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$82.60 | C$57.38 | -31% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $761.57 | $222.50 | -71% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $226.06 | $164.16 | -27% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $470.75 | $475.40 | +1% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $217.60 | $313.58 | +44% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $70.99 | $84.30 | +19% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $29.78 | $23.87 | -20% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥57.20 | ¥40.60 | -29% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $550.82 | $423.35 | -23% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $192.17 | $148.51 | -23% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.