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Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 20, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Duroc AB (publ) stock SEK 51.42, price SEK 17.80, upside +188.9%, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · SE · ISIN SE0000331266

DA Duroc AB (publ) logo Some data Oct 2, 2026

Duroc AB (publ)

DURC-B · ST

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

The stock costs 65% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value kr 51.42 · Strongly undervalued (+188.9%)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
2.2% dividend yield · Cash covered
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Quality 54/100
Some data
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.2 %/yr in SEK)
Loss-making · -3.7% net margin (TTM)
Narrow moat 14/100
⚠ Small free float

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 41.88 kr 14.47 Fair Value kr 51.42 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 14.47 – kr 41.88 · fair‑value band kr 33.47 – kr 76.60 · the kr 17.80 price screens below the kr 51.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

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Company profile

Duroc AB (publ), through its subsidiaries, acquires and develops industrial and trading companies in Sweden, rest of the Nordic countries, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally.

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It operates through Duroc Machine Tool, Duroc Rail, Broddson AB, Smaller Company Portfolio, International Fibres Group, Drake Extrusion, Cresco, and Plastibert segments.

The company offers polypropylene-based staple fibers for the construction, furniture, filtration, and automotive industries; polypropylene-based colored filament yarn and staple fibers; fiber-based textiles for professional crop cultivation; PVC and PU-coated textiles for use in the fashion industry, protective clothing, hospital beds, car interiors, dental chairs, furniture, and wall coverings; and advanced tube bending machines for the automotive, aerospace, and furniture industries, as well as the heating, ventilation, and air conditioning industry.

It also supplies machine tools, tools, machine service, and support to mechanical engineering companies; work holding tools, such as lathe chucks, threading tools, and collets; and diesel engines for industrial and marine applications, as well as associated spare parts, service, and repairs.

In addition, the company engages in the provision of maintenance services for railway wheels of locomotives, as well as passenger and freight cars; street-sweeping machines and road maintenance; renovation and new manufacturing of industrial components based on laser surface treatment technology for the power, mining/steel, pulp/paper, offshore, aviation, and manufacturing industries; and customization of complete automation solutions.

Duroc AB (publ) is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B) currently trades at kr 17.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 51.42, implying the stock looks roughly 65.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of kr 51.72 per share, and 8 of the 12 models we run sit above the kr 17.80 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at kr 9.37, and 4 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: kr 33.47 (bear) to kr 76.60 (bull), the price of kr 17.80 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Duroc AB (publ) reported revenue of 2.8B SEK in FY2026 versus 3.7B SEK in FY2022, a compound −7.1%/yr. Reported net income was −101M SEK in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap 694M SEK (≈ $70.0M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.26 · EPS (TTM) kr −2.59 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin −3.7% · Return on equity −9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.9% · Operating margin −0.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 14 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 189%, DURC-B screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 33.47 Fair Value kr 51.42 Bull kr 76.60
Price kr 17.80 · Upside +188.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF kr 38.90 kr 60.00 kr 91.15 78
Growth DCF kr 38.24 kr 56.39 kr 81.26 77
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 24.89 kr 34.17 kr 45.07 75
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 38.90 kr 60.00 kr 91.15 78
5Y Revenue Exit kr 33.47 kr 51.94 kr 76.62 71
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 24.89 kr 34.17 kr 45.07 75
10Y Revenue Exit kr 34.52 kr 51.42 kr 76.60 65
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 30.21 kr 40.02 kr 53.45 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 2.53 kr 4.32 kr 5.69 66
DDM Multi-Stage kr 2.53 kr 4.05 kr 4.64 65
Multiples
EV/EBITDA kr 5.52 kr 9.37 kr 13.22 64
EV/Revenue kr 19.30 kr 30.15 kr 41.00 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 1.85 kr 2.81 kr 3.51 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 38.24 kr 56.39 kr 81.26 77
Rev-Margin DCF kr 33.47 kr 51.72 kr 75.49 71

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 40
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 44
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 68
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 96
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 63
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 39
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 44
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +20.0% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.7% (2021) → −1.7% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.3%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.1% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 338 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside +187.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −3.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −0.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −13.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.69× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.25× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow 6.4× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.5× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 37
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)45 · sector 36

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$36.40 HK$72.23 +98% vs DURC-B
Ruentex Industries Ltd 2915 58.30 TWD 106.63 TWD +83% vs DURC-B
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥14.14 ¥15.55 +10% vs DURC-B
Sasa Polyester Sanayi A.S. SASA 1.93 TRY 1.96 TRY +2% vs DURC-B
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,100 ₹901.34 −18% vs DURC-B
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥20.62 ¥14.53 −30% vs DURC-B
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥4.52 ¥2.40 −47% vs DURC-B
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹531.90 ₹269.96 −49% vs DURC-B
Albany International Corp AIN $60.76 $25.00 −59% vs DURC-B
Welspun Living Limited WELSPUNLIV ₹239.17 ₹47.77 −80% vs DURC-B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Duroc AB (publ) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DURC-B

Frequently asked questions

Is Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 51.42 versus a price of kr 17.80, about +189% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DURC-B?
Our model-based fair value for Duroc AB (publ) is kr 51.42 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 17.80.
What is the quality score of DURC-B?
Duroc AB (publ) has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 51.42 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 33.47, optimistic scenario kr 76.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Duroc AB (publ) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 51.42, about +189% upside versus a price of kr 17.80 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 33.47, optimistic scenario kr 76.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B)?
Duroc AB (publ) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.8B SEK (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Duroc AB (publ) pay a dividend?
Duroc AB (publ) currently shows a dividend yield of 2.25% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Duroc AB (publ) would have to grow free cash flow by -8.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.2 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DURC-B use?
Our models discount Duroc AB (publ) at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.85, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Duroc AB (publ) that is -8.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Duroc AB (publ) grew -3.2 % a year. The price currently implies -8.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Duroc AB (publ) (-8.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.63 %: that much free cash flow Duroc AB (publ) produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Duroc AB (publ) it is kr 51.42 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of kr 17.80. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Duroc AB (publ) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, DURC-B trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 17.80, fair value kr 51.42, a gap of about +189% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DURC-B?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 17.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 51.42). For Duroc AB (publ) the two are kr 33.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Duroc AB (publ) worth?
The market values Duroc AB (publ) at about 694M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is kr 17.80; our models calculate a fair value of kr 51.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DURC-B?
Our models span a range for Duroc AB (publ): cautious scenario kr 33.47, base kr 51.42, optimistic kr 76.60 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price kr 17.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B)?
Balance-sheet figures for Duroc AB (publ) (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −9.4%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DURC-B from its 52-week high?
Duroc AB (publ) trades at kr 17.80, about 15% below its 52-week high of kr 21.00 and 21% above the low of kr 14.70 (as of Oct 20, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 51.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Duroc AB (publ)?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, K.P.R. Mill Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Duroc AB (publ) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price kr 17.80, calculated fair value kr 51.42 (+189%), Quality Score 54/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DURC-B calculated?
We run Duroc AB (publ) through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 51.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Duroc AB (publ) currently trades 65 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B)?
The closing price on Oct 20, 2026 was kr 17.80. Our model-based fair value is kr 51.42, about +189% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Duroc AB (publ) right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 33.47). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (kr 33.47 to kr 76.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Duroc AB (publ)

How large is the market capitalisation of Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B)?
The market capitalisation of Duroc AB (publ) is 694M SEK (≈ $70.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Duroc AB (publ) is 0.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B)?
Earnings per share at Duroc AB (publ) are kr −2.59. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B)?
The dividend yield of Duroc AB (publ) is 2.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B)?
The net margin of Duroc AB (publ) is −3.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Duroc AB (publ) is −9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Duroc AB (publ) is −0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B)?
The operating margin of Duroc AB (publ) is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B)?
Revenue at Duroc AB (publ) is growing −13.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B)?
Earnings per share at Duroc AB (publ) are growing −76.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Duroc AB (publ) (DURC-B) carry?
The net debt of Duroc AB (publ) is 235M SEK (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 2.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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